Octopus Saving Session

Alnat1

The trial was on the 3rd day of pretty much 0 solar for us, Agile didn't have decent cheap slots and the battery was pancaked.

I was at work yesterday, but hubby appears to have used oven/grill to make his lunch at 1pm (I'm guessing sausage or fish finger butty) then boiled kettle a couple of times and set the dishwasher off. I'd set battery to fill for an hour 2.30-3.30. So, in that 3 hour "in day adjustment" slot we used quite a bit more than usual, just by chance.

I was expecting very little reward as battery power usually covers our peak time use and had done for 6 of the 10 baseline days, was looking at an average of 0.2kWh. If I do get a decent bit more then I'll let you know.

Edit. Used 3.26kWh 1pm-4pm. Used 0kWh 5pm-6pm

Petriix

peter3hg said:

Petriix said:

Ok, I've found details about the 'In Day Adjustment' but, at first glance, it seems to disregard the entirety of the 10 day period supposedly used for the baseline.

Here's a link to the document

The bit I'm struggling to get my head around is that the formula as written: 

In Day Adjustment = ∑j (Unit Meter Point Metered Volume – Unadjusted Baseline Value)/ 6

where ∑j represents summation over the six Settlement Periods in the “In Day Reference Window”. The In Day Reference Window is defined as the three-hour period ending at one hour ahead of the first Settlement Period in Settlement Day D. BL01 Step 4 – Calculate Baseline Values Demand Flexibility Service | Procurement Rules For each ‘Domestic’ Unit Meter Point (and each Settlement Period within Settlement Day D), Baseline Value is calculated as:

Baseline Value = Unadjusted Baseline Value + In Day Adjustment 

...no matter what number you use as the Unadjusted Baseline Value, the result will always be the same. It adds it, then it takes it away so it's effectively removed from the result. That means the In Day Adjustment becomes the entire baseline. So the baseline is actually just the 6 half hour windows ending 1 hour before the trial on the same day.

That's clearly not the intention, but I can't see how you would use that formula to get a different result. Can anyone else figure it out?

The adjustment is calculated against the relevant settlement periods (half hour blocks) from the previous 10 days (4 days at weekend).
So if between 1pm and 4pm you used an average of 0.2kwh more per half hour compared to those relevant times from the previous 10 days, then your baseline for 5pm to 6pm would be adjusted upwards by 0.2kwh per half hour. Therefore it is still keeping your usage curve, but adjusted up or down based on your usage that day.

If you increased your usage in that 3 hour period you would gain more but, as it is averaged across 6 half hour slots, probably not worth creating extra usage unless it is just time shifting things you would need to do anyway.

What you've said is clearly the intention, but when you actually plug some real numbers into their formula it doesn't seem to work like that. Because they add then subtract the unadjusted baseline it can be simplified out of the equation meaning it has no impact on the end result. I made a spreadsheet to calculate it and found that the output didn't change when I changed the unadjusted baseline number. 

peter3hg

Petriix said:

peter3hg said:

Petriix said:

Ok, I've found details about the 'In Day Adjustment' but, at first glance, it seems to disregard the entirety of the 10 day period supposedly used for the baseline.

Here's a link to the document

The bit I'm struggling to get my head around is that the formula as written: 

In Day Adjustment = ∑j (Unit Meter Point Metered Volume – Unadjusted Baseline Value)/ 6

where ∑j represents summation over the six Settlement Periods in the “In Day Reference Window”. The In Day Reference Window is defined as the three-hour period ending at one hour ahead of the first Settlement Period in Settlement Day D. BL01 Step 4 – Calculate Baseline Values Demand Flexibility Service | Procurement Rules For each ‘Domestic’ Unit Meter Point (and each Settlement Period within Settlement Day D), Baseline Value is calculated as:

Baseline Value = Unadjusted Baseline Value + In Day Adjustment 

...no matter what number you use as the Unadjusted Baseline Value, the result will always be the same. It adds it, then it takes it away so it's effectively removed from the result. That means the In Day Adjustment becomes the entire baseline. So the baseline is actually just the 6 half hour windows ending 1 hour before the trial on the same day.

That's clearly not the intention, but I can't see how you would use that formula to get a different result. Can anyone else figure it out?

The adjustment is calculated against the relevant settlement periods (half hour blocks) from the previous 10 days (4 days at weekend).
So if between 1pm and 4pm you used an average of 0.2kwh more per half hour compared to those relevant times from the previous 10 days, then your baseline for 5pm to 6pm would be adjusted upwards by 0.2kwh per half hour. Therefore it is still keeping your usage curve, but adjusted up or down based on your usage that day.

