the snap general election thread

mayonnaise

mrginge wrote: »

When's it gonna be mayo?
When when I can't wait.

Patience, mrginge!

Filo25

Westminster VI:

CON: 46% (+7)
LAB: 24% (-2)
LDEM: 11% (+1)
UKIP: 8% (-3)
GRN: 4% (-3)

(via Kantar TNS / 20 - 24 Apr)
Chgs. w/ Aug 2016

mrginge

mayonnaise wrote: »

Patience, mrginge!

Damn you, you tease.

westernpromise

It's turning into a referendum on Corbyn. A 160-seat majority seems within Theresa's grasp, especially as she is hoovering up UKIP votes and UKIP aren't contesting every seat. Where they aren't standing, their supporters will largely be backing May.

The Jezziah is not, in my view, trying to win the general election at all. The election he's trying to win is the leadership election that will ensue after his abject defeat and subsequent stubborn refusal to step down.

Everything he is now saying and doing makes sense if you consider it's all about that. Why else would he be campaigning in Scotland, where there is at most one Labour seat to be saved? Answer: because he's getting out in front of the leadership contest electorate, the party members, who gave him 60% support last time. Even if he loses a third of that, he could still retain the leadership in the teeth of a challenge, if two other candidates come forward and thus helpfully split the other 60% between them.

westernpromise

Filo25 wrote: »

Westminster VI:

CON: 46% (+7)
LAB: 24% (-2)
LDEM: 11% (+1)
UKIP: 8% (-3)
GRN: 4% (-3)

(via Kantar TNS / 20 - 24 Apr)
Chgs. w/ Aug 2016

It could quite easily get worse even than that for Labour. Apparently most floating voters are unfamiliar with Khorbiyn's backstory supporting terrorism, and the Tories haven't even got started on him yet. Once they really go to work reminding the electorate what Yeremiy actually thinks and believes, we'll see the Tories polling above 50%, I would think.

System

Fella wrote: »

Reading the ghastly Kerry-Anne Mendoza's website? Why would you waste your time on that garbage? Surely there are credible sources of pro-Labour news out there? Aren't there.......?

Never heard of it before but if it's just reporting statistics I don't see what value there is in attacking the source.

Filo25

westernpromise wrote: »

It could quite easily get worse even than that for Labour. Apparently most floating voters are unfamiliar with Khorbiyn's backstory supporting terrorism, and the Tories haven't even got started on him yet. Once they really go to work reminding the electorate what Yeremiy actually thinks and believes, we'll see the Tories polling above 50%, I would think.

There's probably a bit more bleeding of votes to come from UKIP to the Tories as well.

We seem to be looking at the death throes of UKIP!

Thrugelmir

westernpromise wrote: »

It's turning into a referendum on Corbyn.

What a surprise. Backs the all powerful unions into a corner as well. Mrs M has a clearly thought through strategy.

BobQ

Thrugelmir wrote: »

Isn't the make up of the electorate changing though. Affluence is far wider spread than even 10 15 years ago.

Is that opinion or based on evidence? Not saying you are wrong but my impression is/was that this was not the case.

In terms of wealth the following suggests inequality is rising?

https://www.ft.com/content/1ad5c43a-a593-11e5-a91e-162b86790c58

Mortgagefreeman

BobQ wrote: »

Is that opinion or based on evidence? Not saying you are wrong but my impression is/was that this was not the case.

In terms of wealth the following suggests inequality is rising?

https://www.ft.com/content/1ad5c43a-a593-11e5-a91e-162b86790c58

Hi Bob, that articles rather old.

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