The HAMISH MCTAVISH 2011 Predictions Thread

shortchanged_2

I think the crucial one is oil prices. If they continue to rise we will go back into recession. Prices at the pumps are starting to get silly now and the knock on effect it has.

Generali

Mine for this year matching to my last year

1. Coalition will survive I think.
2. House prices flat to down a little
3. Bank lending flat
4. More QE or interest rates up
5. Oil will cross $100 a barrel, and the world won't end.
6. Unemployment flat to down a little
7. House prices flat to down in real terms
8. Still never been to Aberdeen
9. Other asset prices. Stock markets flat, gold up maybe silver too. Bonds down.
10. Sovereign and local Government debt will become a bigger problem. Political parties in solvent countries stand on a platform of no more bail outs of other sovereigns and have some success.
11. England to lose the test series in India but win both test serieseses in England

Bit harsh on Hamish BTW. This prediction lark is meant to be a bit of fun.

purch

This prediction lark is meant to be a bit of fun

Yes it is, not another opportunity to shout "HEY LOOK AT ME"

purch

I am merely wondering if we were truely out of recession

Whether or not we are really out, managing to stop the economy regressing into another downturn will be a difficult task.

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

Generali wrote: »

Well FWIW, these are mine from last year:

Quite pleased with that actually. I should have had a bet.

Aye, you did quite well there gen. :T

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

Generali wrote: »

Bit harsh on Hamish BTW. This prediction lark is meant to be a bit of fun.

Really?

I always thought the fun part was when they were a bit harsh on Hamish........

















........... And 12 months later Hamish is right and they just look stupid.;)

purch

And 12 months later Hamish is right and they just look stupid

Thank you :T

1984ReturnsForReal_2

Generali wrote: »

Mine for this year matching to my last year

1. Coalition will survive I think. Tick - The photo of Cameron rogering Clegg is only released in Feb 2012
2. House prices flat to down a little - X flat in London & Home Counties & down a little everywhere else
3. Bank lending flat - X - Bank lending down
4. More QE or interest rates up - Tick - Interest Up when the sun starts shining
5. Oil will cross $100 a barrel, and the world won't end. - Tick & X -Oil to £130 a barrel - World doesn't end for everyone but does for many thousands who are murdered & bombed
6. Unemployment flat to down a little - X - Unemployment Up
7. House prices flat to down in real terms - See above
8. Still never been to Aberdeen - Tick - Why would anyone want to
9. Other asset prices. Stock markets flat, gold up maybe silver too. Bonds down. - Tick - Market to finish circa 6000
10. Sovereign and local Government debt will become a bigger problem. Political parties in solvent countries stand on a platform of no more bail outs of other sovereigns and have some success. - X - Political Parties pay back overdrafts & public opinion turns against them getting free money from banks.
11. England to lose the test series in India but win both test serieseses in England - X - Its Englands year for cricket or haven't you noticed?

Fail 45% .........................

Graham_Devon

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

........... And 12 months later Hamish is right and they just look stupid.;)

If were really going on this basis, i.e something you said was right in one place, somewhere, I was right when I said 35% down on house prices too.

Afterall, they did, in Ireland.

1984ReturnsForReal_2

Graham_Devon wrote: »

If were really going on this basis, i.e something you said was right in one place, somewhere, I was right when I said 35% down on house prices too.

Afterall, they did, in Ireland.

If you said 35% down from 2007 peak you would be right on a house about 200 yards away from where I live.