Nationwide -0.6%

Thrugelmir

Generali wrote: »

Monthly figures are just noise.

Just sayin'.

Then best to know what noise is......

"noise is an unwanted perturbation to a wanted signal".

:beer:

For the record.

Perturbation = "a set of approximation schemes directly related to mathematical perturbation for describing a complicated quantum system in terms of a simpler one".......

Time for a few more. beers!!!!!!!!!!

IveSeenTheLight

Thrugelmir wrote: »

For the record.

Perturbation = "a set of approximation schemes directly related to mathematical perturbation for describing a complicated quantum system in terms of a simpler one".......

How can you define a word using the same word in the definition?

Better to use a better definition
Wiki definition

Perturbation theory, mathematical methods that give approximate solutions to problems that cannot be solved exactly
Perturbation (geology), changes in the nature of alluvial deposits over time
Perturbation (astronomy), alterations to an object's orbit e.g. caused by gravitational interactions with other bodies
Perturbation theory (quantum mechanics), a set of approximation schemes directly related to mathematical perturbation for describing a complicated quantum system in terms of a simpler one
Perturbation (biology), an alteration of the function of a biological system, induced by external or internal mechanisms
Perturbation (transport), operation of a transport system outside of timetable such that delays in arrival and departure from defined locations are present.

sabretoothtigger

Recently I heard they may relax building permissions, that really would drop house prices. At the moment I think house prices are unlikely to rise much with the cost of living rising faster then wages

IveSeenTheLight

Thrugelmir wrote: »

Trend. Akin to standing on a beach and watching the tide come in. Events can overtake before you realise.

No recent news that will influence and reverse the trend that I've read.

Hmmmmmm, if we used that anology, for the last year your results would have been as follows: -

Month___Monthly Figure___Thrug's Yearly Extrapolation
Aug 10___-0.7%_________-8.1%
Sept 10___+0.1%_________+1.2%
Oct 10___-0.8%_________-9.2%
Nov 10___-0.4%_________-4.7%
Dec 10___+0.3%_________+3.7%
Jan 10___-0.1%_________-1.2%
Feb 10___+0.6%_________+7.4%
Mar 10___+0.3%_________+3.7%
Apr 10___-0.2%_________-2.4%
May 10___+0.3%______ +3.7%
Jun 10___+0.0%______ +0.0%
Jul 10___+0.3%______ +3.7%
Aug 10___-0.6%______-7.0%

Let's see that as a graph and against Naitionswides own results



Instead, we have -0.4% YOY

Indded, you refer to it as a trend, but the trend since Jan has been up slightly

Thrugelmir

IveSeenTheLight wrote: »

Hmmmmmm, if we used that anology, for the last year your results would have been as follows: -

Month___Monthly Figure___Thrug's Yearly Extrapolation
Aug 10___-0.7%_________-8.1%

Aug 11___-0.6%______-7.0%


Indded, you refer to it as a trend, but the trend since Jan has been up slightly

Seems like the annual trend isn't far off. Only 1.1% off between 2010 and 2011.

PS. I assume that the 2010 dates should in fact be 2011.

IveSeenTheLight

Thrugelmir wrote: »

Seems like the annual trend isn't far off. Only 1.1% off between 2010 and 2011.

Seriously.............

Taking a single months results (seperated by twelve months) which is reflective of each of it's predecessing months and concluding that as an annual trend.

Your refering to your crazy YOY extrapolation from one months figures of -8.1% and -7.0%, yet the actual YOY figure is only -0.4%

I presume you'll be calling for +1.2% YoY next month then

Are you having a couple of off days?

Thrugelmir wrote: »

PS. I assume that the 2010 dates should in fact be 2011.

You assume correctly.
Less haste, more speed
P.s. I'm not going to bother going back and editing as their as relevant as you YOY extrapolation.

geneer

IveSeenTheLight wrote: »

Isn't macaque the founder member of the 70% club?
He always seems to think there are new members.

As the 70% club is a bullish fabrication, I'd say not.

IveSeenTheLight

geneer wrote: »

As the 70% club is a bullish fabrication, I'd say not.

You'd say incorrectly then

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2712685

Simian Macaque ADHD
CEO 70% club

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2661857

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2660513

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2583851

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2246505

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2231705

Notes to Editors

The 70% club is a global leader in financial forecasting. Led by the gifted and charismatic Simian Macaque ADHD, the 70%C has raised the bar for economists and financial analysts throughout the developed world. Some of our remarkable predictions include:

• Correctly predicted the credit crunch
• Correctly predicted that the house price crash would progress in stages
• Correctly predicted the 70% crash (not complete yet)

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2857094

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2853236

and they just keep on going

Hell, he even started a 95% thread
https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2928344


Unless of course your think Macaque is a bull put out to discredit bear theories by being so wildly wrong.

geneer

IveSeenTheLight wrote: »

You'd say incorrectly then

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2712685


https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2661857

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2660513

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2583851

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2246505

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2231705


https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2857094

https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2853236

and they just keep on going

Hell, he even started a 95% thread
https://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/discussion/2928344


Unless of course your think Macaque is a bull put out to discredit bull theories by being so wildly wrong.

:rotfl: I stand corrected.

Of course it appears that what you really mean is that Macaque is the 70% club.

You can understand my confusion I hope. Numerous bullish posters keep making reference to predictions of 70% falls as if they were some kind of majority opinion.

Given that we're actually talking about a single poster, I wonder why they make reference to them at all.

IveSeenTheLight

geneer wrote: »

:rotfl: I stand corrected.

Of course it appears that what you really mean is that Macaque is the 70% club.

You can understand my confusion I hope. Numerous bullish posters keep making reference to predictions of 70% falls as if they were some kind of majority opinion.

Given that we're actually talking about a single poster, I wonder why they make reference to them at all.

What was so confusing about my original statement?

IveSeenTheLight wrote: »

Isn't macaque the founder member of the 70% club?
He always seems to think there are new members.

Maybe you should quiz Macaque about his membership rates?
He's maybe competing with the HPC crew