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The Economics of Ebola
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vivatifosi wrote: »Because this is an economics/house prices board, we try to keep the threads relevant or they get moved to the Arms. Sometimes that can make the discussion come across as a bit hard and uncaring, but it isn't.
I agree with your point re hysteria though, well in regard to the developed world anyway.
Hysteria or precautionary principle?I think....0 -
Michaels, do you think this is likely to become a serious epidemic in the developed world?
I don't. I think it's inevitable we'll see some cases here in the UK, brought from abroad, and further inevitable that we will see some transmissions here too, but I seriously doubt we'll have more than a few tens of cases in total....much enquiry having been made concerning a gentleman, who had quitted a company where Johnson was, and no information being obtained; at last Johnson observed, that 'he did not care to speak ill of any man behind his back, but he believed the gentleman was an attorney'.0 -
I guess if each infected person infects more than 1 other person then it will spread. IN the US the 1 confirmed case has infected at least 2 others after it was known he was infected. How certain can we be that people who have been exposed will take the necessary precautions if they become ill, lots of us go to work with a slight fever as we need the money, others might not rush to the medical authorities as they are here illegally. IF the specially set up isolation units become full it will be much harder for hospitals to exercise proper infection control measures. Even extremely ill people will do their utmost to disguise symptoms or bribe officials to get onto planes to countries where they can get better treatment rather than being turned away from overloaded local facilities. If I were in an affected country, thought I might have been exposed and had the money to do so I would immediately book a trip to a country with better medical services - wouldn't you? I am also not sure that we in the west are so much better at hygiene than some developing countries, many I think are slapdash as we have the medical support and disinfectants to solve any problems that occur wheres in some middle income countries they take hygiene and cleanliness very seriously and thus may actually be better equipped to avoid transmission in the community.I think....0
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Yes, and there will be a fair few more cases in all developed countries. Your posts, though, imply that you fear a worldwide pandemic of serious concern - do you?...much enquiry having been made concerning a gentleman, who had quitted a company where Johnson was, and no information being obtained; at last Johnson observed, that 'he did not care to speak ill of any man behind his back, but he believed the gentleman was an attorney'.0
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I think we may well be needing the vaccine.....I am concerned that panic plus self interest will mean that things are not as easy to control as it might appear on paper.I think....0
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This is quite an interesting webpage... It explains what it is, how you catch it, what kills it, and so forth:
https://www.internationalsos.com/ebola/index.cfm?content_id=410&Please stay safe in the sun and learn the A-E of melanoma: A = asymmetry, B = irregular borders, C= different colours, D= diameter, larger than 6mm, E = evolving, is your mole changing? Most moles are not cancerous, any doubts, please check next time you visit your GP.
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looks like odds are low that it will go airborne
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/fact-or-fiction-the-ebola-virus-will-go-airborne/
And if that is the case ..Then it won't be half as bad as the doom merchants predict.0 -
neverdespairgirl wrote: »Michaels, do you think this is likely to become a serious epidemic in the developed world?
I don't. I think it's inevitable we'll see some cases here in the UK, brought from abroad, and further inevitable that we will see some transmissions here too, but I seriously doubt we'll have more than a few tens of cases in total.
I agree. Nigeria had several cases arising from its first one, but they addressed it robustly, traced all contacts etc, and have now not had any cases for very nearly the 42 days necessary for the WHO to declare them free of it. If Nigeria can do it, the Western nations probably can too.Do you know anyone who's bereaved? Point them to https://www.AtaLoss.org which does for bereavement support what MSE does for financial services, providing links to support organisations relevant to the circumstances of the loss & the local area. (Link permitted by forum team)
Tyre performance in the wet deteriorates rapidly below about 3mm tread - change yours when they get dangerous, not just when they are nearly illegal (1.6mm).
Oh, and wear your seatbelt. My kids are only alive because they were wearing theirs when somebody else was driving in wet weather with worn tyres.
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I agree. Nigeria had several cases arising from its first one, but they addressed it robustly, traced all contacts etc, and have now not had any cases for very nearly the 42 days necessary for the WHO to declare them free of it. If Nigeria can do it, the Western nations probably can too.
Some good news also from Congo. The other, less publicised, outbreak is now under control.
http://time.com/3511101/ebola-congo-contained-spread/Please stay safe in the sun and learn the A-E of melanoma: A = asymmetry, B = irregular borders, C= different colours, D= diameter, larger than 6mm, E = evolving, is your mole changing? Most moles are not cancerous, any doubts, please check next time you visit your GP.
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