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Dan Hodges on why Labour will probably loose the election.

Conrad
Posts: 33,137 Forumite

Life long Labour Man Dan Hodges gives a forensic narrative on why he thinks Labour are heading for defeat.
He highlights things like Labour being identified as the party of welfare, wanting to free PS pay whilst increasing benefits.
5 minutes in;
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b01s1q2r/This_Week_18_04_2013/
He highlights things like Labour being identified as the party of welfare, wanting to free PS pay whilst increasing benefits.
5 minutes in;
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b01s1q2r/This_Week_18_04_2013/
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Comments
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Its 'lose' the election........... not 'loose' and by the way Dan Hodges is known for being a bit of a 'loose' canon within the party. I also note you don't mention Michael Portillo's 'insights' during the same discussion!0
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I have never been convinced that Milliband is the best leader. Equally Cameron does not convince me. That said neither party will change leader.
Cameron's policies are not working and ordinarily the austerity and the divisiveness that Cameron is inflicting (by emulating his late hero and indeed trying to take out the NHS too) should do for him. But Labour lacks imagination and policy as Hodges said.
To win I think Cameron has to break UKIP. In the same way that the SDP and Liberals made Labour unelectable, UKIP may prevent Cameron succeeding.. Or he has to get lucky and find Labour moves to the left (as Hodges said) intent on appealing to a core vote not the middle ground.Few people are capable of expressing with equanimity opinions which differ from the prejudices of their social environment. Most people are incapable of forming such opinions.0 -
Lets see if the unions once again do for Labour. I know that Len Mclusky has apparently had second thoughts on his general strike but a bit more of that or get the weakling to agree to one of there more ridiculous demands or worse put it in his manifesto and all of a sudden Labour may look more left wing than Ryan giggs.0
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Life long Labour Man Dan Hodges gives a forensic narrative on why he thinks Labour are heading for defeat.
He highlights things like Labour being identified as the party of welfare, wanting to free PS pay whilst increasing benefits.
5 minutes in;
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b01s1q2r/This_Week_18_04_2013/
if you look at recent election history you learn a number of important things
the tories missed an open goal in 2010,and to move forward to a majority govt they needed 4% more than last time,something no other party in govt has acheived EVER
the tories have no gone 21 years since they last won an election(and then only narrowly)
of the 4 million votes the lib dems seem to have lost it now looks like 3 million of them will go to labour
the right of uk politics are divided at a time when the left are united
the tories in recent opinion polls are almost at rock bottom(25-28%)the numbers that will always vote for them
ukip will take votes from the tories costing them some marginal seats
add all that up and there can only be one winner0 -
Its 'lose' the election........... not 'loose' and by the way Dan Hodges is known for being a bit of a 'loose' canon within the party. I also note you don't mention Michael Portillo's 'insights' during the same discussion!
It's funny how often pedantry of this sort contains an error. You seem to like to play the man rather than the ball which is a shame. IMHO it shows the paucity of your argument.
It'll be a sad day for the UK if the Labour party fights the General Election on a platform of welfarism: confiscating from the few to give to the rest. Hopefully the British people are too sophisticated to fall for a con like that.0 -
of the 4 million votes the lib dems seem to have lost it now looks like 3 million of them will go to labour
the right of uk politics are divided at a time when the left are united
the tories in recent opinion polls are almost at rock bottom(25-28%)the numbers that will always vote for them
ukip will take votes from the tories costing them some marginal seats
add all that up and there can only be one winner
I think the next election will end up with another split.We cannot change anything unless we accept it. Condemnation does not liberate, it oppresses. Carl Jung
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I have never been convinced that Milliband is the best leader. Equally Cameron does not convince me. That said neither party will change leader.
Cameron's policies are not working and ordinarily the austerity and the divisiveness that Cameron is inflicting (by emulating his late hero and indeed trying to take out the NHS too) should do for him. But Labour lacks imagination and policy as Hodges said.
To win I think Cameron has to break UKIP. In the same way that the SDP and Liberals made Labour unelectable, UKIP may prevent Cameron succeeding.. Or he has to get lucky and find Labour moves to the left (as Hodges said) intent on appealing to a core vote not the middle ground.
Do you honestly believe that Tories would vote UKIP at a General Election and risk getting a Labour Government? It's a ridiculous idea IMO.
They'll do it in the European elections next year and the usual halfwits will get excited about how UKIP has got ~30% of the vote. When it comes to the General election people vote for leaders not to make a point.0
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