The 2014 HAMISH MCTAVISH Predictions Thread

michaels

Given how clairvoyant you all are it is amazing you guys are still posting on here and not just lying on a beach on your own island in the Caribbean....

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

michaels wrote: »

Given how clairvoyant you all are it is amazing you guys are still posting on here and not just lying on a beach on your own island in the Caribbean....

Heh...

You may be underestimating the maintenance costs of a Mrs McT.

vivatifosi

michaels wrote: »

Given how clairvoyant you all are it is amazing you guys are still posting on here and not just lying on a beach on your own island in the Caribbean....

Why do you think you haven't seen me around Hertfordshire lately;)?

Though sadly my bet that the £/$ would stay at $1.70 didn't come to pass. I'm blaming the Scottish referendum. It was hunky dory until September. Shame. That one would really have helped the tifosi family finances.

pwllbwdr

MFW_ASAP wrote: »

The vast majority of energy on earth comes from nuclear fusion.

True but misleading in the context of what was being said.

Generali

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

Good call Gen....



And another... :beer:

I'm pretty pleased with that lot! Basically I got closer to the actual numbers by being more optimistic.

We can do 2015 in a couple of weeks but I think that next year will be considerably better than 2014 seeing the recovery in the US and UK really bed in as peripheral Europe becomes stronger. Bad year for France and Germany I fear.

mayonnaise

dryhat wrote: »

No mention of Bitcoin or other crypto-currencies?

That's really strange considering their phenomenal rise in 2013 and potential for future growth.

... or is it just house prices and meaningless statistics that matter?

Well, if you insist....Bitcoin is down about 70% from its peak late last year. Talk about a real 'store of wealth'. :rotfl:
You'd been better off investing in rubles. :rotfl:

cells

vivatifosi wrote: »

I'm going to add another one.. Fracking. People producing gasooking east at Poland, which is already extractingtrying anylooking at the potential for economic growth there. Who knows, we could be talking about the Polish Tiger..

I doubt that there will be excitement at the potential economic dividends here.

Poland started spending and taxing the industry before the first wells were producing so the industry said FU and moved away. Now they are trying to get the frackers back but they played and showed their hands far too early (let them start the industry and then we will hike taxes abd royalties hehehee....oh rly?)

Same thing is kinda happening in the UK woth promises of sovereign funds and dosh for locals etc. Idiots.

cells

Kennyboy66 wrote: »

It's not remotely 20%.

Its roughly 12%.

Electricity/www.nei.org/Knowledge-Center/Nuclear-Statistics/World-Statistics/World-Nuclear-Generation-and-Capacity[/url]

It has fallen as a percentage as power hungry nations have increased Electricity production but not nuclear. Eg china has added about as much electricity use as the USA plus EU combined but has no nuclear to show for it. But it will probably install 200 reactors over the next 15-25 years to bring itself up towards 20-30% nuclear which should pull worldwide nuclear output up.


India is the real nuclear potential. If she doesn't have gigantic coal or NG reserves she will be forced to import energy on a massive scale. That means $200B of coal imports or $300B of NG imports or $10B of yellowcake imports. Simply put india cant afford to import colossal amounts of coal or NG but yellowcake imports would be affordable. So unless india finds some big coal/NG deposits pronto its only choice is nuclear ir accept an energy constrained growth

ruggedtoast

I'm predicting 70% off by next Christmas. It's a bold statement I know.

Crashy_Time

ruggedtoast wrote: »

I'm predicting 70% off by next Christmas. It's a bold statement I know.

Is that just Hamish`s House and BTL`s, or the whole of Aberdeen
:rotfl: