Stock Market crash-not if but when?

Biggles

veryintrigued wrote: »

Your logic being?

It has long been thought by many that the more confidence has built up in the strength of the market, the more likely it was that a fall was imminent. And vice versa.

Living_proof

I get you Kittie. A bird in the hand and all that...

Glen_Clark

Quite scary the number of professional investors who would rather buy German/Swiss bonds with negative yields than put that money in the stock market. They can't all be fools...

veryintrigued

Biggles wrote: »

It has long been thought by many that the more confidence has built up in the strength of the market, the more likely it was that a fall was imminent. And vice versa.

If the 'many' were 'that many' then surely the markets wouldnt be strong in the first place.

tejero23f

Originally Posted by kittie View Post
There are crashes and there are corrections, corrections are healthy and necessary. I sold all my stocks in both sipp and isa yesterday and now intend to sit on my hands in peace and tranquillity throughout the forthcoming turbulence. They will be great days for those who day trade, those days are gone for me, now I just concentrate on increasing the pots so I can provide a decent pension for myself and after me, for my children. I position trade ie I buy `safe` dividend stocks as I have to be risk averse now and I will hold for anything from a few days to a few months

I don`t know why I responded to this thread, maybe a bit of screen watching withdrawal syndrome

Kittie thank you for your post, like you i have moved a large amount my investments away from this turbulence so i can relax for the summer. Now i don't have to worry about losing the gains i have made the past few months. if opportunists arise i may dip in a little but in the meantime it's feet up for strawberries and wine!-Salud

Rollinghome

Something to gladden the hearts of the pessimists, video interview with Bruce Stout, manager of the Murray International IT: "People feel compelled to buy equities, but you have to be very careful because if you pay the wrong price you’ll lose your money".
Bruce Stout interview...

noggin1980

tejero23f wrote: »

Kittie thank you for your post, like you i have moved a large amount my investments away from this turbulence so i can relax for the summer. Now i don't have to worry about losing the gains i have made the past few months. if opportunists arise i may dip in a little but in the meantime it's feet up for strawberries and wine!-Salud

If the conservatives win the election, greece gets sorted and uk and europe markets end up 10% or so after the summer what do you do? are you going to buy back in anyway? in which case you can't relax over the summer because you still have the risk of losing (just on the opposite result) or are you going to stay out till a crash/correction? what will you do if markets go up for another 2 years and when the correction comes the market is still priced higher than today.

Timing the market is more likely to lose you money than make it and produces more stress and worry not less as you are always making decisions which may or not be right.

noggin1980

Rollinghome wrote: »

Something to gladden the hearts of the pessimists, video interview with Bruce Stout, manager of the Murray International IT: "People feel compelled to buy equities, but you have to be very careful because if you pay the wrong price you’ll lose your money".
Bruce Stout interview...

Emerging markets fund manager talks positively about emerging markets while sewing the seeds of doubt about developed markets, not really a shock is it?.

Rollinghome

noggin1980 wrote: »

Emerging markets fund manager talks positively about emerging markets while sewing the seeds of doubt about developed markets, not really a shock is it?.

That's your idea of "positive" I take it.

noggin1980

Rollinghome wrote: »

That's your idea of "positive" I take it.

I'm not sure what you are trying to say. He basically says developed markets are overvalued and infers emerging markets have more value and as someone who benefits from you thinking developed markets are overvalued we should go into emerging markets is hardly a surprise nore something we should be basing our investment decisions on.