Who will win the UK election ?

antrobus

Conservatives now have 300 seats.

300 seats makes it a certainty that Cameron will stay in office.

movilogo

Although UKIP is 3rd largest party in terms of total votes, it is sitting at bottom of league table. FPTP is not fair.

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2015/may/07/live-uk-election-results-in-full

antrobus

antrobus wrote: »

There is a recount.

And Ed Balls is gone.

zagfles

antrobus wrote: »

And Ed Balls is gone.

Second best result of the night! The "Balls" moment will now replace the "Portillo" moment

Best was a Labour win - in Bradford West getting rid of Galloway :beer:

IveSeenTheLight

Generali wrote: »

Well the exit polls seem to show I might be right: far more people voting Tory than expected.

It may well be that Lab&SNP couldn't form a majority Government even if they wanted to.

My, my, my.

I hold my hands up Generali, you did call it, despite all the polls contradicting prior to the vote.

A very interesting night for UK politics

Some very interesting statistics: -

• Conservatives vote Increase by only 0.7% but look to get an additional 29 seats
• Labour vote increases 1.4%, and they lose 26 seats
• Conservatives will hold a majority of the seats, but only commanded 36.6% of the electorate vote

The next parliament will be very interesting indeed.

zagfles

IveSeenTheLight wrote: »

My, my, my.

I hold my hands up Generali, you did call it, despite all the polls contradicting prior to the vote.

A very interesting night for UK politics

Some very interesting statistics: -

• Conservatives vote Increase by only 0.7% but look to get an additional 29 seats
• Labour vote increases 1.4%, and they lose 26 seats
• Conservatives will hold a majority of the seats, but only commanded 36.6% of the electorate vote

The next parliament will be very interesting indeed.

Plus:

LibDems get more votes than the SNP but far less seats.

UKIP get about the same number of votes as the SNP and LibDems combined, but get even less seats!

antrobus

IveSeenTheLight wrote: »

....

• Conservatives will hold a majority of the seats, but only commanded 36.6% of the electorate vote

....

Which is still a good deal more than the 35.2% that Labour got in 2005.

Out,_Vile_Jelly

Did not expect that this morning. Great news about George Galloway though.

Slightly alarmed at what an unfettered Tory government (the first of my adult lifetime) might do.

IveSeenTheLight

antrobus wrote: »

Which is still a good deal more than the 35.2% that Labour got in 2005.

I guess my point was that a lot was made before the vote about how the number and percentages of votes equated into seats, often citing that a smaller number / percentage returned a vastly different set of seats. (Compare SNP and UKIP if you will).

A lot was made that SNP did not hold the majority of the electorate in Scotland.

We'll it looks like the SNP have a 50.4% majority of the electorate in Scotland, whilst the Conservatives will govern with a minority electorate vote of only 36.8%

IveSeenTheLight

antrobus wrote: »

Which is still a good deal more than the 35.2% that Labour got in 2005.

Still when you look at seats gained, the Conservatives will have a smaller majority and margin than Labour had in 2005