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If we vote for Brexit what happens

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Comments

  • setmefree2
    setmefree2 Posts: 9,072 Forumite
    Mortgage-free Glee!
    edited 7 June 2016 at 4:03PM
    CLAPTON wrote: »
    for the same reason that there WASN'T a recession when we DIDN'T join rhe euro, inspite of all the great and good saying we were doomed unless we joined.

    Except that was completely different??

    Look - I accept that the UK might vote Leave.

    THAT IS FINE.

    But - there will be a recession.

    THAT IS FINE TOO.

    What's it going to be like????

    (This Thread is Called If we vote for Brexit what happens? )
  • mayonnaise
    mayonnaise Posts: 3,690 Forumite
    Rinoa wrote: »
    The head of the WTO was apparently in London today to inform us how UK exporters will have to pay up to £5.6Bn in duties should we leave the EU. (Note the 'up to')

    http://news.sky.com/story/1708309/brexit-could-cost-uk-exporters-5-6bn-a-year

    This confirms the 4% WTO tariff the EU will apply.

    So, we're minus £5.6Bn on our exports but plus £9Bn on our net contribution to the EU.

    Where's the problem?

    The 9bn we're supposed to be saving has been spent tenfold already under brexit fantasy economics. :rotfl:

    574d598d1200002e00894d82.png

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/bexit-fantasy-economics_uk_574d538ce4b0ebf6a329efe7
    Don't blame me, I voted Remain.
  • TrickyTree83
    TrickyTree83 Posts: 3,930 Forumite
    mayonnaise wrote: »
    The 9bn we're supposed to be saving has been spent tenfold already under brexit fantasy economics. :rotfl:

    574d598d1200002e00894d82.png

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/bexit-fantasy-economics_uk_574d538ce4b0ebf6a329efe7

    Leave are not a political party, they don't propose what they want to happen, just what could happen. It'll be up to the government of the day after a Brexit vote to decide what they would like to do with the membership fee.

    I'm of the opinion it was irresponsible for the government to even allow a referendum without clearly defined options, but they did, and this is what we have.
  • CLAPTON
    CLAPTON Posts: 41,865 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    setmefree2 wrote: »
    Except that was completely different??

    Look - I accept that the UK might vote Leave.

    THAT IS FINE.

    But - there will be a recession.

    THAT IS FINE TOO.

    What's it going to be like????

    (This Thread is Called If we vote for Brexit what happens? )


    I appreciate your awesome predictive powers in the field of economics.

    However, everyone elses is quite poor.

    There is no credible analysis that leaving the EU would cause a recession by any credible organisation, with a track record of being right.
    Examples of 'being right' would include organisations that specifically advised the UK NOT to join the Euro; organisations that DIDN'T say the post 2010 policies would lead to two dip recession etc.

    On reflection and detailed analysis, I have decided to discount your unjustified ascertion about a recession even if you repeat it another few hundred times.
  • setmefree2
    setmefree2 Posts: 9,072 Forumite
    Mortgage-free Glee!
    edited 7 June 2016 at 4:18PM
    CLAPTON wrote: »
    I appreciate your awesome predictive powers in the field of economics.

    However, everyone elses is quite poor.

    There is no credible analysis that leaving the EU would cause a recession by any credible organisation, with a track record of being right.
    Examples of 'being right' would include organisations that specifically advised the UK NOT to join the Euro; organisations that DIDN'T say the post 2010 policies would lead to two dip recession etc.

    On reflection and detailed analysis, I have decided to discount your unjustified ascertion about a recession even if you repeat it another few hundred times.

    So you admit to no risk of a recession???

    You are in complete denial???

    You are completely deluded???

    Wow.

    Did you completely miss the Recession of 2007/2008 too? Or was in on top of you before you knew what had hit you?

    BY THE BY - I hope you are right. No recession - that would be BRILL. No-one in their right mind wants a recession.
  • TrickyTree83
    TrickyTree83 Posts: 3,930 Forumite
    setmefree2 wrote: »
    So you admit to no risk of a recession???

    You are in complete denial???

    You are completely deluded???

    Why haven't you produced any evidence of this cast iron prediction of a recession?

    Perhaps because it doesn't exist? The only statements on recession we've had so far is that we could end up with a technical recession which is two consecutive periods of negative growth.
  • setmefree2
    setmefree2 Posts: 9,072 Forumite
    Mortgage-free Glee!
    Why haven't you produced any evidence of this cast iron prediction of a recession?

    Perhaps because it doesn't exist? The only statements on recession we've had so far is that we could end up with a technical recession which is two consecutive periods of negative growth.

    Brilliant. There isn't going to be a 2016 Recession. That's great news. I'm so relieved.

    Happy Days!
  • TrickyTree83
    TrickyTree83 Posts: 3,930 Forumite
    setmefree2 wrote: »
    Brilliant. There isn't going to be a Recession. That's great news. I'm so relieved.

    Don't twist what I said, it's quite clear I was saying the evidence for your cast iron prediction of recession does not exist.
  • CLAPTON
    CLAPTON Posts: 41,865 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    setmefree2 wrote: »
    Brilliant. There isn't going to be a 2016 Recession. That's great news. I'm so relieved.

    Happy Days!

    of course , two consecutive periods of house prices falls (great news for young people) could be 'technical ' recession.

    That's great news, I'm so relieved
  • setmefree2
    setmefree2 Posts: 9,072 Forumite
    Mortgage-free Glee!
    Don't twist what I said, it's quite clear I was saying the evidence for your cast iron prediction of recession does not exist.

    OK.

    So a vote for Brexit is now a very real possibility - agree??

    So we must be ready for it???? - agree???

    So we must at least accept the VERY REAL possibility that there could (very likely) be a recession??? Agree??
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