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Suggestions for a speculative punt?

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  • adindas
    adindas Posts: 6,856 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 12 March 2022 at 3:09PM
    Geopolitical Event, Calender days to reach the Bottom and Days to Recovery
    Geopolitical Event, Calender days to reach the Bottom and Days to Recovery.
    In average, it takes about 22 Days after the event to reach the bottom and take another 47 days to recover..



  • adindas
    adindas Posts: 6,856 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 12 March 2022 at 5:00PM
    The Dow Jones DJIA performance during the major crisis. The Dow Jones DJIA performance during the major crisis. During these events, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropped by an average of about 6%. In all but four cases, the market returned to positive territory within six months of the end of each decline.

  • adindas
    adindas Posts: 6,856 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 12 March 2022 at 6:58PM
    Lesson on how to outperform the the Market from one of the greatest Hedge Fund on Erath Peter Lynch.
    "know-what-you-own-and-know-why-you-own-it"



    This is video clips of what he mean by that in the interview with Fox Business.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JA2f0V-eoh4

  • adindas
    adindas Posts: 6,856 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 16 March 2022 at 9:38PM
    FED is raising the interest rate by 25 basis points (e.g 0.25%) this is already expected so has been priced in the market. Thus the reason why the stock market is rising and green close to the stock market closing time today.
    Also Chinese authority saying that they will help the Chinese companies listing in the foreign stock exchange, the reason why Chinese stock suddenly went up. NIO for instance has risen 25.50% just today alone.
    Expecting to see the green day tomorrow, if there is not more bad news regarding geo political situation in Ukraine as well as new COVID variant in China.
  • adindas
    adindas Posts: 6,856 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    The indicator Fear and Greed Index, The VIX hold true again
    FED is raising the interest rate by 25 basis points (e.g 0.25%) this is already expected so has been priced in the market. Thus the reason why the stock market is rising and green close to the stock market closing time today.





  • Steve182
    Steve182 Posts: 623 Forumite
    Fourth Anniversary 500 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    adindas said:
    FED is raising the interest rate by 25 basis points (e.g 0.25%) this is already expected so has been priced in the market. Thus the reason why the stock market is rising and green close to the stock market closing time today.
    Also Chinese authority saying that they will help the Chinese companies listing in the foreign stock exchange, the reason why Chinese stock suddenly went up. NIO for instance has risen 25.50% just today alone.
    Expecting to see the green day tomorrow, if there is not more bad news regarding geo political situation in Ukraine as well as new COVID variant in China.
    I've never seen Chinese or indeed any country or sector increase like this in ONE day -


    “Like a bunch of cod fishermen after all the cod’s been overfished, they don’t catch a lot of cod, but they keep on fishing in the same waters. That’s what’s happened to all these value investors. Maybe they should move to where the fish are.”   Charlie Munger, vice chairman, Berkshire Hathaway
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    A sign of geopolitical instability perhaps. 
  • adindas
    adindas Posts: 6,856 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 17 March 2022 at 12:25AM
    Steve182 said:
    adindas said:
    FED is raising the interest rate by 25 basis points (e.g 0.25%) this is already expected so has been priced in the market. Thus the reason why the stock market is rising and green close to the stock market closing time today.
    Also Chinese authority saying that they will help the Chinese companies listing in the foreign stock exchange, the reason why Chinese stock suddenly went up. NIO for instance has risen 25.50% just today alone.
    Expecting to see the green day tomorrow, if there is not more bad news regarding geo political situation in Ukraine as well as new COVID variant in China.
    I've never seen Chinese Authority or indeed any country or sector increase like this in ONE day -



    The power of catalyst ...
    China says it will support Chinese IPOs abroad, calls for closure on tech crackdown Wed, Mar 16 2022 by Evelyn Cheng
    Chinese Authority said in minute 1:28 they are working together with SEC with audit deal as soon as possible
  • csgohan4
    csgohan4 Posts: 10,600 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Too late for Ant group, that volatility is not something I would want in my portfolio. Did flirt with the idea of Baba being so cheap when they were at 160. Glad I didn't
    "It is prudent when shopping for something important, not to limit yourself to Pound land/Estate Agents"

    G_M/ Bowlhead99 RIP
  • adindas
    adindas Posts: 6,856 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 18 March 2022 at 9:08PM
    csgohan4 said:
    Too late for Ant group, that volatility is not something I would want in my portfolio. Did flirt with the idea of Baba being so cheap when they were at 160. Glad I didn't
    If you do not want volatility the best thing is to invest in index fund
    For instance for US stocks and ADR, it is  S&P500. S&P 500 is the benchmark for the calculation of Beta Coefficient of individual stocks.
    For individual stock look for the stock which has  Beta Coefficient as close as 1.0.
    For some people, like Peter Lynch, acute traders volatility is their friends.
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