Brexit the economy and house prices part 6

gfplux

Thrugelmir wrote: »

The UK has been running a trade deficit for decades. Changing the focus of the economy is a long term project. As there isn't the ability to increase output akin to turning on a tap.

The British Government and Industry have had over TWO years to play with the tap. Have you heard anything about how that is going?
Please let me know if you do.

gfplux

wunferall wrote: »

All this gumph remainers are spouting about damaging UK car manufacturing in the event of a no-deal Brexit if just that, gumph according to the head of Aston Martin.
Since he's English and directly involved in car manufacture I trust his views more than those of this forum's keyboard warriors.

"Britain's car trade could benefit from no-deal Brexit, says head of Aston Martin"

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/08/29/britains-car-trade-could-benefit-no-deal-brexit-says-head-aston/
It's paywalled but you get the gist I'm sure.

The Company is preparing to go public. So as Mandy Rice Davis said...........

ukcarper

gfplux wrote: »

Even if your knowledge of supply chain management is your latest purchase from Amazon who has EVER heard of “delays become (a) constant.”

Thie time taken to clear customs will become constant so it should have read delay. I take it you accept that it's not the the time it takes for parts to arrive that determines amount of storage space require but frequency

antrobus

gfplux wrote: »

The British Government and Industry have had over TWO years to play with the tap. Have you heard anything about how that is going?
Please let me know if you do.

Seems to be going a bit better.

UK Current Account Deficit Stats Confirm UK's Exports of Goods at Record High
https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/economics/9361-uk-current-account-deficit-stats-confirm-uk-s-exports-of-goods-at-record-high

I think it might have something to do with the post-referendum weakness of GBP.

Moby

Tromking wrote: »

Again, I’m not sure that 80% of our elected representatives who were voted in on a Brexit honouring manifesto making us vote again, trumps the 2016 decision.
Thus far there is still no mandate for the ignoring of the referendum result.

People like me are ensuring the position of the Labour Party will shift. Like referendums, manifestos are not set in stone. A 'no deal' brexit will change things. People didn't vote brexit to become poor!

ukcarper

Moby wrote: »

People like me are ensuring the position of the Labour Party will shift. Like referendums, manifestos are not set in stone. A 'no deal' brexit will change things. People didn't vote brexit to become poor!

If Labour come out in favour of remain how many votes do you think it will cost them?

Skeptical_Saver

Moby wrote: »

People like me are ensuring the position of the Labour Party will shift. Like referendums, manifestos are not set in stone. A 'no deal' brexit will change things. People didn't vote brexit to become poor!

Momentum alert.

"I'm right and everybody else is wrong, the public shouldn't be left to partake in pesky democracy!"

AFF8879

A shift to back remain would delight Labour’s champagne socialist core in London, but more than likely ravage its support in the heartlands. And those lost votes would not go to the Tories...

gfplux

ukcarper wrote: »

Thie time taken to clear customs will become constant so it should have read delay. I take it you accept that it's not the the time it takes for parts to arrive that determines amount of storage space require but frequency

My knowledge of customs clearance (as an importer of whole containers) is over 20 years old however.
While the paperwork was the same there was always something that could happen (Sod’s law)
The time from docking until a container left the port gates was NEVER a constant.
Present JIT requires absolutely no warehousing at the end production site. So I do not except that frequency of despatch of parts requires no warehousing.

By the way I am confident a withdrawal deal will be done. Wether that is a good withdrawal deal will depend on how the transition period ends.

Herzlos

ukcarper wrote: »

Thie time taken to clear customs will become constant so it should have read delay. I take it you accept that it's not the the time it takes for parts to arrive that determines amount of storage space require but frequency

I've always found customs times to be fairly unpredictable. It is the arrival frequency that matters; I don't think anyone has mentioned shipping time but the inconsistency of customs clearing.
That inconsistency means warehousing to dampen the supply frequency and ensure the parts are where they need to be when they are needed.