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How much longer will this bear market go on for?

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  • Type_45
    Type_45 Posts: 1,723 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Fifth Anniversary Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    2008 was a banking crisis sparked by Lehman.

    2022 is a credit crisis sparked by the UK.

  • Type_45
    Type_45 Posts: 1,723 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Fifth Anniversary Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Wild reversal



    The S&P is normally an index that is followed closely due to the level of holding in a lot of ETFs and funds. 

    I think 3500 was a huge trigger point for a lot of money being invested there and momentum just carried on building and spreading. 

    3500 was my intended investment figure but by the time I moved some cash around I had missed the boat. 

    It will be interesting to see if we break that figure again this year or indeed this bear market. 

    2022 bottom?


    Good news:  the boat is back again!
  • Prism
    Prism Posts: 3,848 Forumite
    Seventh Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Type_45 said:
    Type_45 said:
    Nebulous2 said:
    VWRP still higher than I paid for it in mid-June. 

    Today will hinge on US inflation figures....... 

    Any update on this, please? 

    Yes the 'market' is soaring at the time of writing. 

    3% swing (-1% to +2%) in half an hour this afternoon for the S&P500


    Any update on this, please?
    Sure, its done pretty well today ;)

    Vanguard Funds plc Share Price (VUSA) S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD(GBP) | VUSA (hl.co.uk)
  • Steve182
    Steve182 Posts: 623 Forumite
    Fourth Anniversary 500 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    Wild reversal



    The S&P is normally an index that is followed closely due to the level of holding in a lot of ETFs and funds. 

    I think 3500 was a huge trigger point for a lot of money being invested there and momentum just carried on building and spreading. 

    3500 was my intended investment figure but by the time I moved some cash around I had missed the boat. 

    It will be interesting to see if we break that figure again this year or indeed this bear market. 

    2022 bottom?
    I would not be surprised if we plunge below 3500 again

    S & P valuations are still high based on historic P/E which is 15 to 16.

    https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-pe-ratio
    “Like a bunch of cod fishermen after all the cod’s been overfished, they don’t catch a lot of cod, but they keep on fishing in the same waters. That’s what’s happened to all these value investors. Maybe they should move to where the fish are.”   Charlie Munger, vice chairman, Berkshire Hathaway
  • hallmark
    hallmark Posts: 1,463 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Surprisingly quiet day for bonds.
  • sevenhills
    sevenhills Posts: 5,938 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    LHW99 said:
    BBC says sacked, but was he pushed  - or did he jump?
    He was not taken on, failed his probationary period!
  • coastline
    coastline Posts: 1,662 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    edited 14 October 2022 at 5:49PM
    Steve182 said:
    Wild reversal



    The S&P is normally an index that is followed closely due to the level of holding in a lot of ETFs and funds. 

    I think 3500 was a huge trigger point for a lot of money being invested there and momentum just carried on building and spreading. 

    3500 was my intended investment figure but by the time I moved some cash around I had missed the boat. 

    It will be interesting to see if we break that figure again this year or indeed this bear market. 

    2022 bottom?
    I would not be surprised if we plunge below 3500 again

    S & P valuations are still high based on historic P/E which is 15 to 16.

    https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-pe-ratio
    Interesting chart without those FAAMG stocks SP 500 on a forward P/E of 12 . Basically plenty stocks are reasonably priced just like the old FTSE100 .

     Fe4-zlmVQAEEFoy (564×406) (twimg.com)

     Fe1FSDAXwAYzqXM (900×592) (twimg.com)

    Peaks and troughs in bull and bear markets. It would have to turn into a disaster to get to single figure P/E valuations. There's hope yet if inflation has peaked and is on the way down.

     EZ_91bOXQAAp1Zo (1400×1169) (twimg.com)
  • billy2shots
    billy2shots Posts: 1,125 Forumite
    Sixth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Type_45 said:
    Wild reversal



    The S&P is normally an index that is followed closely due to the level of holding in a lot of ETFs and funds. 

    I think 3500 was a huge trigger point for a lot of money being invested there and momentum just carried on building and spreading. 

    3500 was my intended investment figure but by the time I moved some cash around I had missed the boat. 

    It will be interesting to see if we break that figure again this year or indeed this bear market. 

    2022 bottom?


    Good news:  the boat is back again!
    Still 100 points away (at time of writing). 
  • Type_45
    Type_45 Posts: 1,723 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Fifth Anniversary Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Apparently the Fed has bailed out CREDIT SUISSE!
  • Type_45
    Type_45 Posts: 1,723 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Fifth Anniversary Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    edited 15 October 2022 at 11:18AM
    Urgent warnings ignored and regulators asleep at the wheel: Growing fears that Gordon Brown's pensions timebomb may finally be about to explode

    - At the last count, Universities Superannuation Scheme (USS) had £82 billion
    - One of Gordon brown's first big changes was to axe a dividends pension perk
    - The cost to British pension funds was around £100 billion over the decade 
    - An economist this week said it was known this would screw pension funds
    - But they said it would take 20 years to be noticed and 'hey presto, it happened'


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