Suggestions for a speculative punt?

sevenhills

coastline said:

Investors Chronicle or FTimes have a simple charting package which is clear to understand. TradingView is another. I don't use apps.
Set up Stochastic , Williams%R and RSI on here from the lower indicators. Study it for a while and relax .

FTSE 100 Index chart, prices and performance - Investors Chronicle

Investors Chronicle does seem informative and easy to understand, it's interesting to see what the analysts predict.

Most of my shares seem to be predicted to have a rosy future, but I guess most shares go up, most of the time.

The one share that is a possible sell, is Metro Bank, but I am waiting for a slight upturn first. Famous last words before the crash 

Thrugelmir

masonic said:

Shocking_Blue said:

adindas said:

Shocking_Blue said:

Apologies - this link was given way back in this to thread. Would anyone know of a similar alternative (the one below doesn't seem to be available on iWeb).

https://www.ishares.com/ch/institutional/en/products/307130/ishares-electric-vehicles-and-driving-technology-ucits-etf-usd-acc-fund

Thanks

Two of the most commonly quoted:

IDRV - iShares Self-driving EV & Tech ETF

DRIV - Global X Autonomous & Electric Vehicles ETF Fund

Also this one

FDRV - Fidelity Electric Vehicles and Future Transportation ETF

CARZ - First Trust NASDAQ Global Auto Index Fund (This one Include Semi Conductor and Technologies)

I have no holdings on either of this ETF so have not  idea of their performance.

Thanks.
IWeb don't seem to do any of these. Might choose one then see if they'll do it.
Thanks

iWeb is one of the worst places for availability of unusual/new ETFs. They seem to make a meal of compliance checks and often reject investments that other platforms are happy to make available.

Full stockbroking services are available elsewhere within the banking group. Specialist investments are generally unsuitable for the majority of retail investors. Question to ask is whether you qualify as a Sophisticated Investor. 

adindas

There is a good recent article from analysts about

Dip Buyers' Make Big Money On 10 Bouncing Stocks (For Now)

https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-dip-buyers-are-making-money-on-battered-stocks-for-now/

Apart from Metaplatform (FB) and Paypal (PYPL) I do not own other stocks, I used to own Netflix (NFLX) and Moderna (MRNA) but I sold them last year.  This might be a starting point to do one's own deep DD to investigate all of these stocks, you might get a bargain with risk/reward ratio is in your favour. They are all S&P500 companies, so general DDs have been done. Also because all of them are in S&P500 there are a lot of institutional holders working as a buffer protecting the downside and the short-sellers attack. Also they are highly unlikely bogus companies, go bankrupt in the foreseeable future.

sevenhills

coastline said:

Investors Chronicle or FTimes have a simple charting package which is clear to understand. TradingView is another. I don't use apps.

I have just used Investors Chronicle to see what the 'forecasters' say about my 16 shareholdings.

The lowest increase is forecast to be Spire Healthcare, +4%

The highest increase is forecast to be Capita, +164%

Royal Mail +73%

Esken +68%

Just hope these forecasters know what they are talking about 

adindas

sevenhills said:

coastline said:

Investors Chronicle or FTimes have a simple charting package which is clear to understand. TradingView is another. I don't use apps.

I have just used Investors Chronicle to see what the 'forecasters' say about my 16 shareholdings.

The lowest increase is forecast to be Spire Healthcare, +4%

The highest increase is forecast to be Capita, +164%

Royal Mail +73%

Esken +68%

Just hope these forecasters know what they are talking about 

IMO in the current GBX 366.60 price Royal Mail Group (RMG.L) is quite a safe play. Analyst iyr PT GBX 600.77.

In January 2022, the price was around GBX450, nothing fundamentally change apart from the sentiment. So they could easily go back to that level when all of the FUD has been cleared.

Forward dividend & yield    0.17 (4.50%). Also healthy financial stand. Little sign for a distress.

P/E (TTM)    4.25    Price/Cash flow per share    2.43
Current ratio    1.30    Quick ratio    1.29     Total debt/total equity    0.4381  

Profitable business compared to their peers

adindas

The indicators, Fear and Geed Index, The VIX correct again. It capture the momentum of bull run last week.

adindas

Recession is coming ? Yield inversion 10Yr Minus 2Yr Maturity

When there is yield Inversion; 10Yr Maturity Minus 2Yr Maturity of treasury bond yield is going to negative (e.g 2Yr yield is already higher than 2Yr yield) = Recession in the US. It has been frequently quoted that this is almost 100% accurate in the past. They are already very close to zero
Also FED already warns about the possibility that US economy will go into recession.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y

adindas

adindas said:

Recession is coming ? Yield inversion 10Yr Minus 2Yr Maturity

When there is yield Inversion; 10Yr Maturity Minus 2Yr Maturity of treasury bond yield is going to negative (e.g 2Yr yield is already higher than 2Yr yield) = Recession in the US. It has been frequently quoted that this is almost 100% accurate in the past. They are already very close to zero
Also FED already warns about the possibility that US economy will go into recession.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y

Bond Yield Inversion; 10Yr Maturity Minus 2Yr Maturity of treasury bond yield is going to negative (e.g 2Yr yield is already higher than 2Yr yield) leading to recession is just the past event it will not necessary prevail this coming year.
Also in the past the recession normally came around 12-18 month after the yield inversion, not immediate.
Also as the recession is defined a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth measured by a country's gross domestic product (GDP). So even if the recession is started  today, the earliest we now for sure that the US economy in recession is after 6 months from now.

This is another article from Market watch regarding Bond Yield Inversion and recession. Yield curve a reliable economic indicator, but a poor market timing tools.
“In fact, the median return of the S&P 500 index from the date in each cycle when the yield curve inverts to the market peak is 19%.” (See table below.)

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-an-inverted-yield-curve-says-about-the-stock-market-and-recessions-11648596049

adindas

Ron Baron One of the Billionaires early investor of Tesla (TSLA), his cost of ownership basis of $42.88 each.@ $42.88. Now the current price of TSLA is @$1,084.59 and expect to rise further with the recent stock split announcement.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/27/ron-baron-says-he-made-6-billion-on-tesla-investment-plans-to-be-a-shareholder-for-a-long-time.html

His Direct interview with CNBC (short version) is here

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhxDdInMT68

adindas

FED March Meeting minutes was official released yesterday. This is I believe which cause the stock market to fall since two days ago. Instead of buying bond which they have been doing during COVID-19 pandemic they will now be selling it.

Fed officials plan to shrink the balance sheet by $95 billion a month, meeting minutes indicate. Published Wed, Apr 6 2022

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/06/fed-minutes-march-2022-meetings-.html

Another one is a Signal Faster Pace of Rate Increases instead of standard 25 basis point (e.g 0.25%) they will probably do it with 50 basis point (e.g 0.5%)

https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-signals-half-percentage-point-increases-could-be-warranted-at-coming-meetings-11649268002