The HAMISH MCTAVISH 2011 Predictions Thread

Pimperne1

Graham_Devon wrote: »

Therefore you were right?

Is that the rules of your predictions? So long as you can find one place in the UK that fits your predictions, you class yourself as correct?

I think he is getting at the fact that you said "It wasn't last year" when it was.

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

Graham_Devon wrote: »

Therefore you were right?

Is that the rules of your predictions? So long as you can find one place in the UK that fits your predictions, you class yourself as correct?

Graham, try reading through the exchange again......

Pimperne1 wrote: »

All very sensible sounding. Pretty sure about the housing market as you state it; any thoughts about Edinburgh?

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

Yes.

Prices will dip over winter, rise again next summer, and no matter what they do geneer would still have been many tens of thousands better off buying years ago.

Graham_Devon wrote: »

You said that last year.

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

It was in Edinburgh.

Graham_Devon wrote: »

Therefore you were right?

Is that the rules of your predictions? So long as you can find one place in the UK that fits your predictions, you class yourself as correct?

:eek:

the_flying_pig

Pimperne1 wrote: »

Rewired liked that one.

aye.

he even generously overlooked my mis-spelling of 'repetitive'.

i'll say one thing about rewired, he doesn't like [high] house prices.

silverjunky999

ctrlaltdelete wrote: »

Apart from your gold and silver were going to crash 100 guaranteed predictions, you conveniently left that out:rotfl:

Did Hamish really make this prediction :rotfl:

How did you get that one so wrong Spamish?

System

purch wrote: »

I am sorry, but I am in no way arrogant enough to think that anyone would have the least interest in anything I care to predict.

Nor do I have the type of Socialpathic Personality Disorder that would lead me to start a Narcissistic thread trumpeting myself and my opinions, as if they actually mattered to anyone other than myself.

But each to his own. You crack on, it seems to make you happy so who am I to complain.

No offence but I'd be considerably more interested in your predictions than the bile at someone elses.

Generali

Well FWIW, these are mine from last year:

Generali wrote: »

Generali predicts:

1 - Hung Parliament. Lab/Nats coalition most likely??? Half right
2 - House prices roughly flat, perhaps down a little Tick
3 - Bank lending stays flat (M4 up by no more than additional QE in 2010) Tick
4 - More QE. If not then base rate up by end 2010. WRONG!
5 - No withdrawal of QE. Possible announcement that it is unlikely ever to be withdrawn. Half right
6 - Unemployment to continue to rise throughout 2010. I think I'm technically right but it's basically flat.
7 - Oil @ $80/bbl $90
8 - No idea, never been to Aberdeen. Nil points
9 - Gold down a little. FTSE down as lack of investment of past 18 months starts to hit corporate profits. GDP up slightly (1%?). 10 year Gilt yields up considerably from now as Asian growth means higher market interest rates. Mostly wrong.
10 - Agree With what
11 - England go out to Spain in semis. Which group are Scotland in Hamish BTW? I think it's probably best not to discuss this. Anyone see the T20 last night <<ahem>>

My 'grey swans' (not predictions but possibles):
1 - California to default Nope
2 - UK deflation Nope
3 - Gilt buyers strike Nope
4 - UK GDP growth > 2% (strong export led recovery - the UK consumer is a spent force for the foreseeable IMO) Yup

Quite pleased with that actually. I should have had a bet.

Really2

Generali wrote: »

Quite pleased with that actually. I should have had a bet.

Here is my prediction....







Not on point wrong, but not one right either, infact not one point.

I wonder why I always never do these? I think I only ever do the obligatory house price prediction.

FTBFun

My prediction is that the same pointless, "my dad is bigger than your dad", bickering will still be happening in 12 months time.

angrypirate

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

12. UK economic recovery will continue, and will in fact be slightly better than currently expected.

Out of interest, does anyone have the time, numbers and inclination to calculate what GDP is if you take off / subtract Government borrowing and printy-printing out of the equation? As it stands, and country can get the numbers positive just by printing money and government borrow, but thats not truely out of recession.

I am merely wondering if we were truely out of recession

Really2

FTBFun wrote: »

"my dad is bigger than your dad",

No he's not.