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Suggestions for a speculative punt?
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benbay001 said:Tesla have this licked, but then they are valued in such a way that they are worth than all other car manufacturers combined (if i heard it right the other week).
Tesla are currently valued in such a way that even if they achieve phenomenal sales growth and profit margins, even in 10 years, with no change from todays shareprice, they will still be at a crazy P/E.
You are also taking a risky bet that none of the incumbents come out with a better tech in that 10 years(not a bet i would like to make).
Its also the case that alot of people buy Teslas over the competitors because they are novel. This wont be the case if one in every 3 cars is a Tesla.
Just because a company is a good company, does not mean its a good investment.
IMHO.One person caring about another represents life's greatest value.0 -
Staffline. (STAF LN)
Been battered down from 1000p to 20p in 2019, profit warnings etc. Signs of a business turnaround in 2020, financials better, people change etc. I bought at 25p in September last year, been recovering recently up to 70p ish. Brexit could help. My punt that it could double or more in the next 6 months.2 -
Cus said:Staffline. (STAF LN)
Been battered down from 1000p to 20p in 2019, profit warnings etc. Signs of a business turnaround in 2020, financials better, people change etc. I bought at 25p in September last year, been recovering recently up to 70p ish. Brexit could help. My punt that it could double or more in the next 6 months.
Thank you, could pop to 300 with a decent takeover.
I am a holder and if covid becomes history Staff recruitment could be be a winner, patience needed for this one.
IMHO.
One person caring about another represents life's greatest value.0 -
So, as for decent punts, the best i can do is list what i hold and why i hold them. (Is that different to ramping?)
- Somero Enterprises (SOM) - my favorite stock and a huge 30% of my portfolio. I held them pre COVID and have managed to bring my average price down over the year to just over £2. They are a UK listed American company producing ride on and boom style concrete flooring equipment. They have a debt free balance sheet and £20m of cash on a £200m market cap. Net assets £60m Trailing P/E of 12.
- SThree (STEM) - My newest position, multinational recruitment company in the science tech engineering and maths area. Trailing PE of 10, £116m of net assets on a £440m market cap. Recent trading update has them fairly resilient to COVID.
- Belvoir (BLV) - Estate agent franchise. Possibly tied for my riskiest position as im not sure what will happen to the UK housing market if stamp duty comes back. Trailing PE of 12.5. The company has seen fantastic growth over the last 5 years, both in profit and revenue. Seems to be very well managed. Not a great balance sheet.£27m net assets or -£5m if you dont allow them "intangibles" on a £59m market cap.
- Tekmar (TGP) - My other joint riskiest. When i first bought them they had the whole market for producing subsea cable protection systems as used in off shore wind and oil and gas (nr 50% split IIRC) Trailing PE of 15. Potential for huge upside, but they have recently announced that they are begining to see competition enter the market. Should hopefully be room for a few players though with the growth in off shore wind. £30m market cap, £45m of net assets.
- MTI Wireless (MWE) - bought in june time (i think) for 36p, now worth 87p, so easily my best performing stock. MWE are UK listed but an Israeli company and have two businesses, one produces antennas and is massively into the 5G rollout. And the other produces water conservation and management systems for farming. The per share metrics arent as healthy now its gone up massively, but the prospects are massive for the company IMHO. Trailing PE of 34, £23m net assets, market cap of £76m.
- RA International (RAI) - Design, supply, build and run camps and sites for NGOs, companies and governments across Africa. They do some "security" work so perhaps not for everyone on moral grounds, but the company is very well managed with a great balance sheet and very healthy order book. Warning - the owners/founders have a 70%+ controlling stake in the company. Trailing P/E of 9, or 6 if you do the last 2 half years. $21m USD cash £92m market cap. £69m net assets.
Other than Tekmar, they all pay a dividend and they all had a profitable 2019.
This year has taught me the value of a strong debt free balance sheet more than anything else.
Back in January i held IAG. Ouch.
I grabbed the numbers off LSE.co.uk for most of it and may have muddled up £ and $ a few times, but i was in a rush.
Happy to answer any questions and would also genuinely welcome any criticism.Im A Budding Neil Woodford.1 -
benbay001 said:So, as for decent punts, the best i can do is list what i hold and why i hold them. (Is that different to ramping?)
- SThree (STEM) - Nice.
- Belvoir (BLV) - Sell.
- Tekmar (TGP) - Sell.
- MTI Wireless (MWE) - Top slice.
- RA International (RAI) - Keep.
IMHO.One person caring about another represents life's greatest value.0 -
Thanks
Whats your thinking on BLV and TGP?Im A Budding Neil Woodford.0 -
benbay001 said:Thanks
Whats your thinking on BLV and TGP?
BLV in a channel next stop 140.
But if you've done due dil' ignore me.One person caring about another represents life's greatest value.0 -
benbay001 said:Thanks
Whats your thinking on TGP?
RMMC is a good way of gaining broad exposure to the micro cap world.1 -
bowlhead99 said:Username999 said
Yawn, zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.
I'm "invested" via holding investment funds that have investments in Tesla, but not "invested" in any of their shares direct.Username999 said:
Are you "invested" in Tesla?bowlhead99 said:Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah....Username999 said:Thrugelmir said:
As the thread has been going half a year and a thousand posts, surely you could have found something to invest in by now?
As usual, it's just bluster. I think he's just jealous of other's success, and the fact that he has not been able to get anywhere himself, so "projects" his own frustration onto others.
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Since this threads been going I've bought into Ceres, itm, herald IT and inrg. the first two have doubled the second 2 up 25%.
Also bought and sold Nio at 100% profit.
Recently bought Eqtec as i like the concept of gasification and they have functioning installations. (Opposed to PHE).
All the above combined account for less than 5% of total savings but does add interest to a portfolio of mainly trackers and big its.
The point is there have been some great suggestions on here for a punt if you're prepared to take a risk, which is the point of a punt. If you don't like or appreciate the comments go and do something else....
Thrugelmir's comments are informed and normally refreshingly short...!
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