BITCOIN

P1

Have you lost an old wallet or something HansOndabush?  You have been on here not making sense on every page for quite a while now.  For someone who is not invested in this you are spending a lot of time on the subject!

HansOndabush

Never invested in crypto and never will. If I wasn't prepared to pay $5 for a bitcoin, why would I pay $50,000? A bubble is fascinating as are the proponents of it who seem blinded to common sense and reason.

P1

Which bubble.  The priors or this one?  Do you regret not buying at $5.  Do you not think it would have been a good move?

HansOndabush

The crypto bubble. No no regrets about not buying at $5, I make my choices and take the consequences good or bad. Hindsight is a wonderful thing but no use having regrets. If I regret anything (financially) it is having sold some shares that have slipped through my hands too early; but really one can't look back, only forward.

whatstheplan

HansOndabush said:

The crypto bubble. No no regrets about not buying at $5, I make my choices and take the consequences good or bad. Hindsight is a wonderful thing but no use having regrets. If I regret anything (financially) it is having sold some shares that have slipped through my hands too early; but really one can't look back, only forward.

In a way this is also hindsight, however I do regret not following through on my plan to buy 1 x BTC and 10 x ETH back in 2017.  All ifs and buts, however if I'd held them until now ...

There again, rightly or wrongly, I won't be putting anything in at current prices.  Yes BTC might climb to a million and ETH to tens of thousands, so might still be a worthwhile punt, however I don't have that kind of £ to use in such a speculative manner.

BearWhite

So clearly we're not going to get any agreement on whether Crypto is a good investment or not, so maybe we can try and move on from that, on both sides, and make this thread useful?

I have about 5% of my wealth in it and am interested in what people think are good long terms investments in the space. I have BTC (55%)  and ETH (35%) plus some others platform tokens. Any views here on BTC v ETH as a long term investment? The rest of my money is in global trackers and a rental property so I'm well diversified.

Scottex99

HansOndabush said:

Scottex99 said:

Thrugelmir said:

[Deleted User] said:

IanManc said:

[Deleted User] said:

HansOndabush said:

Bitcoin could go to any price $100K, $1m, anything which still would not prove it isn't just a bubble and might go to $0

Have fun staying poor then, while we enjoy our millions. There’s a sucker born every minute. 😄

That comment might just come back to bite you.  🤨

 Cashed out profits thousand times over already and I still have active position in Bitcoin.

How do you cash out Bitcoin other than to sell it to another dumb speculator. When there's no one to sell it to what happens then? Takes two to trade. 

Why does this get raised again and again like it's relevant? It's not some illiquid fantasy asset with 3 orders in each order book. $65bn of BTC traded in the last 24 hours according to Gecko. My team put 2 x $1m BTC limit sell orders through an exchange fairly recently and they filled in about 4 mins.

Of course it is relevant. Just quoting volumes does not explain how you have cashed out profits thousands of times without someone else being on the losing side of those trades.

How is it not relevant? Volume (and lots of it) means I can sell 99.9% of all the crypto any time I want. Why would I care who is taking the other side of the trade? That's a punter/market maker/desk/trader, do you obsess over any stocks that you sell in profit too?

I bought my DOGE around the WSBs stuff about 2-3 months ago? At a price of $0.05. I'm not a fan of DOGE in general but had been holding as noobs were piling in. I sold 3/4s of my bag at $0.55 yesterday and used the profits to buy something else I liked. I could have easily cashed out to £ and moved the money to my bank too, if I wanted to.

Scottex99

BearWhite said:

So clearly we're not going to get any agreement on whether Crypto is a good investment or not, so maybe we can try and move on from that, on both sides, and make this thread useful?

I have about 5% of my wealth in it and am interested in what people think are good long terms investments in the space. I have BTC (55%)  and ETH (35%) plus some others platform tokens. Any views here on BTC v ETH as a long term investment? The rest of my money is in global trackers and a rental property so I'm well diversified.

Both the big 2 are good for a long term hold. ETH is my biggest bag but I'll happily keep buying both (lightly) with GBP most days.
I also have an ungodly amount of alts including multiple sh11tcoins that have done both badly and spectacularly well, that's general my degen stuff though

underground99

HansOndabush said:

Scottex99 said:

Thrugelmir said:

[Deleted User] said:

IanManc said:

[Deleted User] said:

HansOndabush said:

Bitcoin could go to any price $100K, $1m, anything which still would not prove it isn't just a bubble and might go to $0

Have fun staying poor then, while we enjoy our millions. There’s a sucker born every minute. 😄

That comment might just come back to bite you.  🤨

 Cashed out profits thousand times over already and I still have active position in Bitcoin.

How do you cash out Bitcoin other than to sell it to another dumb speculator. When there's no one to sell it to what happens then? Takes two to trade. 

Why does this get raised again and again like it's relevant? It's not some illiquid fantasy asset with 3 orders in each order book. $65bn of BTC traded in the last 24 hours according to Gecko. My team put 2 x $1m BTC limit sell orders through an exchange fairly recently and they filled in about 4 mins.

Of course it is relevant. Just quoting volumes does not explain how you have cashed out profits thousands of times without someone else being on the losing side of those trades.

If you buy something for £x and sell it for £y. You make a profit or loss of £y-x. Let's say y is greater than x (perhaps it is 10x or 100x or 1000x) so you have made a profit.

The person who bought it from you for £y then holds an asset which has cost them £y. Does that mean they are on 'the losing side of that trade'? The fact that they chose to pay y rather than buying it earlier at x means that they didn't make a profit in that earlier period. Are they a 'loser' who has 'made a loss'?  No, they are an investor or speculator who has bought something for a price. Time will tell whether they will ultimately consider the purchase of that thing for price £y to be a good thing or a bad thing.  As you mentioned in a previous post, you don't know whether the person buying for £y per BTC could eventually sell it for $100k or $1m. 

Perhaps the buyer at £y will eventually find it to be worthless and write it off for £0. Or perhaps he will make a profit. That is unknown. All that is known is that the person buying at £x and selling at £y made a profit.   

Your contention that the person buying at £x and selling for £y must be living in fantasy land because someone making a gain means someone else making a loss and he can't explain how he has made a gain without someone losing so must be an idiot, seems to betray a misunderstanding on your part. There is not always a profit and a loss. In that example, there is a profit and an unknown, which will be revealed in the fullness of time.    The person originally selling it for x could have made a lot more money if he held it instead until he could sell it for y. But he may have realised a profit by selling at x and then used the proceeds of x to do some alternative profitable venture, so would not consider himself a loser. The person buying from him at x and selling at y also made a profit and took those profits off to some other profitable venture, so he would not consider himself a loser either.  That just leaves the person who bought at £y and has not yet sold it. Today he could sell a bitcoin bought for £y for $58k which might be a profit or loss for him depending on how much £y is.

Your contention is that the bitcoin is worth £0, so you think the person paying £y for it must inherently be on the losing side of the trade as he paid £y which is more than £0. However, just like the person who bought an ounce of gold for $2040 which was more than anyone else ever paid before or since, the purchase at a high price and an eventual sale at a different price may end up making an overall profit, or not, and if it is a profit it might be good or bad level of profit compared to the profits which with hindsight were available from other assets over the same time period.

HansOndabush

All well and good but Scottex99 was talking about 'thousands of times' which implies short-term trading and hence if he is making a profit, someone else is losing or are you saying that there can only ever be long-term investors/speculators on the other side of these thousands of trades?