Suggestions for a speculative punt?

adindas

Both of these guys are already like god. Just watch out what they will spell out this coming Wednesday. 

When they said they will not do anything in the next three week the market will response well, but when they said, they will be more aggregative to combat inflation, rising IR earlier than expected, will start offloading its bond that is where the market will tank.

adindas

This is what cause the stock market tank today. Stock markets fall amid Russia-Ukraine war fears
Pedro Goncalves·Finance reporter
Mon, 24 January 2022, 8:57 am·4-min read

https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/european-stocks-russia-ukraine-tensions-ftse-cac-dax-085728395.html 

This event is magnified by the fact that the companies are reporting their earning now. Always FED will be updating what they will do regarding inflation and interest rte this coming Wednesday.
From, Fear and Greed Index, At least we have not been in in extreme Side

Malthusian

Is Jim Cramer really still going? I thought he'd retired after he told everyone to buy Bear Stearns in the credit crunch. I looked up his Wikipedia article a year or so ago (after watching George Clooney's inspired parody in Money Monster), and it basically ends in 2009, apart from the odd trivia item about his concussionball team and having a mild case of rona.

I guess there will always be a nostaligia market for his schtick for as long as he wants to keep it up, but watching Cramer for stock market tips in 2022 is in the same category as tuning in to the relaunch of GamesMaster or Bob Harris on Radio 2.

adindas

adindas said:

Is the stock market near the bottom / This guy say yes ....

I do not just blindly believe this guy especially when talking about stock recommendation as it seems many believe he is working on the interest of whales and HF managers. Also, I believe the apes hate him. But He is HF veteran and used to work at Goldman Sachs investment bank for many years, so he has authority and many of his analysis are quite rationals and interestings. Also he is using analytical tools that are not easily available for ordinary traders/Investors.

Here’s why Jim Cramer thinks the stock market is getting closer to reaching an investable bottom Jan 21, 2022

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fzPLLrAkYaM

This guy thinks the stock market is getting closer to reaching an investable bottom Jan 21, 2022. If he got it wrong and you lost money using this information please ask this guy, not me

Morgan Stanley Analyst and Strategist has a different opinion. after looking into some of the blue chip’s stock do not lift up with expectation with earning during this Jan-Feb Earning season.

https://fortune.com/2022/01/24/morgan-stanley-stock-market-earnings-outlook/

It is good to listen to everyone but listen to noone when making the final decision. It is good to only make decision by your own using your own analysis and what you have concluded.

adindas

Statistical Fact about the bear Market.

The Bear Market Duration and Declining Percentage

Other Facts:

• Watch for 20%: Market cycles are measured from peak to trough, so a stock index officially reaches bear territory when the closing price drops at least 20% from its most recent high (whereas a correction is a drop of 10%-19.9%). A new bull market begins when the closing price gains 20% from its low.
• Stocks lose 36% on average in a bear market. 1 By contrast, stocks gain 114% on average during a bull market.
• Bear markets are normal. There have been 26 bear markets in the S&P 500 Index since 1928. However, there have also been 27 bull markets—and stocks have risen significantly over the long term.
• Bear markets tend to be short-lived. The average length of a bear market is 289 days, or about 9.6 months. That’s significantly shorter than the average length of a bull market, which is 991 days or 2.7 years.
• Every 3.6 years: That’s the long-term average frequency between bear markets. Though many consider the bull market that ended in 2020 to be the longest on record, the bull that ran from December 1987 until the dot-com crash in March 2000 is technically the longest (a drop of 19.9% in 1990 nearly derailed that bull, but just missed the bear threshold).
• Bear markets have been less frequent since World War II. Between 1928 and 1945 there were 12 bear markets, or one about every 1.4 years. Since 1945, there have been 14—one about every 5.4 years.
• Half of the S&P 500 Index’s strongest days in the last 20 years occurred during a bear market. Another 34% of the market’s best days took place in the first two months of a bull market—before it was clear a bull market had begun.2 In other words, the best way to weather a downturn could be to stay invested since it’s difficult to time the market’s recovery.
• A bear market doesn’t necessarily indicate an economic recession. There have been 26 bear markets since 1929, but only 15 recessions during that time.3 Bear markets often go hand in hand with a slowing economy, but a declining market doesn’t necessarily mean a recession is looming.
• Assuming a 50-year investment horizon, you can expect to live through about 14 bear markets, give or take. Although it can be difficult to watch your portfolio dip with the market, it’s important to keep in mind that downturns have always been a temporary part of the process.
• Bear markets can be painful, but overall, markets are positive a majority of the time. Of the last 92 years of market history, bear markets have comprised only about 20.6 of those years. Put another way, stocks have been on the rise 78% of the time.

Source: Quoted from here
https://www.hartfordfunds.com/practice-management/client-conversations/bear-markets.html

Ted_01

adindas said:

Source: Quoted from here

https://www.hartf0rdfunds.com/practice-management/client-conversations/bear-markets.html

Thanks for that post, your link is wrong, I've corrected it...

https://www.hartfordfunds.com/practice-management/client-conversations/bear-markets.html

Thrugelmir

I doubt many UK investors have a portfolio that consists only of the S&P 500. 

csgohan4

Thrugelmir said:

I doubt many UK investors have a portfolio that consists only of the S&P 500. 

You'd be surprised, there are some people I've seen do exactly that, riding on the US wave, which sadly is now on the downturn

Luckily I sold my  Small S+P tracker 1 year ago

adindas

Thrugelmir said:

I doubt many UK investors have a portfolio that consists only of the S&P 500. 

True. But in mind that many UK Investors have a reasonable exposure to S&P 500 companies & US big tech stocks. Example: Vanguard Life strategy, Baillie Gifford

Also, as usual bear market in the US will impact on other countries due to the role of MNC which is highly dominated by the S&P 500 companies.

adindas

csgohan4 said:

Thrugelmir said:

I doubt many UK investors have a portfolio that consists only of the S&P 500. 

You'd be surprised, there are some people I've seen do exactly that, riding on the US wave, which sadly is now on the downturn

Luckily I sold my  Small S+P tracker 1 year ago

S&P small cap is S&P600 is it not ?? I wonder where to get S&P600 in the UK ?