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Premium Bond Winner ?

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Comments

  • abgrad
    abgrad Posts: 45 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Just calculated and have had only £150 total spread over the last 4 months, 2 of those months I had £38k in and 2 almost the full holding. Terrible! I know everyone is just going to say that premium bonds are just for it you’ve used up your ISA allowance etc so anything from them is a bonus in a way, but I guess I’m one of those hoping for a proper win and not being rationale 😂 
  • Sg28
    Sg28 Posts: 450 Forumite
    Third Anniversary 100 Posts Name Dropper
    abgrad said:
    Just calculated and have had only £150 total spread over the last 4 months, 2 of those months I had £38k in and 2 almost the full holding. Terrible! I know everyone is just going to say that premium bonds are just for it you’ve used up your ISA allowance etc so anything from them is a bonus in a way, but I guess I’m one of those hoping for a proper win and not being rationale 😂 
    I wouldn't say thats what premium bonds are for. 

    If you want to max your returns then savings are probably best. 
    If you want to take a chance and see what happens, stick with premium bonds.

    Fixed ISAs normally have penalties of 90 or 120 days interest to withdraw early. 

    Ex Sg27 (long forgotten log in details)

    Massive thank you to those on the long since defunct Matched Betting board.
  • Stargunner
    Stargunner Posts: 998 Forumite
    Fifth Anniversary 500 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 1 August 2023 at 2:12PM
    abgrad said:
    Just calculated and have had only £150 total spread over the last 4 months, 2 of those months I had £38k in and 2 almost the full holding. Terrible! I know everyone is just going to say that premium bonds are just for it you’ve used up your ISA allowance etc so anything from them is a bonus in a way, but I guess I’m one of those hoping for a proper win and not being rationale 😂 
    It is your decision. You can currently get around 4.3% in an easy access ISA with no withdrawal penalties or around 5.7% in a 1 year fixed that would have a penalty on withdrawals ranging from 60-90 days loss of interest. 
  • thegentleway
    thegentleway Posts: 1,094 Forumite
    Tenth Anniversary 500 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    abgrad said:
    If I don’t get like £300 in this months draw I think I’m going to have to get some money out!

    I’ve got £50k in and have been getting less than £100 a month for a few months, sometimes nothing though some of these months I had £30 something k in so not full amount. But I see other people on here say for example that they only got £50 last month and they have been getting in the £200s for months and they don’t have the full amount in and that makes me feel a bit rubbish. I know I should have money in an ISA and am falling victim to the luck aspect of premium bonds. 

    I don’t have any money in an ISA so should put money in that but I just worry about the notice period/penalty to get money out for fixed term ISAs as I’m not sure if I’m going to sell my place/buy a better place so my finances aren’t that predictable. 

    Well I hope we are all lucky this month! 
    odds of getting ~£300 on full amount are something like 5% so you've set a very high bar!

    You should only expect to win about £125 a month, some months nothing, some months a bit more... And the odds don't change if you've had a bad run; they are the same regardless of previous wins. 

    No one has ever become poor by giving
  • eskbanker
    eskbanker Posts: 37,424 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    abgrad said:
    Well I hope we are all lucky this month! 
    At the risk of perhaps taking a throwaway comment too literally, PB holders can't all be lucky in any month!  The fundamental principle of a random draw is that many will achieve an 'average luck' return, but plenty won't (and plenty will achieve more) - everyone with a maximum holding has just over 10% chance of winning nothing in any given month, and obviously that chance increases for smaller holdings....
  • jaceyboy
    jaceyboy Posts: 245 Forumite
    100 Posts Second Anniversary Name Dropper Photogenic
    edited 1 August 2023 at 3:38PM
    abgrad said:
    If I don’t get like £300 in this months draw I think I’m going to have to get some money out!

    I’ve got £50k in and have been getting less than £100 a month for a few months, sometimes nothing though some of these months I had £30 something k in so not full amount. But I see other people on here say for example that they only got £50 last month and they have been getting in the £200s for months and they don’t have the full amount in and that makes me feel a bit rubbish. I know I should have money in an ISA and am falling victim to the luck aspect of premium bonds. 

    I don’t have any money in an ISA so should put money in that but I just worry about the notice period/penalty to get money out for fixed term ISAs as I’m not sure if I’m going to sell my place/buy a better place so my finances aren’t that predictable. 

    Well I hope we are all lucky this month! 
    I have £100k and am pulling them out tomorrow after the draw today, I will put into top rate instant access for now and maybe fix for a year when rates rise in the next few weeks, I am done with PB's for now.
  • eskbanker said:
    abgrad said:
    Well I hope we are all lucky this month! 
    At the risk of perhaps taking a throwaway comment too literally, PB holders can't all be lucky in any month!  The fundamental principle of a random draw is that many will achieve an 'average luck' return, but plenty won't (and plenty will achieve more) - everyone with a maximum holding has just over 10% chance of winning nothing in any given month, and obviously that chance increases for smaller holdings....

    I think it was probably meant for people on this thread, not all holders of Premium Bonds. ;)
    Anyway, I wish me luck!

  • jaceyboy said:
    abgrad said:
    If I don’t get like £300 in this months draw I think I’m going to have to get some money out!

    I’ve got £50k in and have been getting less than £100 a month for a few months, sometimes nothing though some of these months I had £30 something k in so not full amount. But I see other people on here say for example that they only got £50 last month and they have been getting in the £200s for months and they don’t have the full amount in and that makes me feel a bit rubbish. I know I should have money in an ISA and am falling victim to the luck aspect of premium bonds. 

    I don’t have any money in an ISA so should put money in that but I just worry about the notice period/penalty to get money out for fixed term ISAs as I’m not sure if I’m going to sell my place/buy a better place so my finances aren’t that predictable. 

    Well I hope we are all lucky this month! 
    I have £100k and am pulling them out tomorrow after the draw today, I will put into top rate instant access for now and maybe fix for a year when rates rise in the next few weeks, I am done with PB's for now.

    The draw's already taken place, you can take them out now if you like.
  • Sg28
    Sg28 Posts: 450 Forumite
    Third Anniversary 100 Posts Name Dropper
    One of this month £1m winners bought just £23k 4 months ago! Now thats luck....
    Ex Sg27 (long forgotten log in details)

    Massive thank you to those on the long since defunct Matched Betting board.
  • PixelPound
    PixelPound Posts: 3,059 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    abgrad said:
    If I don’t get like £300 in this months draw I think I’m going to have to get some money out!

    I’ve got £50k in and have been getting less than £100 a month for a few months, sometimes nothing though some of these months I had £30 something k in so not full amount. But I see other people on here say for example that they only got £50 last month and they have been getting in the £200s for months and they don’t have the full amount in and that makes me feel a bit rubbish. I know I should have money in an ISA and am falling victim to the luck aspect of premium bonds. 

    I don’t have any money in an ISA so should put money in that but I just worry about the notice period/penalty to get money out for fixed term ISAs as I’m not sure if I’m going to sell my place/buy a better place so my finances aren’t that predictable. 

    Well I hope we are all lucky this month! 
    odds of getting ~£300 on full amount are something like 5% so you've set a very high bar!

    You should only expect to win about £125 a month, some months nothing, some months a bit more... And the odds don't change if you've had a bad run; they are the same regardless of previous wins. 

    https://www.premiumbondsprizes.com/detailed#50000

    Median £125
    Mean £166.67
    Mode £100

    You need to be in the top 25% to be getting £200+
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