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Economy crash =/= stock market crash?

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Comments

  • Linton
    Linton Posts: 18,428 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Hung up my suit!
    GSP said:
    FTSE 100 is in the green today, FTSE 250 up 1.73% as I type. Or do we not get commentary on green days?
    Seems to be notable movements in just about everything on a daily basis.
    All this money lost or down since November, where has it gone? Down a big black hole? Who has got it, or was it never there?
    The money never is in the markets.  You buy a share from person A for £100.  -£100 in your pocket and £100 in A's.

    You then sell the share for £50 to person B, -£100+£50=-£50 in your pocket, £100 in A's pocket and -£50 in B's pocket.  No net gain or loss, Just a transfer between you, A and B.

    If B had been willing to pay £150 you would have made a profit, but you chose to agree to B's offer of £50.
  • Type_45
    Type_45 Posts: 1,723 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Fifth Anniversary Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    FTSE 100 closed down 0.41%.
  • Nebulous2
    Nebulous2 Posts: 5,806 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    masonic said:
    Type_45 said:
    VWRP closed 4.07% down.
    Type_45 said:
    FTSE 100 closed down 0.41%.
    I can't imagine why you picked VWRP yesterday and FTSE100 today.

    Well - I'm going to put my mouth where my money is.....

    I've been building up some cash, mainly in a SIPP, since the middle of last year, and this morning I spent about a third of it on VWRP. 
  • k6chris
    k6chris Posts: 787 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 500 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    GSP said:
    FTSE 100 is in the green today, FTSE 250 up 1.73% as I type. Or do we not get commentary on green days?
    Seems to be notable movements in just about everything on a daily basis.
    All this money lost or down since November, where has it gone? Down a big black hole? Who has got it, or was it never there?

    The money is never there.  The valuation of a company (and so the value of the index they are in) at any time is based on a calculation of the number of shares, multiplied by the value of the last trade (the current share price).  It would clearly be impossible to sell all the shares of a compnay at that 'last trade' value. So when the press says "billions wiped of share index today" it does not mean that #billions# were actually lost, just that a meaningless headline number got a bit smaller. The same nonsense happens when housing markets 'crash'.  Still the same number of houses!

    Ho hum.
    "For every complicated problem, there is always a simple, wrong answer"
  • GSP
    GSP Posts: 894 Forumite
    Seventh Anniversary 500 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    k6chris said:
    GSP said:
    FTSE 100 is in the green today, FTSE 250 up 1.73% as I type. Or do we not get commentary on green days?
    Seems to be notable movements in just about everything on a daily basis.
    All this money lost or down since November, where has it gone? Down a big black hole? Who has got it, or was it never there?

    The money is never there.  The valuation of a company (and so the value of the index they are in) at any time is based on a calculation of the number of shares, multiplied by the value of the last trade (the current share price).  It would clearly be impossible to sell all the shares of a compnay at that 'last trade' value. So when the press says "billions wiped of share index today" it does not mean that #billions# were actually lost, just that a meaningless headline number got a bit smaller. The same nonsense happens when housing markets 'crash'.  Still the same number of houses!

    Ho hum.
    So if I have invested £100 in a company and it’s price/value falls 50%, and I cash what’s left and I receive £50.
    Who’s got my other £50?
  • Cus
    Cus Posts: 883 Forumite
    Sixth Anniversary 500 Posts Name Dropper
    The person you bought it from for £100 and then sold back to him for £50.
  • GazzaBloom
    GazzaBloom Posts: 838 Forumite
    Sixth Anniversary 500 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    edited 17 June 2022 at 7:07PM
    GSP said:

    So if I have invested £100 in a company and it’s price/value falls 50%, and I cash what’s left and I receive £50.
    Who’s got my other £50?
    The same person that gets the 25% drop in value as a brand new luxury car rolls off the forecourt. It just evaporates!

    The person you brought the £100 stock from gets your £100. When the value of that share you hold drops by 50% and is only worth £50 you haven't lost anything...until you decide to sell, then you have lost £50 in realised asset value, not £50 in cash.
  • Prism
    Prism Posts: 3,856 Forumite
    Eighth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    GSP said:
    k6chris said:
    GSP said:
    FTSE 100 is in the green today, FTSE 250 up 1.73% as I type. Or do we not get commentary on green days?
    Seems to be notable movements in just about everything on a daily basis.
    All this money lost or down since November, where has it gone? Down a big black hole? Who has got it, or was it never there?

    The money is never there.  The valuation of a company (and so the value of the index they are in) at any time is based on a calculation of the number of shares, multiplied by the value of the last trade (the current share price).  It would clearly be impossible to sell all the shares of a compnay at that 'last trade' value. So when the press says "billions wiped of share index today" it does not mean that #billions# were actually lost, just that a meaningless headline number got a bit smaller. The same nonsense happens when housing markets 'crash'.  Still the same number of houses!

    Ho hum.
    So if I have invested £100 in a company and it’s price/value falls 50%, and I cash what’s left and I receive £50.
    Who’s got my other £50?
    That's the thing - you don't have £100 invested in a company. You gave someone else £100 a while back to own a share of the company. That £100 is long gone. You then sold it to someone else for £50. The original seller gained £100, you lost £50 and the person you sold it to lost £50 (but got a share of the company too which may or may not be worth something)
  • GazzaBloom
    GazzaBloom Posts: 838 Forumite
    Sixth Anniversary 500 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    edited 18 June 2022 at 4:11AM
    Nebulous2 said:
    masonic said:
    Type_45 said:
    VWRP closed 4.07% down.
    Type_45 said:
    FTSE 100 closed down 0.41%.
    I can't imagine why you picked VWRP yesterday and FTSE100 today.

    Well - I'm going to put my mouth where my money is.....

    I've been building up some cash, mainly in a SIPP, since the middle of last year, and this morning I spent about a third of it on VWRP. 
    I too am buying lumps of a US equity index fund each month but we should be mindful that this could last a while and have a way further to go. if you are a buy and hold investor with a 10-20 year window then the sun will once again shine but this next year or two is where that 2-3 year cash buffer or alternative source of income will come in for retirees...

    Charts for S&P500 bear markets

    We're only 111 days into this one...



    And only 22% down so far...



    And US stock valuations are still relatively high 


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