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Debate House Prices


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What shortgage 421,306 homes built in a single year in france!

1235717

Comments

  • cells
    cells Posts: 5,246 Forumite
    ging84 wrote: »
    1991 191,020
    1992 179,100
    1993 185,650
    1994 193,000
    1995 199,120
    1996 189,030
    1997 191,110
    1998 181,020
    1999 181,990
    2000 176,850
    2001 174,080
    2002 181,960
    2003 190,490
    2004 203,490
    2005 209,580
    2006 212,820
    2007 226,420
    2008 188,250
    2009 158,370
    2010 137,260
    2011 141,180
    2012 143,580

    i wonder what the next 2 years will look like



    It is easier to note it by decade

    Over the last 10 years the uk built 1.8 million while France built 4.0 million

    The 10 years before that the uk again had built about 1.8m and Franceagain built a lot more
  • cells
    cells Posts: 5,246 Forumite
    Dunroamin wrote: »
    Whatever gave you the idea that New Labour ws a left wing party?

    The loony right part said they were
  • cells
    cells Posts: 5,246 Forumite
    Dunroamin wrote: »
    Spain is larger than both the UK and Germany!


    The post was about the size of the population not the size of the land mass
  • ging84
    ging84 Posts: 912 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    1953-1962 3,101,920
    1963-1972 3,755,410
    1973-1982 2,717,260
    1983-1992 2,116,120
    1993-2002 1,853,810
    2003-2013 1,811,440


    almost no different to what we built in the last 10 years to the previous 10
  • cells
    cells Posts: 5,246 Forumite
    edited 14 November 2013 at 3:43PM
    http://www.frenchpropertycentre.com/property/aml-13317ds/
    although existing house prices would plummet.


    Not likely

    France built 4.0 million vs 1.8 million in the uk over the last ten years however prices still increased in France.

    If the Uk built 350-450k a year imo nominal prices would go up less than wage inflation and perhaps stay static.

    In twenty years they could just marginally be up but vs wages be fifty percent lower
  • cells
    cells Posts: 5,246 Forumite
    ging84 wrote: »
    1953-1962 3,101,920
    1963-1972 3,755,410
    1973-1982 2,717,260
    1983-1992 2,116,120
    1993-2002 1,853,810
    2003-2013 1,811,440


    almost no different to what we built in the last 10 years to the previous 10


    Thank you

    If it isn't too much trouble could you please also add to that the population increase for those twn year periods. Data available via Google just type uk population ahould show up as a graph. On my phone so I can't do it
  • ging84
    ging84 Posts: 912 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    that'll take for ever to read them all off a graph

    wikpedia's table shows totals at start of decade and annual increase in population

    1951!–!1961 50,225,000.00 258,000.00
    1961!–!1971 52,807,000.00 312,000.00
    1971!–!1981 55,928,000.00 42,000.00
    1981!–!1991 56,357,000.00 108,000.00
    1991!–!2001 57,439,000.00 161,000.00
    2001!–!2008 59,113,000.00 324,000.00

    i get your point 1 or 2 more people in this decade than the last one
  • cells wrote: »
    Not likely

    France built 4.0 million vs 1.8 million in the uk over the last ten years however prices still increased in France.

    If the Uk built 350-450k a year imo nominal prices would go up less than wage inflation and perhaps stay static.

    In twenty years they could just marginally be up but vs wages be fifty percent lower

    thing is that 10 years ago French prices were based on liberal planning and are still based on liberal planning, so house are more priced to build cost (+location premium).

    so 10 years ago a build plot in France was £10k and a build cost of £70k, and a resale of £90k (not much premium as planning is very easy so not hard to self build), now, land cost of £12k build cost of £85k and a resale of £105k so prices increase but inline with underlying assets.

    UK going from planning strangle hold to a more liberal system would slash the planning premium (the increase in value added by planning permission) reducing prices.

    Now in UK build plot costs £250k (example for a smallish plot see below) build costs £150k resale £450k, in 10 years time, after land reform build plot £30k build cost £180k resale £250-300k, why would you pay more if self building was easy?

    http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-27165741.html
  • theEnd
    theEnd Posts: 851 Forumite
    I still think it's more to do with finance than planning permission.

    Expand the money supply and land prices go up.
  • vivatifosi
    vivatifosi Posts: 18,746 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Mortgage-free Glee! PPI Party Pooper
    theEnd wrote: »
    I still think it's more to do with finance than planning permission.

    Expand the money supply and land prices go up.

    I don't think there is just one issue affecting. I think planning is an issue, cost and finance are also issues. For me though a very big issue is that nobody thinks outside the box in terms of house design. For example, why not design housing specifically for flood plains? Why not encourage self build? Why not enable more mobile homes? Why not affordable micro housing in London? Other countries are quite capable of doing this but we spend year after year getting our proverbial knickers in a twist rather than learn from the successes and mistakes of elsewhere.
    Please stay safe in the sun and learn the A-E of melanoma: A = asymmetry, B = irregular borders, C= different colours, D= diameter, larger than 6mm, E = evolving, is your mole changing? Most moles are not cancerous, any doubts, please check next time you visit your GP.
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