the snap general election thread

Filo25

Comres continuing to be the pollster showing good numbers for the Tories

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 47% (+1)
LAB: 35% (+1)
LDEM: 8% (-)
UKIP: 4% (-)
GRN: 1% (-)

(via @ComRes)

Fieldwork: 31 May - 02 June

kinger101

setmefree2 wrote: »

Someone should ask him if he believes in Irish unity - he clearly does and thought bombing and bulletts were the way to achieve it.

He's a liar.

Corbyn would have just handed they keys back. He still doesn't understand why the Irish government were terrified by this prospect. Because he's a bit thick.

posh*spice

Filo25 wrote: »

Comres continuing to be the pollster showing good numbers for the Tories

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 47% (+1)
LAB: 35% (+1)
LDEM: 8% (-)
UKIP: 4% (-)
GRN: 1% (-)

(via @ComRes)

Fieldwork: 31 May - 02 June

These polls are all over the place.

Filo25

posh*spice wrote: »

These polls are all over the place.

They've all made different adjustments in response to the big polling miss in 2015, so most of the big variances are driven by methodoligical differences on how they are treating turnout expectations for different age groups in particular.

ICM is out later tonight and is another one that has generally shown good Tory leads

Yah_Boo_Sux

posh*spice wrote: »

These polls are all over the place.

They are but at least this is from very recent polling.
So it might be way out but at least it's up-to-date way out.
Here the Independent says we should be wary of polls and why. http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/general-election-polls-opinion-surveys-labour-gain-tory-loss-very-wrong-again-be-careful-a7760951.html

Filo25

Speaking of polls being all over the place......

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 40% (-6)
LAB: 39% (+5)
LDEM: 8% (-)
UKIP: 5% (+2)

(via @Survation / 03 Jun)

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 45% (+1)
LAB: 36% (-2)
LDEM: 8% (+1)
UKIP: 4% (-1)

(via ORB / 31 May - 01 Jun)

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 45% (-)
LAB: 34% (+1)
LDEM: 9% (+1)
UKIP: 5% (-)
GRN: 3% (-)

(via @ICMResearch)

And another.

YouGov/Times:

CON 42 (=)
LAB 38 (-1)
LD 9 (+2)
UKIP 4 (=)
OTH 8 (=)

Changes vs 31st
1st-2nd Jun
N=1,989

posh*spice

Filo25 wrote: »

Speaking of polls being all over the place......

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 40% (-6)
LAB: 39% (+5)
LDEM: 8% (-)
UKIP: 5% (+2)

(via @Survation / 03 Jun)

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 45% (+1)
LAB: 36% (-2)
LDEM: 8% (+1)
UKIP: 4% (-1)

(via ORB / 31 May - 01 Jun)

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 45% (-)
LAB: 34% (+1)
LDEM: 9% (+1)
UKIP: 5% (-)
GRN: 3% (-)

(via @ICMResearch)

A range from 12% to 1%
A bit nuts.

Bookies still have a Con win

michaels

posh*spice wrote: »

A range from 12% to 1%
A bit nuts.

Bookies still have a Con win

Bookies got 2015 and brexit wrong

I think pollsters have bought into the higher turnout of older tories big time but will be wrong the other way this time. Last time the tories terrorised their base with thoughts of red ed plus sturgeon, this time labour being such a distant threat they tried to appeal to kippers in labour seats.

It is now too late to use project fear to get that base out whereas labour who failed to enthuse anyone last time this time have just gone all out for bribing the electorate paid for by 'someone else' and there are enough live for today and let someone else pick up the bill tomorrow voters out there for this to be a winning strategy.

Arklight

The Tory anti Corbyn propaganda machine has gone into overdrive. Smoke is coming out of Dacre's ears.

Theresa May, after spending most of last night shouting, 'Maybot unpopular. Does not compute,' is currently only showing the Windows 95 loading screen and they don't if they can reboot her in time for the 8th.

Good, good!

Joe_Horner

Bears thinking about seeing as negotiation is about bringing the other guy round to your way of thinking!