If we vote for Brexit what happens

TrickyTree83

Herzlos wrote: »

They've never needed assurances of this level before though. About tax rates etc, yeah that's to be expected. That trade to a continent will be unaffected? That's new.

Calming the jitters. That's all it is.

Have you noticed the jitters on the side of the EU?

Wolfgang Schäuble is having a fit over our plans for corporation tax. Conveniently ignores that Ireland's is even lower in the statement but then the EU is already attacking Ireland for it. Truly a socialist dystopia.

veryintrigued

mayonnaise wrote: »

The claim that leave voters tend to be lower educated is not an insult, but a fact.

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/06/27/how-britain-voted/

I do hope you were being ironic with this type of grammar?

gfplux

From what I see very little has changed in the five months since the referendum.
The fall in the value of the pound is really the only thing we can point to that has changed and that is considered by many on this thread to be a good thing. Non of the forecasts of problems by the experts have proven to be true as the Government did not invoke A50 the day after the referendum (as one or two people expected) and may or may not pull the trigger at the end of March 2017 which will take us to NINE months after the referendum.
Frankly it is as if the referendum has not taken place. The Establishment were shocked at the result in June but now appear to be ignoring the man in the streets opinion and are stretching the whole thing out.
I wonder if the timetable of the end of March will be kept to? What do the bookmakers say?

MobileSaver

michaels wrote: »

Presumably you have adjusted for other factors.

I've adjusted for the apparent intellect levels of MSE posters and these corroborate the YouGov figures; those in favour of Leave are definitely less educated.

CLAPTON

Herzlos wrote: »

Our debt level and baseline costs aren't on a per-head basis. We don't get a discount on government debt if the population drops; the per-head figure just goes up.

yes our existing debt will drop per capita, if the population rises and will increase per capita if the population should drop;
however, our increase in debt will increase with a higher population:
our imports will increase with higher population
our exports are unrelated to population size so our trade deficit per capita will get worse with increased population
-all other things being equal which, of course they never are

Herzlos

TrickyTree83 wrote: »

Calming the jitters. That's all it is.

Have you noticed the jitters on the side of the EU?

Wolfgang Schäuble is having a fit over our plans for corporation tax. Conveniently ignores that Ireland's is even lower in the statement but then the EU is already attacking Ireland for it. Truly a socialist dystopia.

I'd hardly call it jitters to ask that your gateway to a market is still viable as a gateway, including tariff free trade.

TrickyTree83

Herzlos wrote: »

I'd hardly call it jitters to ask that your gateway to a market is still viable as a gateway, including tariff free trade.

I would since it's not known what was said, according to the minister who said it there were just guarantees around skills, training and R&D for Nissan.

A_Medium_Size_Jock

mayonnaise wrote: »

Keep up the good work Jock. :T

Thank you Mayo.

Revealing the truth behind such lies and misinformation as you espouse will always be a pleasure.

Moto2

Conrad

Every single forecast by the BOE, Treasury, IMF and OBR following the vote ended up being raised, and each time the likes of Kemal Ahmed wheel out the tired old phrase "experts left scratching heads after the British economy confounds the forecasters once again"

When will these tools start thinking?

OBR has just raised its 2016 growth forecast from that they gave prior to the vote.
Why on earth are they now saying 2017 growth will fall to 1.4% when the money supply and credit are growing, jobs growth is good, unemployment low, consumer confidence high etc etc?