Liquidate entire portfolio until virus is over?

coyrls

I don't think I can face going through all your posts to extract the evidence but my impression is that you are rowing back.

coastline

woolly_wombat said:

coastline said:

Username999 said:

coastline said:

Spinning top..Maybe   
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui

DOJI ...
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/doji.asp

Not a very good day so far with bad news from the USA. Maybe a trip lower now.? Those doji spinning tops ? 
https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/917245/ftse-100-takes-another-plunge-us-crude-now-below-us20-per-barrel-917245.html

https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui

From yesterday one of my favourite indicators ,Slow Stoch , on the top of the guideline and curling down. Lets see ? Not the best of charts but the ideas there.
https://investing.thisismoney.co.uk/charts/?epic=INDU&compareTo1=&compareTo2=&period=YEAR1&type=2&indicator[]=SlowSTO&draw=
https://investing.thisismoney.co.uk/charts/?epic=UKX&compareTo1=&compareTo2=&period=YEAR1&type=2&indicator[]=SlowSTO&draw=

What's your current thinking coastline?

I posted that link on the 15th of April and so far the markets haven't been any higher. Although its only one of many indicators out there it did suggest lower. Both the Dow and the FTSE did fall as much as 4% but have recovered much of that fall. The indicator, Slow stochastic , is nowhere near oversold after being in the overbought region when I posted. That doesn't mean things will play out as was highlighted by another poster jamesmorgan on the 16th of April. We can only see. 
Market is in a tight range at the moment since my earlier post and then sometimes we have a sudden breakout. Could well be next week ? Set the two below to 1month to get the picture.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/stock-market
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market

Since the drop the main market , the USA , has recovered more than 50% of its fall. I watched a video yesterday which highlighted all falls of 20% or more since 1950 and once they've recovered 55% or more they never looked back. Who knows. ?

Set the video to 13minutes 30 seconds. Forget the start.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7rap3X9Mrw

Well that's all my tins of beer gone. Wish the pub had been open but it ain't going to happen. There's a fella on the tele saying drink disinfectant but I think I'll go to bed instead. 






  

port_of_spain

EdGasketTheSecond said:

I don't know why you are so concerned about my personal financial position unless you would derive some warped satisfaction if things don't pan out my way? It's really immaterial to this thread and the original question posed. But to satisfy your curiousity, I will be just fine whatever happens just not so wealthy if gold tanks.

My interest is that I suspected that you wouldn't be so reckless with your capital if it would have a significant (to you) adverse effect on your lifestyle if it goes wrong. I think that's very relevant to whether people whose finances have less room for error — which is most people — should listen to you. For you, it can be principally just a game; for most people, it can't.

(Though I wasn't mostly asking out of concern for you, I'm nonetheless glad to hear that you will be fine in any outcome.)

Username999

coastline said:

I watched a video yesterday which highlighted all falls of 20% or more since 1950 and once they've recovered 55% or more they never looked back. Who knows. ?

  

Eh?
All he is saying is to go up 100% you have to go though the 55% retrace.
Same is true for any percentage from 1% to 99%.
We all know the S&P500 has 'recovered' from all the 'Bear Markets' since 1957 (so far).
Not true for other Index's.

I give him 1 out of 10.

jamei305

A sample size of only 12, with 0 being caused by a pandemic. Think I'll pass on that 55% rule.

coastline

Username999 said:

coastline said:

I watched a video yesterday which highlighted all falls of 20% or more since 1950 and once they've recovered 55% or more they never looked back. Who knows. ?

  

Eh?
All he is saying is to go up 100% you have to go though the 55% retrace.
Same is true for any percentage from 1% to 99%.
We all know the S&P500 has 'recovered' from all the 'Bear Markets' since 1957 (so far).
Not true for other Index's.

I give him 1 out of 10.

Market falls of 20% or more are technically called crashes. All those falls since 1957 are highlighted in the video. If the market recovers 55% or more ( not 50%) from that low then the bottom isn't tested again . Video is suggesting we have seen the low and have a normal choppy recovery as its never a straight line. Previous crashes might have given a different outcome maybe 1929 did I've no idea.? 

Thrugelmir

EdGasketTheSecond said:

why on earth would you want to be in stocks in a bear market and have to wait 5 - 10 years to get your money back? 

That's a very broad generalisation depending on which stocks or markets you are referring to. 

Just_a_person

Has anybody been looking into the publicly listed companies working on antibody or antigen tests? Might throw a few hundred pounds at a couple of them on monday as a bit of a punt. The market cap of Novacyt went from under £20m earlier in the year to £250m close of play Friday. There are few companies that i feel could re rate if they get their products to market.

Username999

Next week could see major move in the S&P 500.
5 companies report earnings Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Face Book and Apple.
That's 21% of the S&P 500 in just 5 companies!!


https://markets.businessinsider.com/earnings-calendar#date=04/27/2020-05/03/2020&name=&countries=&eventtypes=103,99&tab=L

woolly_wombat

coastline said:

I posted that link on the 15th of April and so far the markets haven't been any higher. Although its only one of many indicators out there it did suggest lower. Both the Dow and the FTSE did fall as much as 4% but have recovered much of that fall. The indicator, Slow stochastic , is nowhere near oversold after being in the overbought region when I posted. That doesn't mean things will play out as was highlighted by another poster jamesmorgan on the 16th of April. We can only see. 

Market is in a tight range at the moment since my earlier post and then sometimes we have a sudden breakout. Could well be next week ? Set the two below to 1month to get the picture.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/stock-market
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market

Since the drop the main market , the USA , has recovered more than 50% of its fall. I watched a video yesterday which highlighted all falls of 20% or more since 1950 and once they've recovered 55% or more they never looked back. Who knows. ?

Set the video to 13minutes 30 seconds. Forget the start.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7rap3X9Mrw








  

Thanks. Very interesting. We shall see.