Who will win the UK election ?

Moby

I think he is getting more positive personal ratings. Is it enough to make a difference?

Shakethedisease

It is starting to look like Ed Miliband is more likely to be PM. This in-depth polling analysis gives a good account as to why and why the bookies odds are changing.

Who will win the 2015 general election? With only 18 days to go, we now think it is likely that Ed Miliband will become Prime Minister this summer. There are few scenarios in which David Cameron will survive a vote of confidence. And the Liberal Democrats may only have influence under a Tory-led government.

http://may2015.com/featured/election-2015-polls-suggest-ed-miliband-is-likely-to-become-prime-minister/

zagfles

Shakethedisease wrote: »

It is starting to look like Ed Miliband is more likely to be PM. This in-depth polling analysis gives a good account as to why and why the bookies odds are changing.

http://may2015.com/featured/election-2015-polls-suggest-ed-miliband-is-likely-to-become-prime-minister/

Pretty much neck and neck:

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/prime-minister-after-general-election

The irony is that in terms of policies the difference between the Tories and Labour is now wafer thin, the most logical coalition after the election would be a Labour/Tory one!

But it's unlikely to happen, because it'll upset all the tribal numpties...

CLAPTON

it will certainly be a more 'interesting' result if Labour win and are then 'supported' by all the BBB parties (borrow, borrow, borrow).

interesting to see the price the SNP extract from Milliband and it will also be interesting to see how scotland spends the extra booty.

Will scotland 'invest' and attract more high value industry (reducing taxes across the board perhaps?) or simply waste it on social handouts?

will they improve the health outcomes of the people or merely spend in on vanity projects.

will they manage another independence vote and will the scots have the 'courage' to vote for proud poverty this time round?

will they start supporting England sports (except in home matches of course)?

will they find that a 700 old minor battle isn't the best thing that has every happened to scotland and maybe find a more relevant attribute to celebrate more suited to the 21st century?

will the SNP ask help from the celtic tiger across the sea to advice on what not to do for the first 100 years of independence? I guess they could get some tips on how to win the occasional rugby match too.

the scenerios are truely interesting compared to steady growth and quiet prosperity.

whatever happens my very best wishes to all the people of scotland, especially as I expect to see quite a lot of the young and bright down here soon.

Thrugelmir

chucknorris wrote: »

Miliband is now the current favourite on betfair's 'next prime minster market'!

If he is. What's his public rating likely to be in May 2016. I wonder.

At the moment he has been wrapped in cotton wool. No opportunity to meet real people. I wonder what the spin doctors are afraid of.

padington

Think it's an 80% chance now of getting a government with milliband leading it.

Anyone holding 1.5 million pound plus houses are going to wish they sold 6 months ago.

I reckon prime is going to get another 25% haircut.

The big question is will the mansion tax push up cheap properties or will the other labour policies cause sufficent angst to negate this.

marleyboy

I tend not to fret over the current polls, particularly so close to the election as there is always an unexpected swing on the day in either direction.

There are so many people out there who have not added themselves into any polls, thats not forgetting those on sanctions, those taking pay cuts, those in the NHS and a large proportion of the population who so far have not had their say. I imagine most of them are just itching to make sure their votes count.

My hope is for an outright win for Labour, even with the mess they will have to inherit. Whether or not that happens is all guesswork until Election day, but it is not likely to sway how any of us vote on that day. Our minds are made up.

The mud throwing, fighting, Bchin and scaremongering is little more than a Punch & Judy show, whilst I'm just waiting for the Firework Display.

michaels

Yep, got to feel sorry for the next govt taking over the current 'mess' - things were so much better 5 years ago when Ed and Ed left government

michaels

Shopping for energy once the govt fixes prices:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-32349473

Moby

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11139672/Ukip-will-threaten-Tory-chances-of-winning-in-100-key-seats-next-election-researchers-predict.html
Suprised at this ....thought UKIP were on the wane?