Your GE 2017 predictions

GreatApe

padington wrote: »

May not to be the next prime minister, I've never know Labour to enjoy so much support in London.

London in 2015 also moved to labor they won 7 more seats out of 71 in total but it did not lead to victory in the GE.

[Deleted User]

3.0 to 5.9 % Conservative Lead

Labour are 17% ahead in London, 10% in wales, pushing for a close 2nd in scotland, you have to wonder what May was thinking about, if she loses seats and has a smaller majority than last time I suspect the party will ditch her PDQ

kabayiri

I still predict a Tory majority, but maybe Corbyn will be able to point to an increased voting percentage in specific areas as evidence that 'his message' is slowly getting through.

I'm struggling to see why Northern UKIP voters would consider a return to a Labour run by someone like Corbyn. He doesn't appear to have that broad appeal that Blair had.

gardner1

6.0 to 7.9 % Conservative Lead

venison wrote: »

Labour are 17% ahead in London, 10% in wales, pushing for a close 2nd in scotland, you have to wonder what May was thinking about, if she loses seats and has a smaller majority than last time I suspect the party will ditch her PDQ

Really are you sure or have you been dreaming

markharding557

8.0 to 9.9 % Conservative Lead

Clear Tory win but maybe not by as greater margin as originally predicted, I think 44 - 36 range in favour of the Tories.
Things have been affected by the attacks, a bizarrely poor election campaign from the Tories, a better than expected one from Labour and the fact that the Libdems seem to be making no progress at all.

Herzlos

0 to 1.9 % Conservative Lead

Tiny lead to Tory, May to step down (either due to shaming the party or the electoral commission offense).

cogito

6.0 to 7.9 % Conservative Lead

Tory majority of about 70. Many people flirting with Labour will ask themselves whether they really want a government led by clowns like Corbyn, McDonkey and Abbott.

Out,_Vile_Jelly

Is Bojo playing the most cunning long game? I know someone who put a double on Trump to win and Johnson to be PM by the end of this year, not sure of the odds.

I think the Cons will scrape a win, but it will be messy and there will be some furious backroom conversations about how they managed to f-up so spectacularly. Remember the early campaign days of "Wales is turning Tory for the first time in decades!"?

michaels

0 to 1.9 % Conservative Lead

Out,_Vile_Jelly wrote: »

Is Bojo playing the most cunning long game? I know someone who put a double on Trump to win and Johnson to be PM by the end of this year, not sure of the odds.

I think the Cons will scrape a win, but it will be messy and there will be some furious backroom conversations about how they managed to f-up so spectacularly. Remember the early campaign days of "Wales is turning Tory for the first time in decades!"?

Can't see May going in less than 2 years if Tories get an overall majority but I think she would need 40+ majority to still be leader going into the next election.

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

6.0 to 7.9 % Conservative Lead

michaels wrote: »

Can't see May going in less than 2 years if Tories get an overall majority but I think she would need 40+ majority to still be leader going into the next election.

Initial polls were predicting a 100 seat plus landslide.

Anything less than 60 and she'll struggle to remain leader until the next election.

Anything less than the current majority and she'll struggle to remain leader until next week....