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If we vote for Brexit what happens

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Comments

  • posh*spice
    posh*spice Posts: 1,398 Forumite
    Joeskeppi wrote: »
    How is that related?
    Everybody wants to live in the UK because we have no guns.
    Turn your face to the sun and the shadows fall behind you.
  • posh*spice
    posh*spice Posts: 1,398 Forumite
    Still can't see it?

    uk-housing-population.gif

    The solution to a shortage of housing is to build more houses.

    Simples.
    In a big country simples - in a small country not so simples.
    Turn your face to the sun and the shadows fall behind you.
  • cells
    cells Posts: 5,246 Forumite
    edited 23 July 2016 at 12:58AM
    CLAPTON wrote: »
    the population of London is about 45% foreign born
    this suggests that the difficulty of UK young people being able to live in a family sized house is related to the level of immigration.


    Cause and effect?

    Do migrants go to location x and make it overly successful?

    Or do overly successful cities and towns draw more than their share of mobile migrants?
  • cells
    cells Posts: 5,246 Forumite
    Samsonite1 wrote: »
    Potentially, but this includes pre-war immigrants. Historically we are probably all immigrants, but anyway - in terms of EU only 13% of the 45% are from Europe (including non-EU members) and as it is including immigrants from a long time ago, it is certainly not a problem caused by the EU specifically.

    More importantly though is that 70% of houses in London are bought by investors, not immigrants - they are not the same thing as foreign investors often do not live in the UK.


    The UK and London have been big net migrant exporters to the rest of the world. Its quite possible that the UK would now be in excess of 100 million people had all countries banned migration from say 1700 onward.

    We effectively exported somewhere in the region of 50 million Brits and their descendants mostly to Australia and the USA but on a smaller scale all over the world.

    Somewhat surprising
  • cells
    cells Posts: 5,246 Forumite
    edited 23 July 2016 at 12:57AM
    posh*spice wrote: »
    In a big country simples - in a small country not so simples.


    The UK is a big country
    England is a big country.
    London alone could and possibly would go to 15 million with the right framework.

    Of course the dividing line is those like me who think this would represent a fantastic opportunity for London and the whole country and those like Clapton who can only see a dark future with no opportunity with a growing population.


    I wonder sometimes what the hell is going to happen when mankind discovers the cure to ageing. We will either have people like me who will say don't worry there is a positive solution and a positive road for all things or people like Clapton who would I suppose introduce some sort of one birth one death policy.
  • cells
    cells Posts: 5,246 Forumite
    CLAPTON wrote: »
    conveniently there is plenty of space in scotland to build more houses
    can't understand why this doesn't solve the 'simples' issue



    The UK is not one universal homogeneous jobs and housing market.

    Clearly most the need is in London and the SE.

    There are various ways to 'solve' this. One is to build a lot more homes in London and let them come (Brits & migrants). Another is to move out over a period of time the social tenants who have little need to be within walking distance of the three big employment hubs of Westminster City Docklands.

    Of course then there is your proposal. Limit economic growth to limit prices. It will work to some extent. A 20% correction is however not going to mean a foremen or a nurse can then afford the £1.2 million terrace that used to be £1.5 million. You could keep trying to further damage the London economy to push prices down. Maybe return to the London of 20 years ago which would mean getting rid of ~1 million jobs in the capital but hey at least a nurse and firemen comboned could afford a house back then. We will however forget about the 1 million lost jobs and maybe £40 billion in lost taxes.
  • CLAPTON
    CLAPTON Posts: 41,865 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    cells wrote: »
    The UK is not one universal homogeneous jobs and housing market.

    Clearly most the need is in London and the SE.

    There are various ways to 'solve' this. One is to build a lot more homes in London and let them come (Brits & migrants). Another is to move out over a period of time the social tenants who have little need to be within walking distance of the three big employment hubs of Westminster City Docklands.

    Of course then there is your proposal. Limit economic growth to limit prices. It will work to some extent. A 20% correction is however not going to mean a foremen or a nurse can then afford the £1.2 million terrace that used to be £1.5 million. You could keep trying to further damage the London economy to push prices down. Maybe return to the London of 20 years ago which would mean getting rid of ~1 million jobs in the capital but hey at least a nurse and firemen comboned could afford a house back then. We will however forget about the 1 million lost jobs and maybe £40 billion in lost taxes.

    my concern is the overall welfare of the people that live in the UK.
    It probably is true, that the entire population of the world could all stand in the UK and have a little room and the result may lead to a large 'god' called GDP.
    However it will not increase the welfare of the people currently living in the UK.
  • buglawton
    buglawton Posts: 9,246 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    posh*spice wrote: »
    Everybody wants to live in the UK because we have no guns.
    And they have
  • PaulW1965
    PaulW1965 Posts: 240 Forumite
    edited 23 July 2016 at 2:08PM
    The solution to a shortage of housing is to build more houses.

    Simples.

    If it's so simples - why isn't it done?

    Accept it : we can't build enough houses to accommodate a million extra people every three years.

    You can say "simples" as much you like, doesn't make it true.
  • gadgetmind
    gadgetmind Posts: 11,130 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    PaulW1965 wrote: »
    If it's so simples - why isn't it done?

    That's a question for those who grant (or generally don't grant) planning permission.

    The fact that something isn't currently being done doesn't make it impossible.
    I am not a financial adviser and neither do I play one on television. I might occasionally give bad advice but at least it's free.

    Like all religions, the Faith of the Invisible Pink Unicorns is based upon both logic and faith. We have faith that they are pink; we logically know that they are invisible because we can't see them.
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