Octopus Tracker

Pat38493

Telegraph_Sam said:

I go along with your last sentence. Certainly there would be cause for concern if the medium if not long term averages went up by a significant amount.  There are probably some other gurus in this forum who can comment on your points with their insights and let us have some perspective.

Here is a snapshot of the wind situation.  The red dots are the original wind forecast and the green was the updated forecast.  The actual delivery is the blue line which diverged a lot even before the forecast changed, and is still doing that even in the last hours.  This is available at https://bmrs.elexon.co.uk/wind-generation

masonic

Ordinarily tomorrow would have been a pretty cheap day given renewables generation. It is not unusual to see a price uplift around this time of year, not necessarily for the same reasons each time, but often weather-related.

bristolleedsfan

Tracker October 2024 version - Gas - Saturday  6.02p North West Region

Current 12 month fix no exit fees -  5.75 p/kWh

I fixed 8th October -  5.46p/kWh having previously fixed early August 5.39p kWh, went off to Scottish Power for a month for incentive reasons. 

Telegraph_Sam

Have we deduced that windspeed, however measured, is the key variable influencing Tracker (and Agile) gas and /or elec prices, one more than the other?  Regression analysis is beyond my pay grade.

masonic

Telegraph_Sam said:

Have we deduced that windspeed, however measured, is the key variable influencing Tracker (and Agile) gas and /or elec prices, one more than the other?  Regression analysis is beyond my pay grade.

Wind, temperature, sunshine, geopolitics, gas storage, industrial activity, equipment failure and maintenance, all influence prices. Not in that order.

SAC2334

Last two years since I ve been on smart tariffs Tracker and Agile at this time of the year the prices are at their highest. The EU stock up to cover their winter usage .Last two years from mid December on the gas price dropped a lot once full gas stocks were reported from the E.U. Last winter I was getting my gas at between just 3.5 p a kWh and 4 p kWh Jan and Feb . 

RavingMad

Being a mild winter certainly helped keep prices down last year 

Shedman

RavingMad said:

Being a mild winter certainly helped keep prices down last year 

Let's hope the old wives tale of lots of berries on trees and bushes foretelling a cold winter doesn't hold true as certainly seems to a lot around here I noticed on a walk yesterday 

QrizB

Tracker gas is definitely getting expensive. Allowing for boiler efficiency, it's becoming cheaper to heat my water tank using Octopus Intelligent Go during the off-peak period!

(Just passing through, not yet back to being a regular poster.)

pete-20-11

I don't have the option to heat water using electric, got a combi boiler.

So far, tracker has has been cheaper than the svr, yes it's gone up a bit, but so has the svr. 

I could fix, but currently riding tracker and hoping that prices come down a bit in January.