Who will win the UK election ?

IveSeenTheLight

Thrugelmir wrote: »

Perhaps we should adjust to the realities of proportional representation. The old fashioned first past the post no longer reflects the broad range of views. In Scotland the majority no longer have a representation that looks after their interests.

The same could be said about the UK.

In 2010, Conservative only got 36.1% of the vote
In 2005, Labour only got 35.2% of the vote
In 2001, Labour only got 40.7% of the vote
In 1997, Labour only got 43.2% of the vote
In 1992, Conservative only got 41.9% of the vote
In 1987, Conservative only got 42.2% of the vote
In 1983, Conservative only got 42.4% of the vote
In 1979, Conservative only got 43.9% of the vote

Indeed, only because of the coalition could you argue that the majority of the electorate are represented

P.S. Conversely and Potentially, Scotland will have the majority of the electorate represented on this occasion

antrobus

IveSeenTheLight wrote: »

Writing down the numbers of what?....

Your register number.

IveSeenTheLight wrote: »

...
In the referendum, I passed party campaigners both on the way in and out without them trying to engage with me.

They certainly could not have ascertained which way I voted.

You don't have to engage with them, and they are not there to ascertain how you have voted.

But the way it normally works is this.

Every party has a copy of the electoral roll. The foot soldiers go out and canvass and establish who is likely to vote for you, and who is going to vote for the enemy. On polling day, you record the numbers of those who have voted, so you can work out which of your likely supporters haven't voted yet. You can then chase the laggards and remind them to vote.

That's what you do if you're 'chasing evey vote'. If you don't do that, then the implication is that is because you think the result is a foregone conclusion.

IveSeenTheLight

wotsthat wrote: »

I'd quite like to stay up to see how things are going but need to be cycling to work by 6am tomorrow.

Don't really know why elections have to be on a Thursday.

I may be wrong, but I think its written in the constitution that Parliament will reconvene 12 from the election, hence always on a Thursday and Parliament resumes on the Monday 12 days later

purch

Both Thatcher and Blair had huge 100 plus seat majority's based on under 50% of the vote.

With that "mandate" they could do just about anything.

We've bombed country's for less.



FPTP is an embarrassment to the nation that claims to have taught the World how do be democratic !

CLAPTON

IveSeenTheLight wrote: »

I may be wrong, but I think its written in the constitution that Parliament will reconvene 12 from the election, hence always on a Thursday and Parliament resumes on the Monday 12 days later

we don't have a written constitution

purch

IveSeenTheLight wrote: »

I may be wrong, but I think its written in the constitution that Parliament will reconvene 12 from the election, hence always on a Thursday and Parliament resumes on the Monday 12 days later

Except we don't have a written constitution for it to be written in.

IveSeenTheLight

antrobus wrote: »

Your register number.



You don't have to engage with them, and they are not there to ascertain how you have voted.

But the way it normally works is this.

Every party has a copy of the electoral roll. The foot soldiers go out and canvass and establish who is likely to vote for you, and who is going to vote for the enemy. On polling day, you record the numbers of those who have voted, so you can work out which of your likely supporters haven't voted yet. You can then chase the laggards and remind them to vote.

That's what you do if you're 'chasing evey vote'. If you don't do that, then the implication is that is because you think the result is a foregone conclusion.

How do they get my register number? None of them followed me in.

That said, I think it was about 21:00 I voted last time, so possibly the consideration was there was no difference at that point.

Interesting thing, when I was crossed off the register, I noticed my wife hadn't been crossed off who voted earlier.

Another incident of human error I suppose

purch

IveSeenTheLight wrote: »

How do they get my register number?

They ask you.

A normal person will tell them, and obnoxious !!!! won't

Have you ever voted before ?

IveSeenTheLight

purch wrote: »

Except we don't have a written constitution for it to be written in.

Ok, Ok, I said I may be wrong.

A quick google search shows that: -

Election Day in the United Kingdom is by tradition a Thursday. It has been suggested that this tradition arose as the best of several circumstances: Friday pay-packets would lead to more drunken voters on Fridays and weekends; having the election as far after a Sunday as possible would reduce the influence of Sunday sermons; many towns held markets on Thursdays, thus the local population would be travelling to town that day anyway

It seems the General Election has been on a Thursday since 1935 and furthermore: -

Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, all future General Elections shall take place on the first Thursday in May every five years, barring special circumstances.

Rinoa

FWIW

The betting odds have gradually moved from Ed to Dave this past 7 days and Cameron is now favourite to be next PM. That trend has firmed since this morning.

All the TV companies have joined forces to compile an exit poll, the result of which will be announced at 10.00pm tonight. Some people must know how that exit poll is going. Watching the betting odds could be revealing.