Length of Shutdown - Crystal ball stuff, but just wondered what people thought?

Thrugelmir

rimatron said:

Alexfwalker81 said:

Feeling somewhat battered and bruised today after our sale was halted thanks to the virus and the advice not to proceed. We've been on again, off again for days now. A real emotional rollercoaster. Tempted to throw the towel in, as we don't have to sell, but we'd like to. Perhaps I'll feel better in a few days.

I just wondered what people thought the length of the delay might be? I appreciate that even the politicians don't really know, so really just wanted to see what opinions were on this. To begin, I'd be estimating 3-6 weeks assuming the number of virus cases continues not to 'rise sharply' as expected. If that happens, I'd be amazed if they'd voluntarily stall the housing market much longer than 3-6 weeks. Obviously if the epidemic gets worse, then there's no reason to think that it won't extend beyond 12 weeks.

As I say, nobody knows, I just wondered what you all thought.

Our estate agents "Bridgfords Countrywide Estates" told us Today 28/03/2020 they will be returning to work on the 13th April 2020. That 's the date given to them, from Head office that all Bridgford estate agent shops will be back open.

Sounds as bad as Trump's finger in the air. No one knows. The virus hasn't been contained yet. Best to listen to the daily press conference to stay in touch with events. 

davidmcn

I would treat any guesses from organisations as just being whatever suits them to assume as an initial minimum lockdown period, no countries have become un-locked-down yet (though some slight relaxations in Wuhan).

If NHS England are effectively saying that restricting UK deaths to 20,000 would be a decent target, and even Italy isn't at 10,000 deaths yet, I think we're in this for a good while yet.

Crashy_Time

rimatron said:

Alexfwalker81 said:

Feeling somewhat battered and bruised today after our sale was halted thanks to the virus and the advice not to proceed. We've been on again, off again for days now. A real emotional rollercoaster. Tempted to throw the towel in, as we don't have to sell, but we'd like to. Perhaps I'll feel better in a few days.

I just wondered what people thought the length of the delay might be? I appreciate that even the politicians don't really know, so really just wanted to see what opinions were on this. To begin, I'd be estimating 3-6 weeks assuming the number of virus cases continues not to 'rise sharply' as expected. If that happens, I'd be amazed if they'd voluntarily stall the housing market much longer than 3-6 weeks. Obviously if the epidemic gets worse, then there's no reason to think that it won't extend beyond 12 weeks.

As I say, nobody knows, I just wondered what you all thought.

Our estate agents "Bridgfords Countrywide Estates" told us Today 28/03/2020 they will be returning to work on the 13th April 2020. That 's the date given to them, from Head office that all Bridgford estate agent shops will be back open.

Wishful thinking, we will be in the grip of whatever is coming our way probably at that point, they are more likely to go bust than return to work in the next couple of weeks IMO. 

Crashy_Time

https://www.wired.co.uk/article/airbnb-coronavirus-london

Thrugelmir

davidmcn said:

I would treat any guesses from organisations as just being whatever suits them to assume as an initial minimum lockdown period, no countries have become un-locked-down yet (though some slight relaxations in Wuhan).

If NHS England are effectively saying that restricting UK deaths to 20,000 would be a decent target, and even Italy isn't at 10,000 deaths yet, I think we're in this for a good while yet.

Allowed in but not out. Many questions over number of declared dead. 

MobileSaver

Socajam said:

I think people are not realizing that post corona virus, it's going to be a totally different world in every form - one of which will be financially.

Really? What specifically do you think will be "totally different"?

For what it's worth, I think (apart from higher taxes) this time next year we'll all be carrying on pretty much how we all were this time last year...

Curls2208

Crashy_Time said:

greatcrested said:

Went to the supermarket today and they were controlling how many people could go in at a time, so while we waited a bunch of us got together, shared a fag, and discussed how long the infringements to our human rights would last. Luckily one chap had a can of beer which we passed around - most people seemed to thing if it lasted more than a week there'd be a march organised like the one against the war a few years back, so you should be able to move soon after that!

Your human right to spread around a virus that can kill people? I am hoping you are joking on the second one, or had alcohol wipes handy?

You guys all realise this guy is joking right? 

I know it's not a laughing matter, but the lack of humour on this forum staggers me sometimes. 

Bossypants

Curls2208 said:

Crashy_Time said:

greatcrested said:

Went to the supermarket today and they were controlling how many people could go in at a time, so while we waited a bunch of us got together, shared a fag, and discussed how long the infringements to our human rights would last. Luckily one chap had a can of beer which we passed around - most people seemed to thing if it lasted more than a week there'd be a march organised like the one against the war a few years back, so you should be able to move soon after that!

Your human right to spread around a virus that can kill people? I am hoping you are joking on the second one, or had alcohol wipes handy?

You guys all realise this guy is joking right? 

I know it's not a laughing matter, but the lack of humour on this forum staggers me sometimes. 

In fairness, it's very hard to tell sarcasm and the like in text when you have no indicator of tone, no knowledge of the person writing, and there are a not-insignificant number of people in this country who genuinely think like that. I concluded it was a joke based on the inclusion of the shared fag, but it was a near thing.

Davesnave

Bossypants said:

Curls2208 said:

Crashy_Time said:

greatcrested said:

Went to the supermarket today and they were controlling how many people could go in at a time, so while we waited a bunch of us got together, shared a fag, and discussed how long the infringements to our human rights would last. Luckily one chap had a can of beer which we passed around - most people seemed to thing if it lasted more than a week there'd be a march organised like the one against the war a few years back, so you should be able to move soon after that!

Your human right to spread around a virus that can kill people? I am hoping you are joking on the second one, or had alcohol wipes handy?

You guys all realise this guy is joking right? 

I know it's not a laughing matter, but the lack of humour on this forum staggers me sometimes. 

  I concluded it was a joke based on the inclusion of the shared fag, but it was a near thing.

It's a long time since most people shared fags, except those with additional ingredients!

A little dark humour in the forum does no harm; it's a very British response to adversity.

As for what will change in future, I doubt it will be human nature, but with the need to claw back losses and in the light of experiences, I wouldn't be surprised to see working from home and video conferencing becoming more common.

Davesnave

rimatron said:

Alexfwalker81 said:

Feeling somewhat battered and bruised today after our sale was halted thanks to the virus and the advice not to proceed. We've been on again, off again for days now. A real emotional rollercoaster. Tempted to throw the towel in, as we don't have to sell, but we'd like to. Perhaps I'll feel better in a few days.

I just wondered what people thought the length of the delay might be? I appreciate that even the politicians don't really know, so really just wanted to see what opinions were on this. To begin, I'd be estimating 3-6 weeks assuming the number of virus cases continues not to 'rise sharply' as expected. If that happens, I'd be amazed if they'd voluntarily stall the housing market much longer than 3-6 weeks. Obviously if the epidemic gets worse, then there's no reason to think that it won't extend beyond 12 weeks.

As I say, nobody knows, I just wondered what you all thought.

Our estate agents "Bridgfords Countrywide Estates" told us Today 28/03/2020 they will be returning to work on the 13th April 2020.

Just more evidence that one cannot trust anything an EA says.