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Stock Market crash-not if but when?

On the last two occasions the SP 500 index was this high (2000 &2007) a severe correction took place (50%).

On Both occasions it was in October-after the summer holidays. After monumental rises in some funds (bio-tech India) in the last few months one wonders how long this can sustain itself,is time running out on this record Bull Run?
The revolution is not an apple that falls when it is ripe. You have to make it fall.
«13456714

Comments

  • TrustyOven
    TrustyOven Posts: 746 Forumite
    Seventh Anniversary 500 Posts Combo Breaker
    tejero23f wrote: »
    one wonders how long this can sustain itself,is time running out on this record Bull Run?

    As an investor, I hope so! (as a person that is employed, I hope not!)
    50% drop would be a buy-one-get-one-free situation :)
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  • masonic
    masonic Posts: 27,621 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    We live in hope...
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Could be a number of triggers combined. A rise in US interest rates, a GREXIT from the Eurozone and a Labour\SNP\Green coalition.

    Only certainty is that it's been Central Bank intervention that's driving markets upwards. Not underlying Corporate profitability. Making the post GFC era had to make real sense of. Simply too many distortions.
  • kingmonkey
    kingmonkey Posts: 846 Forumite
    5th August 2015 10:43am BST
  • Minrich
    Minrich Posts: 635 Forumite
    Seventh Anniversary 500 Posts Combo Breaker
    Too much artificial support is the problem , it will happen and then what ?
  • 6022tivo
    6022tivo Posts: 818 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 500 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    It will likely dive if we end up with a Labour Government..
  • masonic
    masonic Posts: 27,621 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    6022tivo wrote: »
    It will likely dive if we end up with a Labour Government..
    More likely for a Tory Government. Markets won't like a EU referendum.

    But I doubt the S&P 500 or many other world markets will be affected much by what happens on this small island.
  • Jsscmm
    Jsscmm Posts: 147 Forumite
    Fourth Anniversary
    If you are that confident... Are you currently shorting the various indices mentioned?
  • IronWolf
    IronWolf Posts: 6,445 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    The market could double and then fall 70% for all we know. For anyone thinking its easy to call the tops, just look at japan in the 80s, asset prices went absolutely insane. We are still way off that mark.
    Faith, hope, charity, these three; but the greatest of these is charity.
  • edinburgher
    edinburgher Posts: 14,000 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Stock Market crash-not if but when?

    Yes, indices go up *and* down, not a problem unless you're retiring soon.
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