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The 2013 HAMISH_MCTAVISH Predictions Thread
Comments
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No trolling Hamish, I just noticed that you left out Gold/Silver predictions.
Not much left to predict. They crashed. The bubble is deflating, and will deflate further as the wider economy recovers.
Silver sits around 30 dollars today, having peaked at near 50 almost 18 months ago.
Gold sits around 1675 having peaked at nearly 1900. Gold had a bit of a dead cat bounce in the first part of last year, but has resumed falling for the last 3 months.“The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.
Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”
-- President John F. Kennedy”0 -
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So, what exactly is you prediction for gold and silver prices for 2013 ?
Yes, it would be very unlikely they'll reach their previous peaks, but will they rise of fall by the end of 2013 ?30 Year Challenge : To be 30 years older. Equity : Don't know, don't care much. Savings : That's asking for ridicule.0 -
How did your 2012 predictions work out? What do you think for 2013?
Come on - don't be one of those people that hasn't the nerve to make a prediction whilst simultaneously knocking someone else's.
I can't remember exactly what I predicted, I think it was that property prices would be roughly level, with the possibility of small falls.
I'll have a go for 2013.......
Property. Average house prices will end 2% up.
Rental Prices. 1% up.
Unemployment. 2.25 million.
Base Rate. 0.75%.
Inflation. 2.5%.
Wages. 2% up.
FTSE. 6200.
My predictions. All wrong because I`ve put figures on them, rather than being rather general.
Oh.....
Gold. -2%.
Silver. +4%.30 Year Challenge : To be 30 years older. Equity : Don't know, don't care much. Savings : That's asking for ridicule.0 -
What is happening on this board reminds me of what is happening in the USA with the fiscal cliff. Hamish(red neck) and PrickP(red neck) of the good old USA are jubliant at how the commentators concerned about the National Debt have "got it wrong yet again" now that they have found a solution, and will probably find a solution again next year.0
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IveSeenTheLight wrote: »Make your point but make it nicely.
There really is not place or need for calling someone names.
If you believe Hamish is wrong, point it out, create a link if possible.
That should be sufficient
Well what do you expect when the only person in the whole country is still in denial of there being a double dip recesssion.
Do you know anyone else who's also a double dip recession denier?
Don't worry, it looks like hamish went crying to the mods to have my post removed because I've kicked his butt yet again
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Well what do you expect when the only person in the whole country is still in denial of there being a double dip recesssion.
Do you know anyone else who's also a double dip recession denier?
Don't worry, it looks like hamish went crying to the mods to have my post removed because I've kicked his butt yet again
Interesting.
If you've kicked his butt again, I hope you did so by qualifying your point.
As for the double dip recession, with the economy pretty stagnant, the rules about entering / exiting recession and one off factors such as the olympics and diamond jubilee, it's not that surprising that we had a double dip recession nor even the possibility of technically dipping in a third time.
The low percentages and swings does make you consider if they are seperate recessions or if the recovery was short and not yet sustainable to fully come out of the recession.:wall:
What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
Some men you just can't reach.
:wall:0 -
homelessskilledworker wrote: »What is happening on this board reminds me of what is happening in the USA with the fiscal cliff. Hamish(red neck) and PrickP(red neck) of the good old USA are jubliant at how the commentators concerned about the National Debt have "got it wrong yet again" now that they have found a solution, and will probably find a solution again next year.
^^What the heck did he just say?"Beware of little expenses. A small leak will sink a great ship." - Benjamin Franklin0 -
Just a quick point about many of the predictions on this thread(same goes for last year and probably since 2008). Many are giving predictions that basically saying to us of a more bearish nature that things are flat and nothing too awful is going to happen.
Hamish being one of the worst culprits, he basically along with the usual suspects predicts NOTHING. What I mean by that is as with the Governments since 2007 when all hell broke loose and some Banks were hours from going under have been no more than clinging on by their fingernails, the Bulls call that a flat/stable economy.
Too use an analogy..
Hamish and PrickP have jumped off a 100 storey building hand in hand after being told by Homelessskilledworker that it was not a very good idea. "Oh B****x HSK you killjoy" as they started to plummet "we will be fine".
Passing the 99th floor they yelled "see we are fine", 98, 97, 96, 95................"see HSK, you have been wrong time after time"...... 10,9,8 "You really need to concede HSK, we are still fine"...
Looking at this flat/stable growth in recent years.
1. GDP... Stable/flat but (£375 Billion QE)
2. House prices... after initial fall of between 12% to 20% now Flat/stable but (forebearance, 500 year historic IR's, and of course a stable economy)
3. Unemployment ... stable/flat but (well of course, stable economy due to £375 QE).
What many are calling stable/flat I see as clinging on to you cannot cling on any more, so yes Hamish you might be right at the end of 2013 with your NON predctions, because who can tell when someone clinging on by their fingernails is going to fall to their death Zzzzzzzz0 -
homelessskilledworker wrote: »Too use an analogy..
Hamish and PrickP have jumped off a 100 storey building hand in hand after being told by Homelessskilledworker that it was not a very good idea. "Oh B****x HSK you killjoy" as they started to plummet "we will be fine".
Passing the 99th floor they yelled "see we are fine", 98, 97, 96, 95................"see HSK, you have been wrong time after time"...... 10,9,8 "You really need to concede HSK, we are still fine"...
It's only the internet mate.
As far as I can see your own non-prediction is that things will be flat unless they aren't - even Hamish was more specific than that!0
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