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Referendum result - Predictions

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Comments

  • Yolina
    Yolina Posts: 2,262 Forumite
    wymondham wrote: »
    Judging by how wrong everyone was on the last election, maybe we've all got it very wrong again??!!

    If it helps with the predictions, I can tell you that my cat's been asleep all day :rotfl:
    Now free from the incompetence of vodafail
  • MABLE
    MABLE Posts: 4,236 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    You may sure the remain will win. The public care about migration but more importantly they care more about the pound in their pocket.
  • wymondham
    wymondham Posts: 6,356 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Mortgage-free Glee!
    ruggedtoast wrote: »
    I sense a lassitude and aura of failure from the Leavers. I just hope they don't take out their disappointment by smashing up shops, hospitals and schools tomorrow.

    nah, we'll just sit back and smile smugly when it all goes **** up! I give it a matter of weeks before the EU starts to make changes which impact on us even more....
  • enthusiasticsaver
    enthusiasticsaver Posts: 16,069 Ambassador
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    I think and hope remain will win although down here in south west I think leave will do well. I am guessing 69% turnout, 41% to leave and 59% to remain. I hope it is a significant gap between them otherwise this debate will rage on.
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  • Shakethedisease
    Shakethedisease Posts: 7,006 Forumite
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    kabayiri wrote: »
    I think in Scotland it will be very different as Nicola's gang keep telling us.

    Not a risky old 45:55.

    No. It will be a massive 43:57.

    Shakey will remind us all that this is because there is a different dna up there; a freedom; a spirit...

    ...or maybe they are used to bad weather.

    The weather has been glorious up here today. And we have different dna, a freedom, a spirit.. ;)
    Libby Brooks ‏@libby_brooks 2h2 hours ago Scotland's chief returning officer Mary Pitkeithley just interviewed on BBC estimates turnout at 70-80% #EUr
    John McTernan ‏@johnmcternan
    In less than four hours time London and Scotland will have saved the UK and precisely the right people will be angry
    54 / 46 to Remain ( my prediction ). UKIP will be rebranded as the EIP and will cause electoral havoc for the next 4 years sweeping up most of the 46% vote.
    It all seems so stupid it makes me want to give up.
    But why should I give up, when it all seems so stupid ?
  • CLAPTON
    CLAPTON Posts: 41,865 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Shakethedisease wrote: »
    The weather has been glorious up here today. And we have different dna, a freedom, a spirit.. ;)

    .
    a bit racist really a bit like anyone but the english
    but if you wink its OK
  • BobQ
    BobQ Posts: 11,181 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    gardner1 wrote: »
    But it's true...Jo Cox will win it for remain and before you say anything else..would there have been as much press coverage featuring her husband and children if it happened next week

    The phrase Death to Traitors Freedom for Britain was quite powerful. Not reporting it and claiming this was just a mentally ill murderer would have been a conspiracy of silence. Equally reporting it as a political assassination was always going to be inflamatory.

    Damned if they did and Damned if the didn't.

    Whatever your view I think that there is no doubt that Jo Cox was passionately in favour of Remain. Her husband would not have been honouring his wife's memory to have pretended otherwise.

    Either way we will probably nevr know what the Jo Cox effect was if any.
    Few people are capable of expressing with equanimity opinions which differ from the prejudices of their social environment. Most people are incapable of forming such opinions.
  • BobQ
    BobQ Posts: 11,181 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    StevieJ wrote: »
    The odds started to turn the morning of the murder.. it wasn't just the murder.

    I agree, I think that vile poster may have had a greater impact.
    Few people are capable of expressing with equanimity opinions which differ from the prejudices of their social environment. Most people are incapable of forming such opinions.
  • chucknorris
    chucknorris Posts: 10,793 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    CLAPTON wrote: »
    a bit racist really a bit like anyone but the english
    but if you wink its OK

    You know what I find really annoying about that 'anyone playing England' attitude by the Scots, I used to really enjoy supporting all the other home nations (I still do with the other nations including Eire) and I also used to enjoy watching out for Celtic (not religiously motivated) in the European competitions. But when I became aware of the attitude of some of the Scots, now I too boo both Scotland and Scottish teams, but what is really annoying is that they have brought me down to their petty level of racism, I should be better than that, but unfortunately I struggled to continue my sympathies.
    Chuck Norris can kill two stones with one birdThe only time Chuck Norris was wrong was when he thought he had made a mistakeChuck Norris puts the "laughter" in "manslaughter".I've started running again, after several injuries had forced me to stop
  • BobQ
    BobQ Posts: 11,181 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    AnotherJoe wrote: »
    The odds are saying its going to be like that. The bookies not often wrong.

    I think we'll know at 10pm, the exit polls are surely going to show? If they showed 51/49 it could go either way but if they predict say 35/65 and thats the sort of margins we are looking at, there's no way they will be wrong.

    What exit polls?

    Kay Burley said something last night about a private poll by Labour showing 70-30. I did not believe it but who knows
    Few people are capable of expressing with equanimity opinions which differ from the prejudices of their social environment. Most people are incapable of forming such opinions.
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