Who will win the UK election ?

Generali

Jewish people will be voting Tory apparently:

http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/General-Election-Poll-Tables.pdf

The Jewish Chronicle had a new Survation poll of British Jews, suggesting a large majority of British Jews would vote Conservative in an election tomorrow. Voting intentions were CON 69%, LAB 22%, LDEM 2%, UKIP 2%

antrobus

Generali wrote: »

Jewish people will be voting Tory apparently:

http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/General-Election-Poll-Tables.pdf

Noticed that myself.

Sort of ironic really, when you consider who is the current Labour Party leader.

But there are reasons.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/labour-funding-crisis-jewish-donors-drop-toxic-ed-miliband-9849299.html

Generali

antrobus wrote: »

Noticed that myself.

Sort of ironic really, when you consider who is the current Labour Party leader.

But there are reasons.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/labour-funding-crisis-jewish-donors-drop-toxic-ed-miliband-9849299.html

As I posted I had a thing in the back of my head that said that in past elections, Jewish people had tended more towards Lab than Cons so I wondered what had changed.

michaels

Generali wrote: »

As I posted I had a thing in the back of my head that said that in past elections, Jewish people had tended more towards Lab than Cons so I wondered what had changed.

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michaels

One of the biggest deals in years affecting a household name UK company has been proposed today.

Border exit monitoring is being brought in for the first time.

The only important story according to the BBC is a proposed tax change that will only bring in a small amount of extra tax if any at all.

Generali

michaels wrote: »

<Reply self moderated>

I've done a little reading since. Is this a fair summation of things?

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/labour-funding-crisis-jewish-donors-drop-toxic-ed-miliband-9849299.html

It's much easier to follow the fortunes of Tottenham than UK politics from Aus. I do miss an awful lot.

It is possible to do but you have to dig quite deeply into the websites. Front page news is just the Westminster soap opera as a rule.

cepheus

chucknorris wrote: »

Recently I have been tracking the betfair price for 'most sets won' in the election and I have been comforted by the fact that the tories have shortened significantly, it is currently about:

4/9 Tories
9/4 Labour

But I now think that my comfort was misplaced, because we are very likely to have a hung parliament, and with the SNP expected to win up to 55 seats, I fear the worst. It looks extremely close to me.

http://may2015.com/category/seat-calculator/

Yes I've been mesmerised by those odds, despite them reverting back somewhat during the last few days, and a Labour punt then might have been a shrewd bet. They've been completely different to the individual seat odds the bookies offer. If you add up the favourites, Labour turn out to have most seats.

Populus/Hanover calculates the odds of various coalition combinations. On this basis even the Greens are more likely to have a share in government than the Tories (seriously).



Electoral calculus thinks the parties have a much greater chance of a majority than this. 23% for Labour, 19% for the Conservatives.

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

Election forecast and Election etc still forecast the Tories will be just ahead on seats but with Miliband favourite as PM

http://www.electionforecast.co.uk/



http://electionsetc.com/

Cyberman60

Generali wrote: »

Jewish people will be voting Tory apparently:

http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/General-Election-Poll-Tables.pdf

Jews are wealthy and renowned entrepreneurs, so don't rely on state benefits. Also, they are obviously concerned about religious extremism which Labour has ignored for years due to political correctness while encouraging people that desire state benefits into the country.

So a majority in favour of a Tory government is hardly a surprise. :T

enthusiasticsaver

It is worrying that the highest odds is a Labour/SNP government.

Generali

Cyberman60 wrote: »

Jews are wealthy

All of them? That seems like a pretty gross stereotype TBH.

Are all Irishmen thick and all black men lazy but having massive penises?