If you increased your usage in that 3 hour period you would gain more but, as it is averaged across 6 half hour slots, probably not worth creating extra usage unless it is just time shifting things you would need to do anyway.

What you've said is clearly the intention, but when you actually plug some real numbers into their formula it doesn't seem to work like that. Because they add then subtract the unadjusted baseline it can be simplified out of the equation meaning it has no impact on the end result. I made a spreadsheet to calculate it and found that the output didn't change when I changed the unadjusted baseline number. 

The unadjusted baseline for the calculation of the in day adjustment is not the same unadjusted baseline for the adjusted baseline value calculation.

Using yesterday, the unadjusted baseline for the in day adjustment calculation slot is the 6 half hour periods between 1 and 4 and the unadjusted baseline for the adjusted baseline calculation is the 2 half hour periods between 5 and 6.

Alnat1

It appears I'm testing their system, guess we'll find out after Octopus have done the sums 

[Deleted User]

It's not the same quantity that you are adding and subtracting though - it doesn't cancel out.

To explain the formula with some times:

Baseline Value (4-4.30pm) = Unadjusted baseline (4-4.30pm, 10 day average) + in day adjustment.

In day adjustment = Average of  actual use (12-3pm, in day) - unadjusted baseline (12-3pm, last 10 day)

If that makes any sense to people?

They adjust what you would normally use between 4&4.30 by how much above or below your normal 12-3 usage you were.

I would suggest you modify your spreadsheet, or don't use a flat consumption curve.

Petriix

peter3hg said:

Petriix said:

peter3hg said:

Petriix said:

Ok, I've found details about the 'In Day Adjustment' but, at first glance, it seems to disregard the entirety of the 10 day period supposedly used for the baseline.

Here's a link to the document

The bit I'm struggling to get my head around is that the formula as written: 

In Day Adjustment = ∑j (Unit Meter Point Metered Volume – Unadjusted Baseline Value)/ 6

where ∑j represents summation over the six Settlement Periods in the “In Day Reference Window”. The In Day Reference Window is defined as the three-hour period ending at one hour ahead of the first Settlement Period in Settlement Day D. BL01 Step 4 – Calculate Baseline Values Demand Flexibility Service | Procurement Rules For each ‘Domestic’ Unit Meter Point (and each Settlement Period within Settlement Day D), Baseline Value is calculated as:

Baseline Value = Unadjusted Baseline Value + In Day Adjustment 

...no matter what number you use as the Unadjusted Baseline Value, the result will always be the same. It adds it, then it takes it away so it's effectively removed from the result. That means the In Day Adjustment becomes the entire baseline. So the baseline is actually just the 6 half hour windows ending 1 hour before the trial on the same day.

That's clearly not the intention, but I can't see how you would use that formula to get a different result. Can anyone else figure it out?

The adjustment is calculated against the relevant settlement periods (half hour blocks) from the previous 10 days (4 days at weekend).
So if between 1pm and 4pm you used an average of 0.2kwh more per half hour compared to those relevant times from the previous 10 days, then your baseline for 5pm to 6pm would be adjusted upwards by 0.2kwh per half hour. Therefore it is still keeping your usage curve, but adjusted up or down based on your usage that day.

If you increased your usage in that 3 hour period you would gain more but, as it is averaged across 6 half hour slots, probably not worth creating extra usage unless it is just time shifting things you would need to do anyway.

What you've said is clearly the intention, but when you actually plug some real numbers into their formula it doesn't seem to work like that. Because they add then subtract the unadjusted baseline it can be simplified out of the equation meaning it has no impact on the end result. I made a spreadsheet to calculate it and found that the output didn't change when I changed the unadjusted baseline number. 

The unadjusted baseline for the calculation of the in day adjustment is not the same unadjusted baseline for the adjusted baseline value calculation.

Using yesterday, the unadjusted baseline for the in day adjustment calculation slot is the 6 half hour periods between 1 and 4 and the unadjusted baseline for the adjusted baseline calculation is the 2 half hour periods between 5 and 6.

Ah, that would make more sense.

Alnat1

All gone way beyond me now, I'll just wait and see 

millie

Alnat1 said:

All gone way beyond me now, I'll just wait and see 

Me too cannot even think about trying to get my head around.

t0rt0ise

I just worked mine out and then read the FAQ to see that each half hour is separate, so you can get points for the first half hour even if say, you use more than usual in the second half hour. That might make a difference to my working out but I'm not going to do it again, I'll just wait and see Octopus's result and then work out how they got to their result. If anyone's got a spreadsheet with calculations already, I'd love to see it.

badger09

Alnat1 said:

All gone way beyond me now, I'll just wait and see 

Me too. My brain hurts just reading the last few posts. 

I couldn’t ‘game the system’ even if I wanted to😊