Debate House Prices


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'We've reached a tipping point' Signs of house price weakness

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  • Crashy_Time
    Crashy_Time Posts: 13,386 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Seventh Anniversary Name Dropper
    Rota wrote: »
    It will if they are given more free guaranteed money. Want to bet that can't happen again?


    It doesn`t need to happen again, the banks can now weather a proper crash, and profit from the surge in lending volumes. You didn`t think they were helping over extended "homeowners" did you?
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    It doesn`t need to happen again, the banks can now weather a proper crash, and profit from the surge in lending volumes. You didn`t think they were helping over extended "homeowners" did you?

    I see your "debating" style hasn't changed.

    Just ignore the facts and keep spouting hpc propaganda. :rotfl:
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Crashy_Time
    Crashy_Time Posts: 13,386 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Seventh Anniversary Name Dropper
    Ireland had 17% of it's houses empty in 2007.

    The UK has just 1.5%, and those are in the wrong place for current demand.


    How many empty houses do you think there were in "prime" Dublin?
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    George Osborne’s flagship Help to Buy equity loan scheme is poised to generate £4.5bn in profit for the government, making the Treasury one of the biggest beneficiaries of a housing boom that is drawing concern from policy makers.

    Research by the Financial Times shows that the government is set to lend £7.7bn in the first stage of its scheme to help buyers of newbuild homes. Based on official forecasts for house prices, it is on track to make a 59 per cent rate of return in nominal terms over its lifetime.

    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f6a9e41a-d1e0-11e3-8ff4-00144feabdc0.html#ixzz39MUVjWkS

    Yep, obviously the powers that be have every motivation to allow a crash.

    Oh... wait.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    How many empty houses do you think there were in "prime" Dublin?

    Not many.

    Hence why prices in "prime" Dublin have risen 40% in the last 2 years while wider Irish prices linger at 50% off peak levels.
    House prices in some parts of Dublin are up almost 40pc in just two years -
    http://www.independent.ie/business/personal-finance/property-mortgages/dublin-house-price-rises-are-not-a-bubble-but-are-cause-for-concern-30478112.html#sthash.hvY5CD8Z.dpuf
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Rota
    Rota Posts: 167 Forumite
    edited 3 August 2014 at 9:19PM
    People in Dublin no doubt said the same a few years ago.

    London isn't Dublin or Tokyo or tulip bulbs. London is a true global city and powerhouse. Look at where Dublin ranks in this list compared to London. Cant post a link so google "global cities wiki" for the link.
    You aren't comparing apples with apples.

    What you guys just don't get is that the GFC was a very unique event, this sort of catalyst for another crash is very, very remote anytime soon. If you want to sit there paying your landlords mortgage off waiting for it, be my guest.

    At which level (year) would you buy back into your local market?
  • Rota
    Rota Posts: 167 Forumite

    Yep, obviously the powers that be have every motivation to allow a crash.

    Oh... wait.

    Brilliant. Govt actually makes money out of it too. Can just see the HPC crowd :mad:
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    edited 3 August 2014 at 9:20PM
    Rota wrote: »
    At which level (year) would you buy back into your local market?

    He's in Edinburgh, and as a fully signed up member of the Cult of Crash, will probably never buy.

    He has bought a house for his landlord though, which is very generous of him really. :)
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • padington
    padington Posts: 3,121 Forumite
    The government has lots of skin in the game. It's reassuring.
    Proudly voted remain. A global union of countries is the only way to commit global capital to the rule of law.
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Well, this thread didn't quite go according to plan for our little bear cub.

    Maybe he's popped back to HPC to ask the grown-up bears what to do next? :)
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
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