Your GE 2017 predictions

kinger101

If you predict correctly, you win the right to act all smug for the day.

I'm 10.0 to 11.9% Con

bobbymotors

10.0 to 11.9 % Conservative Lead

me too. 46.5 - 35.5

Yah_Boo_Sux

10.0 to 11.9 % Conservative Lead

Here too . . . . . although I would hope that the UK contains more sensible people and so the majority would be higher I have learned not to expect too much. Sadly, because although I'm more French than British it does seem that the traditional "fair play" that Brits are renowned for has gone by the board in recent years. You're almost in Macron/Le Pen territory. Almost. Substitute JC for LP & you'll see what I mean.

LHW99

6.0 to 7.9 % Conservative Lead

Not quite as optimistic (pessimistic?) as others, but still reckon on a small Conservative majority,

padington

0 to 1.9 % Labour Lead

May not to be the next prime minister, I've never know Labour to enjoy so much support in London.

mayonnaise

2.0 % or greater Labour Lead

2.2% Labour lead.

kinger101

10.0 to 11.9 % Conservative Lead

padington wrote: »

May not to be the next prime minister, I've never know Labour to enjoy so much support in London.

Surely not more than 1997? I'd not get your hopes up. I think Labour voters often like wearing their heart on their sleeve. I've not got a single friend whom I know votes Tory make a political comment of facebook, but many of my Labour voting friends post political comments frequently.

A_Pict_In_A_Past_Life

8.0 to 9.9 % Conservative Lead

An overall majority for the Tories is really beyond doubt I think.
All that remains is how big the majority will be - and none of us have a crystal ball.
Well I don't.

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

6.0 to 7.9 % Conservative Lead

Before`london bridge' I'd have said a 3-4 point Tory win give or take.

Polls were moving rapidly towards Labour. Flat/Reduced majority seemed likely or even a minority govt propped up by DUP.

Now who knows... Depends on turnout and the terrorist fear factor over the next 48 hours, but it looks like the trend towards Labour has peaked.

Best guess a 6-8 point Tory win. May is this week canvassing seats up for grabs rather than defending marginals so Tory HQ and their internal polling must be confident.

But the national polls are all over the place from 1% to 12%, a bigger spread than I can ever remember, so it's all a bit bonkers really.

kinger101

10.0 to 11.9 % Conservative Lead

I went for my prediction based on (a) the most recent results for those who most accurately predicted it last time and (b) added a bit more for the Tories because historically, they've tended to underestimate Tory votes.

If they've corrected their models (doubt it), or significantly more young people are motivated to vote this time (quite likely I think), I could be out by quite a bit.

wotsthat

3.0 to 5.9 % Conservative Lead

My mother canvasses and leaflets for Labour. A day before the election in 2015 she was most despondent. A few weeks ago she was even more despondent and expecting a drubbing. I spoke to her a couple of days ago and I have a horrible feeling she was groin thrusting such was the turnaround the canvassing crew have noticed on the doorstep.

Therefore I've gone for a Tory win but I think it'll be pretty tight.