Brexit, the economy and house prices part 5

Eric_the_half_a_bee

Thrugelmir wrote: »

The inner circle of the EU can move forward if the UK leaves.

Yes, but - money

Thrugelmir

Eric_the_half_a_bee wrote: »

Yes, but - money

The EU isn't going to move on Free Movement.

Eric_the_half_a_bee

Thrugelmir wrote: »

The EU isn't going to move on Free Movement.

Sorry, wasn't meaning to suggesting it was. My point was if Parliament is asked to vote on "no deal" and instead instructs May to go back and ask the EU for an extension to our membership on current terms (including FoM) until a deal acceptable to Parliament is reached, the EU would probably agree (money). So voting against "no deal" is a realistic threat, if the MP maths stacks up.

posh*spice

Eric_the_half_a_bee wrote: »

Presumably, plead for an extension to our notice period, and extend our EU membership. Since the EU doesn't want us to leave, they will probably agree to that.

But what if they say no?

Herzlos

setmefree2 wrote: »

Ok - I see how it is. You can do news links but the rest of us can't.

Shall I report your posts as spam?

He added some commentary to his posts.

Herzlos

Conrad wrote: »

How much of a hole in the EUs budget would be left were to leave with no deal in March 2019? Tens of billions.

There's a lot of leverage right there, not to mention huge damage to the economy of Irealnd and others.

About £8bn if they don't make any cuts. That's about 5%.

The EU won't fall apart without our money. They aren't going to give us our super deal over it.

mrginge

posh*spice wrote: »

But what if they say no?

On the one hand we will go cap in hand back to the EU, desperate to be let back in. And they will welcome us with open arms because they really really want us to stay and help to block all their plans for future expansion.

And on the other hand...

Herzlos wrote: »

About £8bn if they don't make any cuts. That's about 5%.

The EU won't fall apart without our money. They aren't going to give us our super deal over it.

Herzlos

They aren't mutually exclusive. They'll happily let us back in without being desperate for our money

Conrad

Spain, Greece with huge unemployment and very reliant on the British tourist will benefit how if Uk trade is harmed?

I still maintain a good deal is obviously going to be done unless the EU (not European citizens) are so vindictive that they wish to harm Spanish hotel owners, Greek restaurant cooks and Irish beef farmers.

mrginge

Herzlos wrote: »

They aren't mutually exclusive. They'll happily let us back in without being desperate for our money

So after two years of hard negotiations, the eurozone streaking ahead while we stagnate, thousands of jobs relocating into the EU, mitigation and future planning being implemented at high cost and finally no need for our money.

Why are they going to want or let us back in?