Suggestions for a speculative punt?

adindas

European markets slip as London Stock Exchange blocks trading in Russian stocks LaToya Harding Thu, 3 March 2022

European markets slip as London Stock Exchange blocks trading in Russian stocks

LSE said it was blocking trading in certain firms 'further to recent sanctions in connection with events in Ukraine'.

Previously
Russian stocks Evraz and Polymetal set to lose FTSE 100 status, LaToya Harding·Business reporter Tue, 1 March 2022

Russian stocks Evraz and Polymetal set to lose FTSE 100 status

It comes as part of the first FTSE reshuffle of 2022, which is highly reflective of the current market turmoil resulting from geopolitical tensions.

sevenhills

Thrugelmir said:

The invasion won't cease until Putin achieves his objectives. Connecting Russia to the Crimea with a land corridor seems part of the overall plan. 

If one of Putins political opponents assassinates him, Evraz's share price will increase rapidly.

Is that likely to happen, there is a small chance, its the only quick way out of this mess.

Thrugelmir

sevenhills said:

Thrugelmir said:

The invasion won't cease until Putin achieves his objectives. Connecting Russia to the Crimea with a land corridor seems part of the overall plan. 

If one of Putins political opponents assassinates him, 

Suspect the majority were removed from public view a long time ago. Putin operates a dictatorship. 

adindas

Trading 212 start suspending Russian Shares today, preventing people buying them. Only selling is allowed now. These are the lists of shares suspended for trading.

adindas

According to CME probabilistic calculator Prediction. 

https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

The chance of interest hike >= 0.5% by the FED is now 0.0% chance

Between >=0.25 and <0.5% is 99.8% chance

Between 0 to <=0.25% 0.2% chance.

Ukrainian war has happened & the interest rate hike of 0.25% is already expected so it is already priced in the stock market. Hopefully the stock market will response favorably despite interest rate hike.
The Ukrainian war that has not been priced in the stock market s the use of WMD. 

adindas

adindas said:

Steve182 said:

sevenhills said:

Ciprico said:

Gazprom....?

Evraz...?

A friend of mine suggested that was a good price when it went down to 300, I bought Metro Bank instead. Fingers crossed 

Evraz was £3 as recently as 2 weeks ago. Now 60p. At around that time I remember telling a friend I was about 70% certain Putin would invade. 

Given my near certainty of what would come next (militarily at least) I wish I'd had the foresight to short Russian owned companies.

I just skim the info (have not done a dip digger). It seems Evraz is a very solid company, thus a very good Investment.:

- P/E Ratio 0.46 (Steel Industry Average is around 27),

- P/S Ratio is 0.09 (Steel Industry Average is around 28)

- P/B Ratio 0.67 (Lower Than 1)

- Dividend : It is currently paying 50.32% (Madness how could they effort that ??)

-  Analysts Price Target is GBX650 (so potentially 8x-9x)

- Currently in a very dip value territory

- Their operation is not just in Russia but around the world : EVRAZ plc, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes steel and related products in Russia, the Americas, Asia, Europe, CIS, Africa, and internationally

I do not have any intention to calculate myself, as it takes a lot of times but I will try to find out their Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-score if I could and posr ir here if I could find it.

I am aware they might be dropped from FTSE 100 which is the concern. Also some people do not like it as their operation is in Russia. Is there any other point that would make it this is not a good investment ??

This morning alone (just half day) this share has jumped 21.09%, but you could not buy it any more due to sanction. You could close your position but you will not be able to add it any more.

adindas

Fear and Greed Index & The Vix today. How accurate they are !!!

adindas

Oil Market Prediction from Analyst if Russian Oils is cut

Cutting off Russian oil could mean $200 a barrel: Stifel's Wheaton Mar 4, 2022 CNBC Television

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B51le9K3DPY

adindas

Fear & Greed index and The Vix still hold true today. remember yesterday was a big sell-off in the stock market

adindas

CPI figure in the US reported yesterday 7.9%

It is mainly coming from the soaring Energy, Oil and Gas Price.