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Debate House Prices


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Harder to rewrite history than you think Bulls.

1141517192031

Comments

  • Pimperne1
    Pimperne1 Posts: 2,177 Forumite
    peakoil wrote: »
    one of the best summing up posts I have ever seen. nailed geneer to a T.

    puty the mods are so weak on this board that he is allowed to continue to vomit his dissappointment over everyone from his mum's backbedroom.

    What disappointment? Do you mean his employment in KFC or in missing out in buying in Edinburgh when prices were affordable?
  • Pimperne1
    Pimperne1 Posts: 2,177 Forumite
    In June 2009 Jonathan predicted that prices would fall by 20%-30% between then and the beginning of 2012.

    http://jonathandaviswm.com/blog/2009/jun/23/turn-turn-turn-byrds-1965/

    "The next question is after they fall considerably (our view is 20-30% from this point to end 2010/begin 2012), what will they then do? (As you may recall, our forecast stands at a national net average fall of 40-50% from the September 2007 highs.)"

    When he predicted this (LR figures) the average price was £152,898 and its now £161,823. Is the other prediction of 40%-50% drop from 2007 highs likely - what are the chances then Jonathan Davis cheerleader?
  • geneer
    geneer Posts: 4,220 Forumite
    Heyman wrote: »
    Two posts isn't whining on and on. Your 100 posts from yesterday is on the other hand, definitely whining on and on.

    3 posts now. ;)

    Heyman wrote: »

    Awww, well you don't seem a very happy bunny tonight. Never mind, tomorrow is another day to hose down the front page of the forum in the name of not much at all, so chin up :j

    Oh no she didn't!
    Still, thanks for your own valuable contribution to the forum discussions.
  • wotsthat
    wotsthat Posts: 11,325 Forumite
    I know it's lunchtime when Geneer starts posting but I've started to behave like one of Pavlov's dogs and now salivate whenever I see of his/her posts.
  • robmatic
    robmatic Posts: 1,217 Forumite
    Pimperne1 wrote: »
    In June 2009 Jonathan predicted that prices would fall by 20%-30% between then and the beginning of 2012.

    http://jonathandaviswm.com/blog/2009/jun/23/turn-turn-turn-byrds-1965/

    "The next question is after they fall considerably (our view is 20-30% from this point to end 2010/begin 2012), what will they then do? (As you may recall, our forecast stands at a national net average fall of 40-50% from the September 2007 highs.)"

    When he predicted this (LR figures) the average price was £152,898 and its now £161,823. Is the other prediction of 40%-50% drop from 2007 highs likely - what are the chances then Jonathan Davis cheerleader?

    I'm going to go out on a limb and predict that geneer will pretend that this post doesn't exist...
  • peakoil_2
    peakoil_2 Posts: 206 Forumite
    wotsthat wrote: »
    I know it's lunchtime when Geneer starts posting but I've started to behave like one of Pavlov's dogs and now salivate whenever I see of his/her posts.

    I have a similar pavlov's dog symptoms, but when I see geneer's posts I start contracting my stomach muscles and put my arm around my sides in preparation to laugh uproariously at one of his moronic posts.

    a bit like this:

    :rotfl::rotfl::rotfl::rotfl::rotfl::rotfl::rotfl::rotfl::rotfl::rotfl::rotfl::rotfl:
  • geneer
    geneer Posts: 4,220 Forumite
    edited 20 July 2011 at 12:28PM
    Pimperne1 wrote: »
    In June 2009 Jonathan predicted that prices would fall by 20%-30% between then and the beginning of 2012.

    http://jonathandaviswm.com/blog/2009/jun/23/turn-turn-turn-byrds-1965/

    "The next question is after they fall considerably (our view is 20-30% from this point to end 2010/begin 2012), what will they then do? (As you may recall, our forecast stands at a national net average fall of 40-50% from the September 2007 highs.)"

    When he predicted this (LR figures) the average price was £152,898 and its now £161,823. Is the other prediction of 40%-50% drop from 2007 highs likely - what are the chances then Jonathan Davis cheerleader?

    Can't help but notice that prediction was made post crash (phase1) in 2009.

    Rather than 2005. Or 2004. Or 2002 etc.
    So as far as the ongoing discussion goes...not quite as interesting.
    Very little to do with the outlandish...and apparently boolsheet claims you lot have been prone to throwing around.

    Yeah, doesn't look like that will pan out though. I will happily concede that that one was bobbins.
    But then, its always hard to figure out exactly whats going to happen after the wheels come off.

    Still turns out that The Economist concurs with JDs estimated overvaluation of UK house prices, so his maths can't be all that bad.
    http://jonathandaviswm.com/blog/2010/apr/19/economist/
  • geneer
    geneer Posts: 4,220 Forumite
    robmatic wrote: »
    I'm going to go out on a limb and predict that geneer will pretend that this post doesn't exist...

    You made a bit of a boulger of that one.
  • Pimperne1
    Pimperne1 Posts: 2,177 Forumite
    geneer wrote: »
    Can't help but notice that prediction was made post crash (phase1) in 2009.

    Rather than 2005. Or 2004. Or 2002 etc.
    So as far as the ongoing discussion goes...not quite as interesting.
    Very little to do with the outlandish...and apparently boolsheet claims you lot have been prone to throwing around.

    Yeah, doesn't look like that will pan out though. I will happily concede that that one was bobbins.
    But then, its always hard to figure out exactly whats going to happen after the wheels come off.

    Still turns out that The Economist concurs with JDs estimated overvaluation of UK house prices, so his maths can't be all that bad.
    http://jonathandaviswm.com/blog/2010/apr/19/economist/

    That table from the Economist looks just like the one I posted a couple of months ago. I popped into KFC in Edinburgh at lunch time, do you remember me? Had the family bucket.

    Nice website.

    http://www.kfc.co.uk/our-food
  • Heyman_2
    Heyman_2 Posts: 1,819 Forumite
    geneer wrote: »
    Still, thanks for your own valuable contribution to the forum discussions.

    No problem. Shame I can't say the same for you.

    Congrats on the KFC job by the way, nice that they let you use the Free Wi-Fi at lunchtime too, must take the edge off the rest of the afternoon in front of the deep fat fryer. Never mind...
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