Suggestions for a speculative punt?

adindas

Yesterday initially, when the CPI figure was announced, the market response is not that bad but suddenly a few hours later and close to the closing hours the market down around 2%.

The FED came out yesterday and said they were going to do the interest rate hike of 0.5% in March (e.g higher than previously anticipated e.g., 0.25%) and they might increase interest to 1% in July. That is what might scare the investors imo.

Do not foget the FED January meeting minutes will be published on Wednesday February 16, 2022. There might be another market mover just like what it did last month in January. Just remember when December FED meeting minutes was relesed at the beginning of January that was what had triggered the market correction.

Let see what happen in this coming Wednesday February 16, 2022.

Thrugelmir

adindas said:

The FED came out yesterday and said they were going to do the interest rate hike of 0.5% in March (e.g higher than previously anticipated e.g., 0.25%) and they might increase interest to 1% in July. That is what might scare the investors imo.

There's calls for the FED to be more aggressive. No decision will be made until the March monthly meeting when the committee members cast their individual votes. Still more economic data to be released before then. 

adindas

The Macro Barometer: The VIX, Fear and Geed Index is correct again today isn't it ??

adindas

If your portfolio contain sizeable number of growth stocks , it is good to watch the FED Meeting schedule.

Russia Invades Ukraine + HIgh Inflation that trigger much higher interest rate than expected, high probably the stock market and cryptos will crash ??

https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=russia+ukraine

adindas

Macro Barometer, The VIX, Fear and Greed Index is correct again today, isn't.t it ?

adindas

The possibility that Russia will invade Ukraine is probably much lower now

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-stock-futures-jump-on-report-some-russian-troops-are-heading-back-to-base-11644914890

U.S. stock futures jump as Russia says some troops are heading back to base

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/14/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html

Dow futures jump more than 400 points as Russia pulls back some troops from Ukraine border.

On this news Oils & Gas, Gold price drops today

BrockStoker

adindas said:

The possibility that Russia will invade Ukraine is probably much lower now

Every day that goes by gives the west more of a chance to beef up Ukraine's defenses, so the risk/reward profile gets worse for Putin, and a war becomes less likely. He's not a fool. I think if he really wanted to invade there would not be so much warning. When the element of surprise is gone, so is the advantage. He doesn't want war, but he knows that he might be able to get some concessions out of the west for not too much effort, which would make him look good.

adindas

BrockStoker said:

adindas said:

The possibility that Russia will invade Ukraine is probably much lower now

Every day that goes by gives the west more of a chance to beef up Ukraine's defenses, so the risk/reward profile gets worse for Putin, and a war becomes less likely. He's not a fool. I think if he really wanted to invade there would not be so much warning. When the element of surprise is gone, so is the advantage. He doesn't want war, but he knows that he might be able to get some concessions out of the west for not too much effort, which would make him look good.

IMO Putin just wants to make it as a bargaining tool, preventing Ukraine to join NATO.

Thrugelmir

Germany needs Russian Gas also sells armaments to Russia. Hardly surprising not keen on sanctions. Putin is driving a divide into the weak political leadership across Europe. 

adindas

The macro Barometer is Correct Again today, Isn't it ??