Brexit, the economy and house prices part 5

Tromking

gfplux wrote: »

So the present most powerful person in the EU27 invites Britain to continue to pay if they want any deal to cover financial services. He also says that Britain has to except the rulings of the ECJ which no one needs reminding is one of Mays red lines.
I wonder if he will repeat that in the TV interview being shown on Sunday morning?

Too many people spend too much time wondering what Germany has to say when it should now be very clear that the French President is very very pro the EU.

The French position has been pretty unequivocal from the start and apparently mirrors the German stance.
If that position holds sway, I can see it getting messy.
IMO, no deal does not get through our Parliament and a fudged Brexit where the ECJ and EU contributions continue probably brings the Government down. With the help of the numerous visiting UK MP's over the last few weeks, I think the EU calculation is that 'hardball' gets another referendum on the subject, not for nothing have various EU characters 'love bombed' the UK electorate lately with statements saying the the UK can change its mind and be welcomed back.

Thrugelmir

Tromking wrote: »

That said, TM is on the face of it a very ordinary politician.

All that's required is a steady pair of hands to steer. Something she seems to be doing perfectly well. No time for politicians making promises that will never be fulfilled. Still haven't resolved the problems that the last one left behind.

Thrugelmir

Tromking wrote: »

I think the EU calculation is that 'hardball' gets another referendum on the subject.

The EU needs to balance it's budget. No one wants to pay. That's the hardball. As the UK keeps hitting it back. Meanwhile time is running out. Decisions need to be made sooner rather than later. Governments cannot be run like taps.......

Herzlos

What's the uk hit back with?

Thrugelmir

Herzlos wrote: »

What's the uk hit back with?

Not war. It's a separation. That will evolve.

tracey3596

Herzlos wrote: »

What's the uk hit back with?

Why does the UK need to hit back with anything?
We already have many within the EU running around like headless chickens wondering how they're going to balance their next budget - not easy when President Juncker has said he wants to see a substantial increase " to pursue EU policies and fund them adequately".
https://euobserver.com/institutional/140470

Thrugelmir

tracey3596 wrote: »

We already have many within the EU running around like headless chickens wondering how they're going to balance their next budget - not easy when President Juncker has said he wants to see a substantial increase " to pursue EU policies and fund them adequately".

Not easy when at National level budgets are already under pressure. Diverting funds elsewhere may not go down well.

Herzlos

tracey3596 wrote: »

Why does the UK need to hit back with anything?

It doesn't. I'm just querying the claim in the previous post that it keeps hitting back. I've not seen any examples of that so was asking for clarification.

cogito

Tromking wrote: »

I think the EU calculation is that 'hardball' gets another referendum on the subject, not for nothing have various EU characters 'love bombed' the UK electorate lately with statements saying the the UK can change its mind and be welcomed back.

I don't think so. It seems much more likely that they have realised that there's a huge hole in their finances and they want continued access to our chequebook.

Herzlos

cogito wrote: »

I don't think so. It seems much more likely that they have realised that there's a huge hole in their finances and they want continued access to our chequebook.

Define 'huge' in this context? 10%? 20%? 30%? More?