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Octopus Tracker

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  • auction price for tomorrow has dropped, expecting another cheap weekend so hold back all your washing 
    Nice! 12.88 for me - moved the car to charge in the early hours :)
  • As yet, I haven't received any email about moving to the new tracker formula.
  • SAC2334 said:
    Comparing my current Nov 22 v1 North Eastern unit costs with what will hit us on 15 Feb I see that elec will go  up by 9.75% and gas by 19%. Is that fairly typical?
    Today its a rise of 14.5% electric and 10.3 % gas between the two versions for Yorkshire region   .I have been getting varying percentage rises with a   lower gas percentage  rise of around 5%  .

    I ve done a rough guide to what the April 1 st capped rates will be in Yorkshire region with  Cornwall Insight s  predicting a 16% drop .
    That would make Yorkshire region capped rate  around 23 p/kwh electric  and 6.17 p/kwh  gas.
     Flexible has current rates of 27.79 /kwh electric  and 7.35p /kwh gas .
    If that is the case I will be sitting it out on Tracker all year and not jumping ship even with  the new formulae starting Feb 15 th
    That makes life more difficult, if the increases are not uniform but vary significantly by region.

    I wanted to "quantify" the greater volatility of Agile vs Tracker (for the North East) by comparing the respective multipliers. I have a note of my Tracker multiplier but cannot find what to compare it with for Agile. Can it be that there is not one Agile multiplier but 2 or more depending on the time of day?
    Telegraph Sam

    There are also unknown unknowns - the one's we don't know we don't know
  • SAC2334 said:
    Comparing my current Nov 22 v1 North Eastern unit costs with what will hit us on 15 Feb I see that elec will go  up by 9.75% and gas by 19%. Is that fairly typical?
    Today its a rise of 14.5% electric and 10.3 % gas between the two versions for Yorkshire region   .I have been getting varying percentage rises with a   lower gas percentage  rise of around 5%  .

    I ve done a rough guide to what the April 1 st capped rates will be in Yorkshire region with  Cornwall Insight s  predicting a 16% drop .
    That would make Yorkshire region capped rate  around 23 p/kwh electric  and 6.17 p/kwh  gas.
     Flexible has current rates of 27.79 /kwh electric  and 7.35p /kwh gas .
    If that is the case I will be sitting it out on Tracker all year and not jumping ship even with  the new formulae starting Feb 15 th
    That makes life more difficult, if the increases are not uniform but vary significantly by region.

    I wanted to "quantify" the greater volatility of Agile vs Tracker (for the North East) by comparing the respective multipliers. I have a note of my Tracker multiplier but cannot find what to compare it with for Agile. Can it be that there is not one Agile multiplier but 2 or more depending on the time of day?
    Thanks to your friend and mine, Google
    https://www.guylipman.com/octopus/formulas.html
  • QrizB
    QrizB Posts: 18,303 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Fourth Anniversary Photogenic Name Dropper
    edited 2 February 2024 at 11:40PM
    That makes life more difficult, if the increases are not uniform but vary significantly by region.
    They do, and it was noted in this thread by MFB when the new formulae were announced ;)
    Can it be that there is not one Agile multiplier but 2 or more depending on the time of day?
    The Agile formula is explained here:
    For 21 hours a day it's a simple multiplier of the wholesale cost. From 4om-7pm there's a fixed "evening peak" supplement added.
    That webpage only gives an example of the formula, and I haven't been able to find a complete list of the current factors. There's an old list from (I think) 2020 on Guy Lipman's blog here. (That's the same link Spoonie_Turtle has given, but please note that energy-stats says there was a new formula introduced on 2022.)
    N. Hampshire, he/him. Octopus Intelligent Go elec & Tracker gas / Vodafone BB / iD mobile. Ripple Kirk Hill member.
    2.72kWp PV facing SSW installed Jan 2012. 11 x 247w panels, 3.6kw inverter. 34 MWh generated, long-term average 2.6 Os.
    Not exactly back from my break, but dipping in and out of the forum.
    Ofgem cap table, Ofgem cap explainer. Economy 7 cap explainer. Gas vs E7 vs peak elec heating costs, Best kettle!
  • QrizB said:
    That makes life more difficult, if the increases are not uniform but vary significantly by region.
    They do, and it was noted in this thread by MFB when the new formulae were announced ;)
    Can it be that there is not one Agile multiplier but 2 or more depending on the time of day?
    The Agile formula is explained here:
    For 21 hours a day it's a simple multiplier of the wholesale cost. From 4om-7pm there's a fixed "evening peak" supplement added.
    That webpage only gives an example of the formula, and I haven't been able to find a complete list of the current factors. There's an old list from (I think) 2020 on Guy Lipman's blog here. (That's the same link Spoonie_Turtle has given, but please note that energy-stats says there was a new formula introduced on 2022.)
    Ooh good spot, sorry I completely missed the GL page was that old.

    One would think asking Octopus for the formula for one's region would yield results, as a last resort if Googling doesn't throw up the answer.
  • I had studied the agile-pricing page previously but it did not seem to contain my region-specific info. On the other hand the google-lipman duo does seem to make the calculations doable. At first glance my gut feel is that anyone who has to take the 4 - 7 pm penalty hit without the facility to recoup at other times - anyone in this flat consumption situation had best give Agile a wide berth in favour of Tracker. I'd be interested to be proved wrong however.
    Telegraph Sam

    There are also unknown unknowns - the one's we don't know we don't know
  • I'll take the google-lipman link as gospel unless anyone tells me that it has been superseded in the interim / in 2022
    Telegraph Sam

    There are also unknown unknowns - the one's we don't know we don't know
  • la531983
    la531983 Posts: 3,120 Forumite
    1,000 Posts First Anniversary Name Dropper
    Under 11p in plenty of regions tomorrow.....
  • I had studied the agile-pricing page previously but it did not seem to contain my region-specific info. On the other hand the google-lipman duo does seem to make the calculations doable. At first glance my gut feel is that anyone who has to take the 4 - 7 pm penalty hit without the facility to recoup at other times - anyone in this flat consumption situation had best give Agile a wide berth in favour of Tracker. I'd be interested to be proved wrong however.
    I agree. I’m on the tracker (currently Nov ‘22 version), and I’m not a high electricity user at all. So for example Jan I used 256 kWh, of which 147 kWh was the car charging. When I compare Tracker (either the Nov or the Dec versions) the days I don’t charge the car it’s within pence of the Agile cost. But if I was to shift the car charging time to the middle of the night I think it would save me a lot. So I agree that it is really a tariff for those who can load shift, which is who it is aimed at.

    im going to do an experiment for a couple of weeks when the saving sessions are done with, and move the car to middle of the night, leaving my other usage as is and see what the difference is - want to be sure before I take a leap off Tracker given the 9 month window!
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