An Evening With... Jeremy Corbyn

ruggedtoast

Corbyn now bookies favourite to be next PM

http://uk.businessinsider.com/jeremy-corbyn-is-the-bookmaker-favourite-to-be-the-next-prime-minister-2016-8

Jeremy Corbyn is the firm favourite to succeed Theresa May as Prime Minister should she ever step down or be voted out.

Corbyn has odds of 5/1 from William Hill and 9/2 from Ladbrokes to eventually take over from May as the leader of the UK, well ahead of Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson and Corbyn's own Labour leadership rival Owen Smith.

Its 6pm. This should have a few of you snorting gin and tonic out of your nostrils.

CLAPTON

ruggedtoast wrote: »

Corbyn now bookies favourite to be next PM

http://uk.businessinsider.com/jeremy-corbyn-is-the-bookmaker-favourite-to-be-the-next-prime-minister-2016-8



Its 6pm. This should have a few of you snorting gin and tonic out of your nostrils.

why so much hate just because people have honest differences of opinion?

setmefree2

ruggedtoast wrote: »

Corbyn now bookies favourite to be next PM

http://uk.businessinsider.com/jeremy-corbyn-is-the-bookmaker-favourite-to-be-the-next-prime-minister-2016-8

Jeremy Corbyn fans got excited about his odds of being PM - but the bookies brutally burst their bubble

Jeremy Corbyn supporters on Twitter got excited today by a tweet appearing to show the Labour leader was favourite to succeed Theresa May as Prime Minister.
The tweet, shared by unofficial Corbyn backing account JeremyCorbyn4PM, proclaimed: "Bookies say Jeremy is favourite to take over from Theresa May."
The tweet went on to list the odds on offer from bookmakers Ladbrokes , William Hill and Paddy Power .
The best on offer was from Ladbrokes, who put him on 9-2 favourite to be the next Prime Minister back in May.
But they had their bubble brutally burst when the bookies pointed out what the odds actually meant.

oh dear. 9/2 indicates about a 22% chance, which is dismally low for the current Leader of the Opposition.

Embarrassingly, I got the maths wrong and it should be 18%

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/jeremy-corbyn-fans-excited-odds-8596545

Mistermeaner

On the basis of who else is in the frame?

But labour voters have never been the brightest

ruggedtoast

Tories 14 point lead slashed by half according to latest Yougov poll. Tories now enjoying a mere 7 point lead over Labour.

https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/politics/opinion-polls/politicshome-polls/78056/labour-polling-deficit-stands-13-tns-poll

ruggedtoast

JACKBLACK wrote: »

From the LibDems to the hard left - WOW. Quite a conversion! Lucky Labour Party ;-)

The Lib Dems are middle of the road more as a median than as a mode. Some of their members are fairly right of centre, others really are very left wing indeed.

Before Corbyn reinvigorated Labour they were to the left of Blairite Labour, and managed to scupper a lot of the Tories's vandalism of our public institutions in their first term. Sadly they got little credit for this and a generation is now having to learn the hard way what happens if you don't turn out on election day and vote the Conservatives out.

I doubt they will make the same mistake next time.

markharding557

ruggedtoast wrote: »

Tories 14 point lead slashed by half according to latest Yougov poll. Tories now enjoying a mere 7 point lead over Labour.

https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/politics/opinion-polls/politicshome-polls/78056/labour-polling-deficit-stands-13-tns-poll

According to the electoral calculus site:
http://electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/usercode.py?CON=38&LAB=31&LIB=9&UKIP=12&Green=4&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVUKIP=&TVGreen=&SCOTCON=&SCOTLAB=&SCOTLIB=&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTGreen=&SCOTNAT=&display=AllChanged®orseat=%28none%29&boundary=2015

This would give almost the same result as 2015 with the Tories on 38 and Labour on 31.
Given other polls are worse, it is not looking good for Corbyn ruined Labour.

cells

ruggedtoast wrote: »

You mean as an affluent, Tory voting, home owning boomer all the people you known and talk to are affluent, Tory voting home owning boomers?

I think this is the thing you lot need to try and start getting your heads around, Labour isn't your political party. Its no longer aimed at capturing your vote nor will its policies be aligned with shovelling money into the pockets of the dwindling number of people who are already well off.

I know its upsetting because for a long while it looked like you were going to get two Conservative parties to vote for in perpetuity.

Do you think leader korbin is going to win an outright majority? What will the role of the SNP be?

Thrugelmir

cells wrote: »

increase min wage by £2ph more than what the tories are offering

Can the UK economy absorb such an increase on top of pension auto enrolment. A lack of coherent economic plan has been Labour's achilles heel for some years. No indication that there's going to be one in the pipeline any time soon. With China exporting deflation. Unskilled jobs will move where the cost of employment is the cheapest.

westernpromise

ruggedtoast wrote: »

Tories 14 point lead slashed by half according to latest Yougov poll. Tories now enjoying a mere 7 point lead over Labour.

https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/politics/opinion-polls/politicshome-polls/78056/labour-polling-deficit-stands-13-tns-poll

So are Labour on course to win 50 seats from the Tories in 2020?