If we vote for Brexit what happens

TrickyTree83

setmefree2 wrote: »

OK.

So a vote for Brexit is now a very real possibility - agree??

So we must be ready for it???? - agree???

So we must at least accept the VERY REAL possibility that there could (very likely) be a recession??? Agree??

Yes.

That is a very different prospect to what you have been saying for the past hour.

Conrad

Given the EU's absolute commitment to ever closer union and given Cameron's assurance we will not be part of that unstoppable process, surely it's better we get out now?

setmefree2

TrickyTree83 wrote: »

Yes.

That is a very different prospect to what you have been saying for the past hour.

I am a realist.

I do believe there will 100% be a recession if we vote Leave.

I do want to be prepared.

I accept that you feel differently.

michaels

Oh good - the bbc is being 'impartial' again:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36461020
A whole article based on the premise that Putin is the only world leader in favour of Brexit....except it turns out he has said nothing of the sort.

mayonnaise

setmefree2 wrote: »

So you admit to no risk of a recession???

You are in complete denial???

You are completely deluded???

Wow.

Did you completely miss the Recession of 2007/2008 too? Or was in on top of you before you knew what had hit you?

BY THE BY - I hope you are right. No recession - that would be BRILL. No-one in their right mind wants a recession.

Be careful, you're about to be claptoned.
(Being drawn into replying to an incessant shower of inane one-liners, so mind numbing you'll forget what you were discussing in the first place.)
Better to bow out now and preserve your sanity.

michaels

Run a project fear campaign and it turns out it might be hard to get the less than enthused to vote for the option that can only be sold on the grounds that it isn't as bad as the alternative. Somehow I don't see the country breaking into mass celebrations if remain squeak a narrow victory.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36471788

CLAPTON

setmefree2 wrote: »

So you admit to no risk of a recession???

You are in complete denial???

You are completely deluded???

Wow.

Did you completely miss the Recession of 2007/2008 too? Or was in on top of you before you knew what had hit you?

BY THE BY - I hope you are right. No recession - that would be BRILL. No-one in their right mind wants a recession.

I fully accept the possibility of a recession in the EU or USA or Aus or indeed the UK and anywhere elses in the world: none of these are impossible.
At the moment there seems no logial reasons to expect a recession due to the UK simply leaving he EU.
Now it is true that some organisations have said there might be a recession because of brexit but they are all oragansiation that missed the 2007/8 which you seem to think was important.
They are all organiseation that didn't warn us NOT to join the Euro and in the case of the IMF who were specifically wrong about predicting a double dip recession for the UK.


I don't doubt your fanatic certaintly about your ability as an economic forecaster but I lack full confidence in your abilities.

TrickyTree83

setmefree2 wrote: »

I am a realist.

That still doesn't make it true that a recession will happen with 100% accuracy as you claim.

There is a possibility, which is what I maintained all along. I'd question the validity of the claims of the economists who predict this recession since they've been wrong on:

- joining the single market
- pulling out of the Exchange Rate Mechanism
- not joining the Eurozone
- the 2008 financial crisis

With a track record like that who is to say that their prediction of a possible recession holds any water at all? Lets not forget that during all of those decisions the majority of economists were on the wrong side of the argument according to world history.

So if you're a realist as you say why not take this into account?

setmefree2

mayonnaise wrote: »

Be careful, you're about to be claptoned.
(Being drawn into replying to an incessant shower of inane one-liners, so mind numbing you'll forget what you were discussing in the first place.)
Better to bow out now and preserve your sanity.

I come on here to understand other posters opinions. They really do think there will be no recession.

AMAZING!

TrickyTree83

setmefree2 wrote: »

I come on here to understand other posters opinions. They really do think there will be no recession.

AMAZING!

(apologies to leave voters who may disagree with me here)

As far as I can tell quite a few of us who I'm assuming are for leaving have openly admitted there is a possibility of recession. Not that we think there will be no recession.

They are very different things. And we're getting way off topic because you seem unable to understand this.

http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/possible
http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/will (see 6 b)