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UK Stockmarket 2009 and beyond

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  • FATHEROFTWO_2
    FATHEROFTWO_2 Posts: 241 Forumite
    Been topping up in :

    Invesco Perp High Income
    Invesco Corp Bond
    M&G Corp Bond
    Invesco Perp High Inc Plus

    Could be a double top in the market and it may be headed downwards but there again it may break out and head upwards into a bull rally.

    Either way Im sitting in cash on the sidelines and will drip feed into the market over the next few months.
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    A strong pound is bad for exports

    When the £ was weakening most of the doomsters said we didn't export much icon7.gif
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • duck_3
    duck_3 Posts: 48 Forumite
    edited 30 May 2009 at 4:51PM
    Well shares, like i said are going up
    Things are getting better.

    A VERY GOOD TIME TO INVEST
    o.gifo.gif
    o.gifo.gifo.gifo.gifo.gifo.gifo.gifo.gifo.gifo.gif
    Dow Jones Industrial Average Saturday, 30 May, 2009
    [2+bbc-big_thick-line+intraday.png
    FTSE 100 gains 4.1 pct in May, up for 3rd month in a row

    http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/fds/hi/business/market_data/stockmarket/2/default.stm

    http://uk.reuters.com/business/markets
  • sabretoothtigger
    sabretoothtigger Posts: 10,036 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Combo Breaker
    edited 30 May 2009 at 4:53PM
    StevieJ wrote: »
    When the £ was weakening most of the doomsters said we didn't export much icon7.gif


    Sure but we do export some things just not as much as we import apparently. Low currency should stimulate the economy but obviously its not immediate, I was just saying theres two sides to every coin

    Also weak pound makes imports more expensive and much more reason to use british business. Pretty sure someone on here in the clothing business said uk production was at 100% due to a rebalance in competitiveness

    One reason china doesnt want america to collapse or the whole dollar reserve currency thing to change right now is because it would mean they had to compete on a level playing field.

    Everyone says china is an emerging economy, a 'bric'. If they were not deliberately keeping their exchange rate down, throwing money at america, etc I think we'd see they are really one of the primary world economies (25%?) , they are the tiger in the grass

    tigeringrasscopy6342713.gif

    Well shares, like i said are going up
    Things are getting better.
    share prices going up doesnt mean things are getting better, it means the price is rising. That could be for any number of factors and since was high prices a good thing anywhere except in the strange world of 'investing'

    If the price of a new car goes up because its costs FORD more to import it now (weak pound effect), do I celebrate or look elsewhere when buying.
    I dont see why shares going up means anything good except if you happen to sell it right at that moment and are better able to buy something real with the money

    If you said dividends are going up I might agree though



    Been topping up in :

    Invesco Perp High Income
    Invesco Corp Bond
    M&G Corp Bond
    Invesco Perp High Inc Plus

    Could be a double top in the market and it may be headed downwards but there again it may break out and head upwards into a bull rally.

    Either way Im sitting in cash on the sidelines and will drip feed into the market over the next few months.

    Read a study that showed bonds give greater returns then shares in a more normal market (then we've had the last 10 years) so maybe your right

    I agree it could breakout upwards but didnt we already have the rise, seems down is more likely but I think its probably more a case of being in the right place overall long term so Im trying to drip into commodity shares because all commoditys (not just gold/silver) work well against price rises apparently



    Duck that website is good but not because it has the same ftse chart as everywhere else but their global chart shows how much bigger other markets are then the ftse.
    Every time america opens it sends the global chart flying one way or the other but also it shows asia, etc

    29954bbcbigthicklinetwe.png

    http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/fds/hi/business/market_data/stockmarket/29954/twelve_month.stm


    If you check the Monthly chart globally or look above carefully, you will see we had a slight drop in May
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Sure but we do export some things just not as much as we import apparently. Low currency should stimulate the economy but obviously its not immediate, I was just saying theres two sides to every coin

    Also strong pound makes imports more expensive
    and much more reason to use british business. Pretty sure someone on here in the clothing business said uk production was at 100% due to a rebalance in competitiveness


    If the price of a new car goes up because its costs FORD more to import it now,
    do I celebrate or look elsewhere when buying.
    I dont see why shares going up means anything good except if you happen to sell it right at that moment and are better able to buy something real with the money
    y

    You have that the wrong way round, a strong pound makes imports cheaper and exports more expensive for overseas customers
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • sabretoothtigger
    sabretoothtigger Posts: 10,036 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Combo Breaker
    Yea I wrote it the other way round then edited it wrong, you know what I mean! :p
  • duck_3
    duck_3 Posts: 48 Forumite
    edited 30 May 2009 at 5:03PM
    Sabretoothtigger
    The reports are that things are on there way up, even the housing market..
    I believe this is a very GOOD time to invest.
    House prices see highest jump since 2006

    The Nationwide House Price Index rose again in May – the latest evidence that consumers and businesses are becoming more optimistic about the economic outlook - May 29 2009 20:11


    http://www.ft.com/markets/capitalmarkets

    FTSE ends up in May, rises for 3rd straight month Friday, 29 May 2009

    http://uk.reuters.com/business/markets

  • sabretoothtigger
    sabretoothtigger Posts: 10,036 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Combo Breaker
    edited 30 May 2009 at 5:14PM
    Even if prices and optimism counted for alot, fundamentals matter more and they look shoddy right now.

    The only real market turn around Ive heard of is China and other countries buying land in africa at dirt cheap prices
    I do have small investments in land but I dont expect it to look good for ten or twenty years which is fine by me but I wouldnt want to rely on it before then


    [FONT=verdana,sans-serif,arial] Due to water shortages across the region, Middle-eastern nations like Qatar, Jordan, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia have turned largely to Africa for thousands upon thousands of hectares of land, while massive populations and dwindling land has led India, South Korea, and China to also buy up farmland overseas. [/FONT]
    http://news.mongabay.com/2009/0525-hance_landbuys.html

    If I also heard of foreign buyers taking up london properties I'd agree with you


    month on month is 'noise' like Generalii said
  • duck_3
    duck_3 Posts: 48 Forumite
    edited 30 May 2009 at 8:07PM
    Sabretoothtigger.
    With you being that cautious i am surprised that you have any investments. It might be safer just sleeping with the money under your pillow.
    The markets have changed and just have a look.
    I would suggest anyone to invest.
    You will see an increase...

    http://www.ft.com/markets/capitalmarkets
    http://uk.reuters.com/business/markets#
    http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/fds/hi/business/market_data/overview/default.stm
    http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/money/property_and_mortgages/article6390804.ece
    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/05/29/AR2009052901157.html?hpid=topnews
    http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20090529-710171.html
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