Your GE 2017 predictions

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

6.0 to 7.9 % Conservative Lead

Conrad wrote: »

[STRIKE]People that have no passion for nor understanding of the huge benefits of[/STRIKE] A hard Tory Brexit would be an absolute disaster in terms of lost opportunity.

Fixed that for you...

aldershot

6.0 to 7.9 % Conservative Lead

Conrad wrote: »

People that have no passion for nor understanding of the huge benefits of Brexit would be an absolute disaster in terms of lost opportunity.


The Remain Lib Dums vote share is 8% - the majority of people want to get on with a successful Brexit journey, the last thing they want is a bunch of people in charge that relentlessly talk down our abilities and chances, that imply we are weak and at the beckon call of '27 other nations'

:eek::eek::eek::eek::eek::eek::eek::eek::eek::eek:

cogito

6.0 to 7.9 % Conservative Lead

kabayiri wrote: »

I'm interested in this young vote.

I heard a comment on the radio that one forecast assumed 90% turnout in the young voter section.

That does seem an optimistic assessment.

I always thought younger voters chose principal over practicality. They are more likely to adopt the Green party than think about keeping a candidate out.

Is this true, and would it dilute the effect of their vote?

The under 25 vote has never been more than 50% as far as I know. They might say that they'll vote but most of them will fail to have registered or be busy with exams. Of course, if they've voted in an online poll, they don't have to bother and if they don't get the right result they can start a facebook page. Or something.

Conrad

8.0 to 9.9 % Conservative Lead

Herzlos wrote: »

Tiny lead to Tory, May to step down (either due to shaming the party or the electoral commission offense).

I don't think it will be a tiny lead. Get ready for the 'surprise' BBC Exit poll once more.

IveSeenTheLight

Conrad wrote: »

I don't think it will be a tiny lead. Get ready for the 'surprise' BBC Exit poll once more.

Not exactly a surprise.
The poll of polls is predicting a Conservative increase in majority

kinger101

10.0 to 11.9 % Conservative Lead

kabayiri wrote: »

I'm interested in this young vote.

I heard a comment on the radio that one forecast assumed 90% turnout in the young voter section.

That does seem an optimistic assessment.

I always thought younger voters chose principal over practicality. They are more likely to adopt the Green party than think about keeping a candidate out.

Is this true, and would it dilute the effect of their vote?

90% does seem more than optimistic. But I expect the young will turn out in greater numbers because there's more to separate the two main parties now. From my more jaded point of view, it's the worst shower of sh1t3 I can recall for Con, Lab and Lib Dem.

gardner1

6.0 to 7.9 % Conservative Lead

kinger101 wrote: »

90% does seem more than optimistic. But I expect the young will turn out in greater numbers because there's more to separate the two main parties now. From my more jaded point of view, it's the worst shower of sh1t3 I can recall for Con, Lab and Lib Dem.

heavy rain tomorrow so that will keep the students and young kids from voting

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

6.0 to 7.9 % Conservative Lead

Final Survation poll - fieldwork completed at 9pm tonight.

Tory lead drops to under 1%.

Whereas others have the Tory lead ranging from 4% to 10%.

Remarkable variations... Guess we'll find out who was right in 22 hours.

SingleSue

You'd have to tie my lot down to stop them voting (23,20,19), a bit of rain will not deter them.

gardner1

6.0 to 7.9 % Conservative Lead

I love how labour supporters on here will quote all the narrow tory lead polls and how jezza is catching up and tory supporters quote the big lead polls
You can normally tell which party the OP will be voting for