Effect of Scottish Independence Vote

planteria

innovate wrote: »

Assuming WH will let you put on £1,000 (which they won't), and assuming your Betfair commission rate on day of settlement is 5% (which it may not be), and assuming that you lay the WH bet (because there isn't enough money at BF to back for the £1,000), you will end up with a profit of £6.36 (or £7.89 if you underlay).

Does not look like a good "investment".

an interesting idea though. i know a guy that watched every second of the superbowl, looking at a screen, arbing all over the place, and made some good money by staying up late to do so.

giffnockhibee

Now showing 1/4 and 22/5.

ColdIron

Betfair unchanged at 1.2 No, 5.6 Yes
Put another way that's an 83% chance of No vs 17% Yes

planteria

they are seeing sense, damn it...:)

black_taxi_2

I'm 100% scots will vote YES

ColdIron

black_taxi wrote: »

I'm 100% scots will vote YES

Then you should put your money where your mouth is, a cheeky £100 will net you £437

black_taxi_2

on odds checker

bets placed,more money on YES

ColdIron

Horses for courses then I guess (pun intended). Betfair have £155,495 No and £35,427 Yes
http://uk.site.sports.betfair.com/betting/LoadRunnerInfoAction.do?marketId=110033387&selectionId=5334893&timeZone=Europe/London&locale=en&region=GBR&brand=betfair&currency=GBP

innovate

black_taxi wrote: »

on odds checker

bets placed,more money on YES

Where on oddschecker does it show you how much money has been placed, and with whom? And how do you establish how many traders and arbers have placed how much of it (versus the true punters)?

black_taxi_2

there was a venn graph on site