Nice people thread part 4 - sugar and spice and all things

GDB2222

neverdespairgirl wrote: »

Er. No.

I don't even understand the question....

I think there are a couple of posters here who might be able to help me out - Generali for example.

PasturesNew

GDB2222 wrote: »

Can you run task manager?

One approach that sometimes helps is to run a search on the PC for all files less than say 24 hours old, then delete all the doubtful ones. But ofc that requires a semi-functioning PC.

I've done a lot in the past 24 hours

This is what I've got - and instructions to get rid of it. So that's my evening taken care of ....

http://www.bleepingcomputer.com/virus-removal/remove-win-7-antispyware-2012

I got that link from here: http://answers.microsoft.com/en-us/windows/forum/windows_vista-security/how-do-i-remove-vista-home-security-2012-virus/1e3ea9ab-8b1b-486f-b840-1d1fd4988322

Need to microwave a spud/cheese for tea first though.... starving

Wheezy_2

lostinrates wrote: »

just received a parcel from a slightly awkward looking delivery guy...it was quite heavy and I had to bend to push it though the hall befre signing the thing. Then realised as I closed the door my right boob had been exposed through the deep v of my jumper. I seem to manage to expose myself to postmen and delivery guysi a myriad of ways. I think I've been right on previous occasions that this jumper needs a vest under it though.

That's all very interesting, but the question on everybody's lip here is...


What was in the parcel??

purch

Can anyone recommend a book on option pricing theory that takes into account the GFC?

I can't even recommend a book on option pricing theory that doesn't take into account the GFC :eek:

lostinrates

Wheezy wrote: »

That's all very interesting, but the question on everybody's lip here is...


What was in the parcel??

cat litter.

imagine tonight....as he retells the day : ANOTHER mad cat lady got her boobs out indesperation.

I now have a vest and a more sensible bra on, (belt and braces measures,)

GDB2222

purch wrote: »

I can't even recommend a book on option pricing theory that doesn't take into account the GFC :eek:

Well, recommend away, please. Most of the books I have seen still seem just to use B-S or Binomial. Either that, or they are completely unintelligible.

Or did I misunderstand your response?

lostinrates

[quote=gdb2222;49377691completely unintelligible.


[/quote]


:d:d:d:d:d:d:d:d:d:d:d:d

GDB2222

Okay, maybe it was wrong to pose the question on a general forum, so I'd better give a bit of explanation. This is a bit of blurb from a short seminar I am thinking of going to:

"The financial crisis has highlighted that market movements can be extreme and dependencies between markets can change in extreme conditions. Market participants using simple models expressed disbelief as they started seeing events that should happen once in the lifetime of the universe becoming daily occurrences."

The point is that prior to GFC (Global Financial Crash) in 2007, people tended to use fairly simple financial models for valuing things like options and for estimating risk on investment portfolios. These assumed that returns would be normally distributed (ie the bell-shaped curve that describes how people's heights are distributed and crops up a lot in nature). The normal curve is quite compact and events fairly far from the average are very rare, according to this distribution. However, during the GFC, we saw extreme events almost daily. These extreme events were according to the normal distribution supposed to be incredibly rare, and yet they were happening often. Clearly, therefore, the normal distribution does not adequately describe the operation of the financial markets.

What is needed is new theory that does not rely on the normal distribution and adjusts the standard models to take into account that these extreme values are evidently much more common than we thought. Since GFC there's been ample time for new text books to be published, and I'm just asking for a suggested read.

Hope that makes more sense.

tomterm8

PasturesNew wrote: »

I seem to have got my first ever PC virus. Firefox shut down and now I can't start/load anything as it says "XP Home Edition 2012" and tells me there's a threat.... even if I'm not connected and trying to start "Support" or start Notepad.

It's sitting in systray and I can't close it.

Now on laptop, need to Google for some ideas.

Keep the internet turned off on that computer.

I'll be back in a mo.

Wheezy_2

GDB2222 wrote: »

Most of the books I have seen still seem just to use B-S or Binomial.

From earlier posts I know B-S = Baby Spice
But no idea what Binomial is