Referendum result - Predictions

Generali

chucknorris wrote: »

He has misquoted, over 65% is actually long odds on.

Given the weather you lot are having, maybe a turnout of less than 55% @129-1 is the best bet!

Wheezy_2

Leave 52 - Remain 48.

But I haven't got a clue really.

Yolina

Generali wrote: »

Given the weather you lot are having, maybe a turnout of less than 55% @129-1 is the best bet!

The rain stopped a few hours ago, but it's certainly caused a few issues:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-36603508

Wednesday2000

I'm not sure, but I hope that Remain do win.

I cannot believe people wouldn't vote because of the rain. It was pouring here this morning, but I voted by post already anyway.

Yolina

Wednesday2000 wrote: »

I cannot believe people wouldn't vote because of the rain. It was pouring here this morning, but I voted by post already anyway.

If your house is flooded you might not bother to go and vote, some roads are really bad and public transport is all over the place so it depends on how things are outside people's front doors

kabayiri

Yolina wrote: »

Since we're doing weather updates: heavy storm last night until about 3am, followed by more 'normal' rain, it was fairly bad in East/SE London plenty of roads are still flooded, so are some stations or rail lines.
I have a plastic container out on my terrace, there's over 4" of water in that this morning that wasn't there yesterday...

It's such a shame we haven't invented weather forecasts up here in the grim North yet.

If we had I could tell you that it's dry, cloudy and quite humid.

That must be a worry for all the Southern Remainers that Norverners are going to break from watching Jeremy Kyle to go and vote Leave (well....those that aren't actually on the show).

michaels

chucknorris wrote: »

You must have misread that market, the 65.01% to 70% band is the current favourite at only 2.6.

Apologies I had mis-clicked and was on the remain% market not the turnout market

chucknorris

michaels wrote: »

Apologies I had mis-clicked and was on the remain% market not the turnout market

It's OK I wasn't thrown by it, I knew instantly that it wasn't right when I read your post.

Generali

chucknorris wrote: »

It's OK I wasn't thrown by it, I knew instantly that it wasn't right when I read your post.

Betfair does sometimes throw up these oddities so it's good to be aware of them, especially at the more novelty end of the betting market.

Yolina

kabayiri wrote: »

That must be a worry for all the Southern Remainers that Norverners are going to break from watching Jeremy Kyle to go and vote Leave (well....those that aren't actually on the show).

Well, parts of Romford and Barking are flooded so that should even things out a bit

Joking and banter aside, I do feel sorry for anyone having to deal with the aftermath of last night's weather.