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Octopus Tracker

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  • Scot_39
    Scot_39 Posts: 3,538 Forumite
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    edited 29 May 2023 at 12:40PM
    How exactly are you arriving at those gross margins and mark ups ?

    Are you subtracting all the other non wholesale price components that suppliers pay to others - including things like

    Sone Govt policy costs 
    National grid and gas network distribution costs.

    See the breakdown of current and July 1st duel fuel cap at 

    https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/publications/customers-pay-less-energy-bills-summer

    Current £2224 wholesale in £3280 cap - that's 67.8%


    July £1041 wholesale in £2074 cap - that's 50%.
    Network costs £394 - that's 19%
    Policy costs £161 - some arguably in gross margin - split ?
    Smart I guess meters £21
    Etc
    CfD £10.

    The actual duel fuel EBIT allowance itself is currently only 1.9% - but gross profit is before own business costs etc  - and ebit is after (excluding interest and tax).

    Note - once again CfD - has turned positive - was -£54 last Q at the much higher wholesale rates.

    IIRC - for any significant generating capacity online to date - the CfD pricing only as high as 12p/kWh wholesale (but as normal that CfD auction rate is at 2012 baseline indexing - so need to add 11yrs cpi inflation indexing and other factors etc) - so today's rate ? - that  for FOS wind on quickest delivery timescales from the 2015 auction.

    Sorry don't know the fuel splits for some of those costs.
  • Spoonie_Turtle
    Spoonie_Turtle Posts: 10,342 Forumite
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    edited 29 May 2023 at 3:58PM
    Scot_39 said:
    How exactly are you arriving at those gross margins and mark ups ?



    The actual duel fuel EBIT allowance itself is currently only 1.9% - but gross profit is before own business costs etc  - and ebit is after (excluding interest and tax).
    1.9% EBIT doesn't apply to Tracker.

    The current formulae are here https://octopus.energy/tracker-faqs/
    ("How is the price of the Octopus Tracker calculated?")  Not sure if it's been revised since Tracker v1 though.   Edit: also unclear if Telegraph_Sam was using the formula or simply calculating wholesale price vs unit rate.
  • Telegraph_Sam
    Telegraph_Sam Posts: 2,552 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    This goes into much greater detail than I had intended. In response to the original queries I had assumed that there would be a direct fixed link between the wholesale price and my unit rate - in line with Octopus' transparent pricing. It now looks like this interpretation was wrong and Octopus calculates to cover their various individual costs like any other supplier. Or I have misunderstood something.
    The margins / mark-ups are derived from page 3 of my invoices where the daily costs and charges are listed without going into the finer details.
    Telegraph Sam

    There are also unknown unknowns - the one's we don't know we don't know
  • Spoonie_Turtle
    Spoonie_Turtle Posts: 10,342 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Fifth Anniversary Name Dropper
    This goes into much greater detail than I had intended. In response to the original queries I had assumed that there would be a direct fixed link between the wholesale price and my unit rate - in line with Octopus' transparent pricing. It now looks like this interpretation was wrong and Octopus calculates to cover their various individual costs like any other supplier. Or I have misunderstood something.
    The margins / mark-ups are derived from page 3 of my invoices where the daily costs and charges are listed without going into the finer details.
    In terms of transparent pricing, it is linked from the tariff page we read before we signed up.  It's also easily found afterwards, for anyone who does want to check the pricing :)  And the formula is a fixed, direct link.  They are upfront about factoring in costs plus some profit - if they didn't, it would have been a disaster from the off.
  • Qyburn
    Qyburn Posts: 3,625 Forumite
    Fifth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    This goes into much greater detail than I had intended. In response to the original queries I had assumed that there would be a direct fixed link between the wholesale price and my unit rate - in line with Octopus' transparent pricing. It now looks like this interpretation was wrong and Octopus calculates to cover their various individual costs like any other supplier. Or I have misunderstood something.
    The margins / mark-ups are derived from page 3 of my invoices where the daily costs and charges are listed without going into the finer details.
    The formula is pretty simple, a % uplift of wholesale price, plus a fixed additional price per unit. For N Scotland, where "W" is wholesale price ..
    • Electricity unit charge: (W * 1.1994) + 7.863 p per kWh
  • Telegraph_Sam
    Telegraph_Sam Posts: 2,552 Forumite
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    edited 29 May 2023 at 4:52PM
    Why then does in my case (NE England) the "margin" between wholesale price and retail unit price vary on a daily basis? I had always assumed that this would be a constant - until now.
    I suppose that the formula being part percentage part fixed, some variation is predictable. I am not a mathematician  :)
    Telegraph Sam

    There are also unknown unknowns - the one's we don't know we don't know
  • Spoonie_Turtle
    Spoonie_Turtle Posts: 10,342 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Fifth Anniversary Name Dropper
    edited 29 May 2023 at 7:08PM
    Why then does in my case (NE England) the "margin" between wholesale price and retail unit price vary on a daily basis? I had always assumed that this would be a constant - until now.
    I suppose that the formula being part percentage part fixed, some variation is predictable. I am not a mathematician  :)
    That exactly.  The 1.xxp will be a different % of the unit rate because the rest of it fluctuates.

    Edited: didn't notice the 7.xxp was for electricity, not gas
  • Telegraph_Sam
    Telegraph_Sam Posts: 2,552 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    I'll check it out for the Noth East. Would you happen to have the link to where the various regional formulae are listed?

    Telegraph Sam

    There are also unknown unknowns - the one's we don't know we don't know
  • QrizB
    QrizB Posts: 18,313 Forumite
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    I'll check it out for the Noth East. Would you happen to have the link to where the various regional formulae are listed?

    It's all there on the Tracker FAQ page, as previously stated.

    N. Hampshire, he/him. Octopus Intelligent Go elec & Tracker gas / Vodafone BB / iD mobile. Ripple Kirk Hill member.
    2.72kWp PV facing SSW installed Jan 2012. 11 x 247w panels, 3.6kw inverter. 34 MWh generated, long-term average 2.6 Os.
    Not exactly back from my break, but dipping in and out of the forum.
    Ofgem cap table, Ofgem cap explainer. Economy 7 cap explainer. Gas vs E7 vs peak elec heating costs, Best kettle!
  • Scot_39
    Scot_39 Posts: 3,538 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Yes - the cap only applies to the default tariff - doesn't apply to things like Tracker or Agile etc. I just included that and some of the other costs that impact the difference between wholesale and our final utility bills. Thanks for the link - the pseudo 20% + fixed per kW offset to W certainly looks interesting. It's certainly another example of Octopus's willingness to operate outside the norms of many of the big 6.
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